Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 19, 2020

Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 13, 2016 - Fri. Apr. 26, 2024)

(Tesla Motors, Inc.)
TSLA latest price $183.4840 (6.88%) ($180.2040 - $188.9560) on Wed. Feb. 19, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.76% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $183.4840(6.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSLA advances 3.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSLA advances 8.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSLA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(57%)    VUG(51%)    ARKK(50%)    IDRV(48%)    ACES(47%)
Factors Impacting TSLA price   TSLA will decline at least -2.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-35%)    VXX(-18%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-4%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.38% (StdDev 4.76%)
Hourly BBV 1.1 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $165.89(10.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $159.1(15.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $144.24(27.21%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   178.9%
Market Cap   $173.943b

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of fully electric vehicles, energy generation and storage systems. It also provides vehicle service centers, supercharger station, and self-driving capability. The company operates through Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture and sale of electric vehicles. The Energy Generation and Storage segment includes the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of stationary energy storage products and solar energy systems, and sale of electricity generated by its solar energy systems to customers. It develops energy storage products for use in homes, commercial facilities and utility sites. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, CA.

$. TSLA price fluctuates within 15.83% (three month std-dev: 4.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 5.67%(60%) Average negative next day return: -5.61%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 16.15%(30%) Average negative next three day return: -5.19%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 12.4%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.46%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2020	85.98	144.24	159.1	165.89	167.05	176.98	183.48(6.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	190	440	193	181	127.11	78%	1.66	74.6	4.76%	1.1	1.7	79	1
2	Feb_18_2020	84.58	140.48	158	160.16	159.69	164.45	171.68(7.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	129	200	112	178	83.49	76%	1.98	70.9	4.71%	1.6	1.4	78	0.8
3	Feb_14_2020	82.94	137.01	156.28	156.68	155.84	157.11	160.01(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	69	40	33	175	78.47	75%	1.41	67.9	4.63%	0.6	1	77	0.9
4	Feb_13_2020	81.79	134.18	153.51	154.6	155.32	154.93	160.8(4.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	61	-0	20	182	131.45	75%	1.48	66	4.62%	1.7	1.2	76	0.6
5	Feb_12_2020	80.6	131.31	150.41	152.4	153.81	154.57	153.46(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	50	60	5	185	60.11	74%	1.41	65.2	4.61%	-0.8	1	73	1

6	Feb_11_2020	79.48	129	146.97	151.1	151.73	155.71	154.88(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	59	200	14	193	58.49	74%	1.4	68	4.6%	0.5	1.2	74	0.1
7	Feb_10_2020	78.38	126.47	143.05	155.6	152.02	153.05	154.26(3.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	77	-20	22	243	123.45	74%	1.41	81.5	4.6%	0.9	1.3	76	0.2
8	Feb_7_2020	77.29	123.52	138.94	155.95	157.39	147.75	149.61(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	50	-400	-19	255	85.32	74%	1.36	85.9	4.6%	-0.1	1.2	77	-0.1
9	Feb_6_2020	76.25	120.84	135.38	152.05	156.58	150.99	149.79(1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-48	-160	-133	207	199.4	74%	1.38	84.3	4.6%	-0.7	1.4	77	0.2
10	Feb_5_2020	75.21	118.2	131.85	147.73	152.13	167.02	146.94(-17.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	164	770	118	302	242.12	74%	1.36	85	4.6%	-0.9	1.4	75	0.1

11	Feb_4_2020	74.2	115.5	128.52	141.58	145.06	162.16	177.41(13.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	481	900	487	461	304.69	87%	1.83	80.9	3.94%	1.5	3.1	87	-0.7
12	Feb_3_2020	72.87	110.9	121.29	128.77	129.32	137.24	156(19.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	248	440	235	288	236.17	85%	1.53	83.2	3.63%	2	3.1	85	-1.4
13	Jan_31_2020	71.77	107.38	115.66	119.89	121.28	127.96	130.11(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	204	420	189	249	78.6	80%	1.18	86.4	2.78%	0.8	2.1	83	-2.4
14	Jan_30_2020	70.93	105.15	112.86	116.46	116.63	121.4	128.16(10.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	189	290	177	224	145.03	80%	1.16	81.5	2.78%	1.3	2.2	81	-0.4
15	Jan_29_2020	70.12	102.9	110.31	113.72	113.14	114.6	116.2(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	91	80	63	175	91.08	72%	1.02	84.2	2.53%	1.8	1.4	72	-0.7

16	Jan_28_2020	69.41	101.25	109.4	113.26	112.65	111.85	113.38(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	48	-70	5	177	58.94	72%	1	80.8	2.59%	1	1.2	75	-0.7
17	Jan_27_2020	68.72	99.89	108.55	112.47	112.96	111.68	111.6(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	39	-70	-14	197	68.04	72%	1	78.8	2.59%	-0.6	1.2	76	-1.9
18	Jan_24_2020	68.04	98.62	107.04	110.57	112.34	113.44	112.96(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	72	120	30	198	71.77	81%	1.02	77.2	2.79%	-0.8	1.4	79	0
19	Jan_23_2020	67.35	97.2	105.4	108.52	109.51	114.23	114.44(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	108	330	83	184	98.26	81%	1.1	78	3.47%	0.5	1.7	83	1.2
20	Jan_22_2020	66.62	95.64	103.75	106.37	106.25	111.24	113.91(4.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	142	330	120	207	156.85	81%	1.08	81.1	3.48%	0.8	2	84	1.1

21	Jan_21_2020	65.91	93.96	101.71	105.1	106.25	104.78	109.44(7.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	91	30	56	196	89.02	80%	1.01	90	3.46%	0.5	1.8	83	1.4
22	Jan_17_2020	65.25	92.5	99.81	104.21	103.85	101.27	102.1(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	31	-180	-17	176	68.15	78%	0.93	95.7	3.39%	0.2	1.1	72	1.9
23	Jan_16_2020	64.65	91.34	98.54	102.92	103.84	102.92	102.7(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	16	-40	-34	165	108.68	78%	0.95	96.1	3.38%	-0.8	1.3	73	2.2
24	Jan_15_2020	64.04	90.01	96.94	101.63	102.65	106.43	103.7(-3.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	84	290	48	192	86.84	78%	0.99	95.9	3.37%	-0.6	1.6	75	2
25	Jan_14_2020	63.41	88.62	94.98	100.58	100.74	104.76	107.58(2.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	154	280	131	222	145.31	83%		98.8	3.32%	1.1	2.2	82	2.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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