Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 4, 2018

Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 13, 2016 - Tue. Jun. 18, 2024)

(Tesla Motors, Inc.)
TSLA latest price $62.9240 (-0.83%) ($61.1360 - $63.7100) on Thu. Jan. 4, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.07% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $62.9240(-0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSLA advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSLA declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSLA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(52%)    ARKK(50%)    VUG(48%)    IWF(45%)    LIT(45%)
Factors Impacting TSLA price   TSLA will decline at least -1.035% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-2%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.035% (StdDev 2.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $64.89
5 Day Moving Average   $63.16(-0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.82(-1.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.89(-3.03%)
To recent high   -12.5%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $59.652b

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of fully electric vehicles, energy generation and storage systems. It also provides vehicle service centers, supercharger station, and self-driving capability. The company operates through Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture and sale of electric vehicles. The Energy Generation and Storage segment includes the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of stationary energy storage products and solar energy systems, and sale of electricity generated by its solar energy systems to customers. It develops energy storage products for use in homes, commercial facilities and utility sites. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, CA.

$. TSLA price fluctuates within 3.36% (three month std-dev: 2.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.04%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.27%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.79%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -5.19%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 6.44%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.27%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_4_2018	67.01	64.89	63.82	63.16	63.13	63.27	62.92(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	10	-7	-98	49.73	51%	-0.15	15.5	2.07%	0	-0.9	32	INF
2	Jan_3_2018	67.11	64.82	64.14	63.16	63.14	63.62	63.45(-1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	60	19	-99	22.61	51%	-0.13	8.6	2.09%	0	-0.6	32	INF
3	Jan_2_2018	67.2	64.73	64.54	63.05	62.85	62.99	64.11(2.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	10	2	-99	21.76	51%	-0.19	3.6	2.1%	0	-0.3	46	INF
4	Dec_29_2017	67.33	64.73	64.97	63.23	63.05	62.66	62.27(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-50	-24	-87	18.89	48%	-0.13	2.3	2.06%	0	-0.9	51	INF
5	Dec_28_2017	67.42	64.61	65.51	64.05	63.76	62.71	63.07(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-130	-39	-54	21.58	48%	-0.15	9.7	2.06%	0	-0.6	57	INF

6	Dec_27_2017	67.52	64.56	65.99	64.59	64.63	63.44	62.33(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-49	-130	-56	-28	23.56	48%	-0.16	11.9	2.05%	0	-0.8	53	INF
7	Dec_26_2017	67.63	64.63	66.6	65.37	65.43	64.8	63.46(-2.43%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-31	-60	-49	25	21.89	48%	-0.16	23.7	2.05%	0	-0.4	63	INF
8	Dec_22_2017	67.74	64.64	66.88	66.23	66.2	65.82	65.04(-1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-40	-27	77	21.08	47%	-0.07	34.6	2.02%	0	0.2	67	INF
9	Dec_21_2017	67.79	64.55	66.74	66.96	66.92	66.05	66.33(0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-90	-24	105	21.93	47%	0.01	43.3	2.07%	0	0.7	70	INF
10	Dec_20_2017	67.78	64.36	66.38	67.21	67.45	66.57	65.8(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-80	-43	109	29.77	47%	0.03	46.9	2.08%	0	0.5	67	INF

11	Dec_19_2017	67.76	64.24	66.11	67.61	68	67.78	66.22(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-10	-22	137	34.12	45%	0.03	55.7	2.08%	0	0.8	69	INF
12	Dec_18_2017	67.74	64.02	65.61	68.01	68.21	68.33	67.77(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	20	13	153	27.38	47%	0.01	58.3	2.09%	0	1.4	64	INF
13	Dec_15_2017	67.73	63.76	64.96	67.61	67.9	68.21	68.69(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	61	40	33	145	34.67	47%	0.01	62.4	2.09%	0	2	67	INF
14	Dec_14_2017	67.72	63.43	64.2	66.48	66.91	68.1	67.58(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	65	140	47	117	29	49%	-0.01	59.9	2.08%	0	1.9	66	INF
15	Dec_13_2017	67.73	63.14	63.6	65.41	65.6	67.59	67.81(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	83	220	78	99	31.11	49%	0	54.8	2.12%	0	2.4	69	INF

16	Dec_12_2017	67.73	62.82	62.94	64.38	64.25	65.73	68.21(3.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	88	160	93	71	43.67	49%	0	49.2	2.12%	0	3.2	64	INF
17	Dec_11_2017	67.73	62.53	62.4	62.89	62.8	63.61	65.78(4.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	42	90	48	23	39.69	51%	0	47.2	2.07%	0	3	64	INF
18	Dec_8_2017	67.73	62.26	62.11	61.94	61.9	62.77	63.03(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	21	100	30	-7	17.34	48%	-0.04	24.8	2.13%	0	0.9	50	INF
19	Dec_7_2017	67.76	62.14	62.09	61.6	61.44	61.99	62.25(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	18	50	28	-14	23.9	48%	-0.04	17.6	2.14%	0	0.1	49	INF
20	Dec_6_2017	67.79	62.08	62.12	61.5	61.12	61.04	62.65(3.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-2	-30	6	-24	35.98	48%	-0.04	-0.6	2.15%	0	0.6	52	INF

21	Dec_5_2017	67.82	62.01	62.19	61.27	61.19	60.88	60.74(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-40	-21	-35	23.23	45%	-0.04	-29.8	2.11%	0	-1.3	47	INF
22	Dec_4_2017	67.85	62.02	62.31	61.83	61.56	61.2	61.04(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-50	-22	-27	29.18	45%	-0.07	-30.1	2.12%	0	-1	42	INF
23	Dec_1_2017	67.9	62.03	62.52	62.29	62.15	61.5	61.31(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-80	-20	-5	21.46	45%	-0.04	-31.1	2.14%	0	-0.7	55	INF
24	Nov_30_2017	67.93	61.98	62.65	62.65	62.52	61.92	61.77(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-18	-70	-27	10	21.76	45%	-0.06	-40.7	2.12%	0	-0.2	57	INF
25	Nov_29_2017	67.97	62.09	62.71	62.8	62.82	62.8	61.51(-3.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-6	-0	-16	24	43.84	45%		-37.8	2.13%	0	-0.5	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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