Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 10, 2017

Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 13, 2016 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(Tesla Motors, Inc.)
TSLA latest price $71.0800 (-2.24%) ($70.9320 - $73.3301) on Thu. Aug. 10, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.47% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $71.0800(-2.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSLA advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSLA advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSLA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(52%)    ARKK(49%)    VUG(48%)    IWF(45%)    XLK(45%)
Factors Impacting TSLA price   TSLA will decline at least -1.235% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-2%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.235% (StdDev 2.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $71.85(-1.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.12(2.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.8(4.84%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   17%
Market Cap   $67.384b

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of fully electric vehicles, energy generation and storage systems. It also provides vehicle service centers, supercharger station, and self-driving capability. The company operates through Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture and sale of electric vehicles. The Energy Generation and Storage segment includes the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of stationary energy storage products and solar energy systems, and sale of electricity generated by its solar energy systems to customers. It develops energy storage products for use in homes, commercial facilities and utility sites. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, CA.

$. TSLA price fluctuates within 4.2% (three month std-dev: 2.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 1.25%(47%) Average negative next day return: -1.33%(53%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 8.78%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -2.64%(53%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 9.59%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.38%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170910

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2017	65.44	67.8	69.12	71.85	72.07	72.29	71.08(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	30	3	86	35.46	49%	0.31	70.2	2.47%	0	1.2	64	0
2	Aug_9_2017	65.24	67.48	68.7	71.52	71.64	72.56	72.71(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	58	90	43	102	34.46	52%	0.35	74.6	2.45%	0	1.9	66	0
3	Aug_8_2017	65.01	67.11	68.25	70.01	70.79	71.84	73.04(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	74	140	68	93	37.25	52%	0.34	66.5	2.51%	0	2.4	69	0
4	Aug_7_2017	64.79	66.71	67.68	68.19	68.72	70.73	71.03(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	57	230	56	60	31.62	50%	0.29	41.1	2.49%	0	1.9	64	0
5	Aug_4_2017	64.6	66.31	67.38	66.92	66.95	69.75	71.38(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	77	290	82	60	46.34	49%	0.29	7.2	2.54%	0	2.4	68	0

6	Aug_3_2017	64.41	65.86	66.77	66.04	65.92	66.72	69.42(6.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	55	80	61	35	67.68	47%	0.3	-26.4	2.6%	0	1.8	59	0
7	Aug_2_2017	64.22	65.48	66.41	65.54	65.4	64.16	65.18(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-140	-39	-10	65.46	42%	0.22	-68.5	2.5%	0	-0.2	53	0
8	Aug_1_2017	64.08	65.49	66.42	66.26	66.29	65.12	63.91(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-41	-120	-53	-4	41.52	44%	0.23	-74	2.49%	0	-0.9	46	0
9	Jul_31_2017	63.93	65.8	66.64	67.06	67.35	66.64	64.69(-3.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-19	-60	-32	22	42.68	44%	0.25	-64.8	2.51%	0	-0.5	49	0
10	Jul_28_2017	63.77	66.16	66.61	67.82	67.88	67.46	67.01(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-40	-9	51	24.4	46%	0.28	-53.7	2.49%	0	0.3	63	0

11	Jul_27_2017	63.59	66.38	66.47	67.55	67.91	68.05	66.89(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	30	3	61	41.51	46%	0.28	-57.4	2.5%	0	0.2	65	0
12	Jul_26_2017	63.41	66.7	66.26	67.37	67.42	68.3	68.77(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	90	29	80	24.1	48%	0.32	-52.3	2.47%	0	0.6	73	0
13	Jul_25_2017	63.21	66.85	65.94	66.63	66.71	67.76	67.92(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	110	39	71	34.95	48%	0.29	-58	2.47%	0	0.3	56	0
14	Jul_24_2017	63.03	67.17	65.67	66.17	66.01	66.53	68.5(4.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	50	37	45	43.19	48%	0.29	-53.2	2.48%	0	0.3	44	0
15	Jul_21_2017	62.85	67.53	65.13	65.26	65.31	65.65	65.68(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	40	8	-16	24.51	45%	0.26	-50.9	2.43%	0	-0.4	34	0

16	Jul_20_2017	62.69	68.04	64.85	65.23	64.95	65.49	65.98(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	50	16	-46	25.83	45%	0.26	-46.5	2.43%	0	-0.4	35	0
17	Jul_19_2017	62.53	68.48	64.44	64.97	64.81	64.97	65.05(-0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	10	10	-96	31.79	45%	0.26	-47.2	2.43%	0	-0.7	30	0
18	Jul_18_2017	62.37	68.94	64.46	65.14	64.77	64.4	65.65(2.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-60	-9	-124	31.87	45%	0.26	-46.9	2.43%	0	-0.6	36	0
19	Jul_17_2017	62.21	69.35	64.87	65.1	65.11	64.66	63.91(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-50	-8	-143	49.38	43%	0.21	-45.5	2.41%	0	-1.1	28	0
20	Jul_14_2017	62.08	69.88	65.65	64.96	65.1	65.14	65.56(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-35	10	6	-156	28.13	44%	0.24	-45.1	2.39%	0	-0.9	28	0

21	Jul_13_2017	61.93	70.35	66.25	64.38	64.47	65.57	64.68(-1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	120	27	-172	42.97	46%	0.16	-47.8	2.41%	0	-1.1	26	0
22	Jul_12_2017	61.83	70.93	67.15	63.79	63.79	65.06	65.9(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	140	46	-179	51.73	44%	0.18	-48.4	2.41%	0	-1	31	0
23	Jul_11_2017	61.72	71.4	67.77	63.7	62.99	63.37	65.44(3.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-55	10	-5	-205	57.8	44%	0.06	-46.1	2.46%	0	-1.2	33	0
24	Jul_10_2017	61.68	71.76	68.74	64.71	63.78	62.53	63.21(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-92	-180	-54	-207	69.1	43%	0.15	-41	2.43%	0	-1.8	28	0
25	Jul_7_2017	61.59	72.22	70.08	66.53	66.22	62.61	62.64(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-123	-400	-102	-186	70.88	43%		-30.7	2.46%	0	-2.3	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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