Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 8, 2017

Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 13, 2016 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(Tesla Motors, Inc.)
TSLA latest price $74.0000 (2.88%) ($72.0440 - $74.3800) on Thu. Jun. 8, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.26% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $74.0000(2.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSLA advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSLA advances 7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSLA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(51%)    ARKK(49%)    VUG(48%)    IWF(45%)    XLK(45%)
Factors Impacting TSLA price   TSLA will decline at least -1.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-2%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.13% (StdDev 2.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $70.79(4.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.74(7.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.82(12.43%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   51.8%
Market Cap   $70.152b

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of fully electric vehicles, energy generation and storage systems. It also provides vehicle service centers, supercharger station, and self-driving capability. The company operates through Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture and sale of electric vehicles. The Energy Generation and Storage segment includes the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of stationary energy storage products and solar energy systems, and sale of electricity generated by its solar energy systems to customers. It develops energy storage products for use in homes, commercial facilities and utility sites. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, CA.

$. TSLA price fluctuates within 5.65% (three month std-dev: 2.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 41 Average positive next day return: 1.55%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.37%(56%) Sample size 41 Average positive next three day return: 5.21%(59%) Average negative next three day return: -3.1%(41%) Sample size 41 Average positive next weekly return: 6.13%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.11%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170708

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_8_2017	57.28	65.82	68.74	70.79	70.79	72.44	74(2.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	107	160	71	213	45.31	67%	0.47	62.1	2.26%	0	2.2	84	INF
2	Jun_7_2017	57.01	65.33	67.55	69.6	69.44	70.72	71.93(1.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	90	120	56	190	46.99	65%	0.44	66.5	2.24%	0	2.1	85	INF
3	Jun_6_2017	56.76	64.91	66.44	68.86	68.63	69.14	70.57(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	68	40	37	159	55.43	65%	0.26	69.5	2.25%	0	2	70	INF
4	Jun_5_2017	56.61	64.44	65.58	68.15	68.13	68.17	69.46(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	0	21	136	33.92	65%	0.39	63.2	2.24%	0	2	69	INF
5	Jun_2_2017	56.39	64.04	64.83	67.26	67.56	68.12	67.97(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	70	26	109	27.95	65%	0.41	56.8	2.23%	0	1.7	57	INF

6	Jun_1_2017	56.16	63.59	64.28	66.34	66.63	68.08	68.07(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	69	170	60	94	38.04	65%	0.41	39.7	2.23%	0	1.9	59	INF
7	May_31_2017	55.93	63.28	63.57	65.13	65.21	67	68.2(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	75	200	80	59	49.82	65%	0.41	28.7	2.29%	0	2.3	57	INF
8	May_30_2017	55.7	63.03	63.04	63.65	63.66	65.18	67.02(3.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	55	170	68	17	38.91	65%	0.56	13.4	2.28%	0	2.2	57	INF
9	May_26_2017	55.39	62.87	62.6	62.66	62.48	63.42	65.03(2.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	30	100	43	-10	39.01	60%	0.36	6.5	2.28%	0	1.4	62	INF
10	May_25_2017	55.19	62.75	62.54	62.08	61.98	62.14	63.37(2.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	10	15	-23	25.07	58%	0.33	1.3	2.28%	0	0.4	57	INF

11	May_24_2017	55.01	62.67	62.64	61.93	61.99	61.54	62.04(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-50	-5	-14	25.21	58%	0.35	2.1	2.29%	0	-0.4	62	INF
12	May_23_2017	54.82	62.68	62.92	61.77	62.06	61.82	60.77(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-10	-23	-15	21.59	54%	0.11	1.7	2.28%	0	-1.3	48	INF
13	May_22_2017	54.76	62.79	63.29	62.29	62.22	62.43	62.07(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	20	-4	6	21.65	54%	0.37	20.5	2.41%	0	-0.5	46	INF
14	May_19_2017	54.56	62.77	63.26	62.52	62.53	62.31	62.17(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-20	-3	1	23.44	55%	0.37	28.6	2.41%	0	-0.4	44	INF
15	May_18_2017	54.36	62.73	63.24	63.07	62.71	62	62.61(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-100	-30	-2	28.27	55%	0.35	39.2	2.43%	0	-0.1	51	INF

16	May_17_2017	54.17	62.64	62.93	63.48	63.45	62.76	61.22(-3.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-24	-80	-31	-2	33.56	55%	0.33	49.4	2.43%	0	-0.9	51	INF
17	May_16_2017	53.99	62.65	63.06	64.24	64.1	63.42	63.4(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-80	-21	20	20.76	54%	0.19	59.2	2.39%	0	0.5	55	INF
18	May_15_2017	53.89	62.49	63.08	64.41	64.35	64.15	63.18(-2.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-20	-7	33	38.11	54%	0.39	54.4	2.45%	0	0.4	52	INF
19	May_12_2017	53.68	62.35	63.21	64.06	64.29	64.77	64.96(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	60	22	49	20.61	59%	0.47	47.8	2.43%	0	1.5	60	INF
20	May_11_2017	53.43	62.14	62.97	63.4	63.52	64.56	64.62(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	120	42	48	23.77	59%	0.45	42.4	2.45%	0	1.5	60	INF

21	May_10_2017	53.19	61.87	62.67	62.3	62.52	63.8	65.04(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	43	150	47	31	28.71	59%	0.45	24.8	2.47%	0	2	63	INF
22	May_9_2017	52.95	61.69	62.35	61.73	61.41	62.49	64.25(4.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	24	110	27	14	48.38	60%	0.47	20.2	2.46%	0	1.8	59	INF
23	May_8_2017	52.7	61.58	62.17	61.64	61.39	61.24	61.44(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-30	3	12	35.03	58%	0.42	29.6	2.42%	0	-0.1	56	INF
24	May_5_2017	52.48	61.54	62.21	62.26	62.01	60.33	61.67(4.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-26	-200	-39	15	40.89	59%	0.44	58.9	2.41%	0	0.1	56	INF
25	May_4_2017	52.25	61.45	62.17	62.49	62.86	61.55	59.09(-5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.4	-41	-130	-59	15	70.76	57%		75.9	2.37%	0	-1.7	46	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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