Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 29, 2017

Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 13, 2016 - Tue. Jun. 18, 2024)

(Tesla Motors, Inc.)
TSLA latest price $55.4760 (-0.03%) ($55.1080 - $55.9200) on Wed. Mar. 29, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $55.4760(-0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSLA advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSLA advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSLA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(51%)    ARKK(49%)    VUG(48%)    IWF(44%)    LIT(44%)
Factors Impacting TSLA price   TSLA will decline at least -1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-6%)    IPO(-3%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1% (StdDev 2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.72(3.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.76(5.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.41(7.91%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   29.8%
Market Cap   $52.591b

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of fully electric vehicles, energy generation and storage systems. It also provides vehicle service centers, supercharger station, and self-driving capability. The company operates through Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture and sale of electric vehicles. The Energy Generation and Storage segment includes the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of stationary energy storage products and solar energy systems, and sale of electricity generated by its solar energy systems to customers. It develops energy storage products for use in homes, commercial facilities and utility sites. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, CA.

$. TSLA price fluctuates within 3.72% (three month std-dev: 2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 29 Average positive next day return: 2.85%(52%) Average negative next day return: -1.1%(48%) Sample size 29 Average positive next three day return: 4.31%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -3.11%(45%) Sample size 29 Average positive next weekly return: 5.89%(59%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.68%(41%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170429

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_29_2017	46.29	51.41	52.76	53.72	54	55.53	55.48(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	84	210	65	139	18.38	66%	0.39	48.4	2%	0	2.1	75	INF
2	Mar_28_2017	46.11	51.12	52.3	52.82	52.88	54.28	55.49(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	94	190	83	127	39.94	66%	0.37	27.7	2.03%	0	2.6	73	INF
3	Mar_27_2017	45.94	50.82	51.88	51.75	51.65	52.47	54.04(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	49	110	37	86	31.15	66%	0.37	-5.9	2.01%	0	2.3	68	INF
4	Mar_24_2017	45.77	50.57	51.4	51.42	51.25	51.47	52.63(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	20	16	63	28.24	64%	0.33	-34.3	2.02%	0	1.7	60	INF
5	Mar_23_2017	45.62	50.57	51.02	51.36	51.35	50.83	50.96(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-70	-16	42	16.6	64%	0.31	-48.6	2%	0	0.4	54	INF

6	Mar_22_2017	45.48	50.5	50.84	51.65	51.73	51.02	51(1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-90	-29	42	20.3	64%	0.31	-47.3	2.01%	0	0.4	56	INF
7	Mar_21_2017	45.34	50.66	50.69	51.68	52.2	51.86	50.14(-4.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-20	-20	44	34.54	64%	0.24	-42	2.01%	0	-0.3	52	INF
8	Mar_20_2017	45.23	50.91	50.67	51.97	52.19	52.45	52.38(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	50	18	72	18.07	70%	0.29	-38.9	1.92%	0	0.8	67	INF
9	Mar_17_2017	45.1	50.98	50.43	51.34	51.72	52.53	52.3(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	130	44	66	32.49	70%	0.27	-44	1.93%	0	0.7	71	INF
10	Mar_16_2017	44.98	51.03	50.21	50.63	50.83	51.93	52.41(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	160	54	40	35.66	72%	0.27	-52.8	1.94%	0	0.7	53	INF

11	Mar_15_2017	44.86	51.18	49.96	49.94	49.95	50.91	51.15(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	140	46	7	26.65	70%	0.25	-48.9	1.94%	0	-0	48	INF
12	Mar_14_2017	44.75	51.41	49.83	49.59	49.41	49.72	51.6(4.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	13	30	30	-37	37.99	70%	0.27	-40.2	1.94%	0	0.1	34	INF
13	Mar_13_2017	44.63	51.61	49.64	49.21	49.17	49	49.23(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	-30	-11	-101	15.11	69%	0.2	-34.1	1.86%	0	-0.9	18	INF
14	Mar_10_2017	44.54	51.84	49.65	49.41	49.44	49.09	48.74(-0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-44	-50	-17	-126	15.33	69%	0.23	-27	1.87%	0	-1.2	23	INF
15	Mar_9_2017	44.44	52.11	49.91	49.73	49.68	49.34	48.98(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-50	-21	-132	19.4	69%	0.18	-18.7	1.88%	0	-1.2	29	INF

16	Mar_8_2017	44.36	52.3	50.13	49.95	49.92	49.8	49.37(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-45	-20	-11	-147	18.64	69%	0.23	-12.6	1.88%	0	-1.2	24	INF
17	Mar_7_2017	44.26	52.42	50.63	50.07	50.08	50.03	49.72(-1.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-40	-10	-3	-150	17.3	71%	0.27	-9.6	1.87%	0	-1.1	24	INF
18	Mar_6_2017	44.14	52.54	51.17	50.13	50.14	50.04	50.24(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-34	-10	4	-147	16.78	71%	0.25	-6.4	1.92%	0	-1	26	INF
19	Mar_3_2017	44.03	52.56	51.57	49.93	50.03	50.12	50.31(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-42	20	-4	-155	14.65	73%	0.25	-9.6	1.93%	0	-1	39	INF
20	Mar_2_2017	43.92	52.59	51.92	50.15	49.8	50.25	50.1(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-36	40	1	-147	16.76	73%	0.23	-7.4	1.94%	0	-1.1	39	INF

21	Mar_1_2017	43.82	52.61	52.49	50.37	50	49.93	50(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-30	-10	-130	24.05	68%	0.23	-6.6	1.94%	0	-1.1	45	INF
22	Feb_28_2017	43.72	52.65	53.1	51.31	50.4	49.35	50(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-69	-200	-60	-95	30.39	65%	0.25	3.7	2.05%	0	-1.2	49	INF
23	Feb_27_2017	43.61	52.69	53.73	52.4	51.91	50.07	49.25(-4.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-69	-280	-76	-47	57.3	65%	0.23	18.1	2.05%	0	-1.5	47	INF
24	Feb_24_2017	43.51	52.78	54.24	53.44	53.46	51.46	51.4(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-58	-260	-78	2	40.86	69%	0.28	35.9	1.97%	0	-0.6	59	INF
25	Feb_23_2017	43.39	52.76	54.53	53.92	54.17	53.75	51.2(-6.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-43	-40	-70	39	74.58	69%		45.4	1.99%	0	-0.7	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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