Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 13, 2016 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(Tesla Motors, Inc.)
TSLA latest price $42.9360 (-2.3%) ($42.8245 - $43.8400) on Thu. Dec. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.01% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $42.9360(-2.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSLA advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSLA advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSLA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(51%)    ARKK(49%)    VUG(48%)    IWF(44%)    LIT(44%)
Factors Impacting TSLA price   TSLA will decline at least -1.005% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-2%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.005% (StdDev 2.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.03(-0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.98(2.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.12(7.02%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   18.3%
Market Cap   $40.703b

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of fully electric vehicles, energy generation and storage systems. It also provides vehicle service centers, supercharger station, and self-driving capability. The company operates through Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture and sale of electric vehicles. The Energy Generation and Storage segment includes the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of stationary energy storage products and solar energy systems, and sale of electricity generated by its solar energy systems to customers. It develops energy storage products for use in homes, commercial facilities and utility sites. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, CA.

$. TSLA price fluctuates within 5.76% (three month std-dev: 2.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.7%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.67%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 2.11%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.24%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 3.82%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.02%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_29_2016	40.36	40.12	41.98	43.03	43.28	43.72	42.94(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	47	90	10	157	20.22	51%	-0.05	53	2.01%	0	1.2	82	INF
2	Dec_28_2016	40.38	39.86	41.67	42.75	42.86	43.83	43.95(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	75	170	43	170	18.91	53%	-0.05	50.7	2.02%	0	1.8	90	INF
3	Dec_27_2016	40.4	39.55	41.23	42.31	42.28	42.84	43.91(2.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	80	90	48	175	29.58	53%	-0.17	52	2.02%	0	2.1	92	INF
4	Dec_23_2016	40.47	39.29	40.68	41.64	41.68	41.89	42.67(2.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	53	40	21	150	23.35	51%	-0.07	56.9	1.99%	0	1.9	88	INF
5	Dec_22_2016	40.5	39.1	40.25	41.21	41.27	41.72	41.69(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	80	23	154	15.56	49%	-0.1	59.2	1.97%	0	1.6	89	INF

6	Dec_21_2016	40.54	38.93	39.93	40.77	40.87	41.48	41.54(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	65	110	34	158	26.04	49%	-0.1	61.8	1.97%	0	1.8	87	INF
7	Dec_20_2016	40.58	38.76	39.63	40.41	40.35	40.82	41.76(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	60	80	30	149	23.45	49%	-0.1	66.1	1.97%	0	2.2	71	INF
8	Dec_19_2016	40.62	38.51	39.17	39.99	40.02	40.26	40.55(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	40	26	129	17.44	47%	-0.15	67	1.93%	0	1.7	66	INF
9	Dec_16_2016	40.68	38.32	38.85	39.57	39.72	39.87	40.5(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	40	19	95	18.98	49%	-0.15	58.2	1.94%	0	1.9	55	INF
10	Dec_15_2016	40.74	38.18	38.44	39.16	39.35	39.78	39.52(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	90	16	55	16.1	47%	-0.15	56.3	1.94%	0	1.3	49	INF

11	Dec_14_2016	40.8	38.04	38.13	38.95	39.01	39.57	39.74(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	110	29	34	20.75	47%	-0.17	46.3	1.95%	0	1.7	55	INF
12	Dec_13_2016	40.87	37.89	37.92	38.73	38.63	38.91	39.63(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	40	30	22	34.12	47%	-0.15	32	1.95%	0	1.8	57	INF
13	Dec_12_2016	40.93	37.72	37.73	38.24	38.28	38.46	38.49(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	40	15	1	12.19	45%	-0.15	7.2	1.92%	0	0.8	60	INF
14	Dec_9_2016	40.99	37.67	37.78	38.01	37.91	38.35	38.44(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	70	23	10	13.61	45%	-0.15	-1.2	1.94%	0	0.8	59	INF
15	Dec_8_2016	41.05	37.6	37.84	37.58	37.57	38.1	38.46(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	28	100	35	8	15.97	45%	-0.17	-16.3	1.94%	0	0.9	54	INF

16	Dec_7_2016	41.12	37.57	37.85	37.17	37.1	37.46	38.63(3.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	13	60	19	-4	27.31	45%	-0.17	-27.5	1.96%	0	1.2	60	INF
17	Dec_6_2016	41.19	37.58	37.85	37.02	36.88	37.03	37.17(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2	20	-0	-9	16.96	43%	-0.19	-27.8	1.9%	0	-0.4	54	INF
18	Dec_5_2016	41.27	37.65	37.79	37.16	37.12	36.75	37.36(2.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-70	-16	-3	20.36	43%	-0.15	-27	1.92%	0	-0.3	58	INF
19	Dec_2_2016	41.33	37.69	37.76	37.54	37.5	36.72	36.29(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-37	-150	-48	-4	20.21	41%	-0.22	-25.4	1.9%	0	-1.5	44	INF
20	Dec_1_2016	41.42	37.75	37.93	38.14	38.2	37.49	36.38(-3.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-23	-130	-41	33	25.63	37%	-0.19	-25	1.91%	0	-1.5	49	INF

21	Nov_30_2016	41.5	37.83	38	38.6	38.72	38.28	37.88(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-70	-20	54	17.74	40%	-0.17	-27	1.94%	0	0.1	49	INF
22	Nov_29_2016	41.57	37.84	37.9	38.67	38.83	38.92	37.91(-3.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	15	30	3	51	22.2	38%	-0.17	-37.4	1.95%	0	0.1	44	INF
23	Nov_28_2016	41.64	37.91	37.75	38.46	38.59	39.17	39.22(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	120	31	36	22.65	41%	-0.1	-45.3	1.93%	0	1.4	52	INF
24	Nov_25_2016	41.68	37.93	37.58	38.02	38.06	38.74	39.33(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	130	33	14	11.83	41%	-0.12	-54.8	1.93%	0	1.4	55	INF
25	Nov_23_2016	41.73	37.98	37.34	37.7	37.71	38.01	38.63(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	23	60	32	-5	24.46	41%		-48.9	1.9%	0	0.5	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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