Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 9, 2016

Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 13, 2016 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(Tesla Motors, Inc.)
TSLA latest price $45.8720 (-2.62%) ($45.4120 - $47.0660) on Thu. Jun. 9, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.26% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $45.8720(-2.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSLA advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSLA advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSLA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(51%)    ARKK(49%)    VUG(48%)    IWF(44%)    LIT(44%)
Factors Impacting TSLA price   TSLA will decline at least -1.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    IPO(-5%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.13% (StdDev 2.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.48(0.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.97(2.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.84(4.64%)
To recent high   -13.6%
To recent low   12.1%
Market Cap   $43.487b

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of fully electric vehicles, energy generation and storage systems. It also provides vehicle service centers, supercharger station, and self-driving capability. The company operates through Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture and sale of electric vehicles. The Energy Generation and Storage segment includes the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of stationary energy storage products and solar energy systems, and sale of electricity generated by its solar energy systems to customers. It develops energy storage products for use in homes, commercial facilities and utility sites. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, CA.

$. TSLA price fluctuates within 3.7% (three month std-dev: 2.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 28 Average positive next day return: 0.97%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.98%(50%) Sample size 28 Average positive next three day return: 2.95%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -1.83%(71%) Sample size 28 Average positive next weekly return: 2.69%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.12%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160709

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_9_2016	42.66	43.84	44.97	45.48	45.69	46.74	45.87(-2.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	170	25	69	22.46	56%	0.14	54.6	2.26%	0	1.3	66	0
2	Jun_8_2016	42.6	43.63	44.78	45.06	45.09	46.33	47.1(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	66	190	61	80	29.86	58%	0.14	40.9	2.26%	0	2.2	77	0
3	Jun_7_2016	42.54	43.35	44.41	44.42	44.25	44.64	46.47(5.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	38	50	30	62	31.07	58%	0.09	18.5	2.26%	0	2.2	79	0
4	Jun_6_2016	42.5	43.11	44.07	44.06	43.87	43.85	44.14(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-20	-5	47	11.25	54%	0.09	-10.8	2.18%	0	0.8	67	0
5	Jun_3_2016	42.46	43.05	44.06	44.15	44.09	43.86	43.8(0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-40	-9	64	11.14	57%	0.05	-27.9	2.2%	0	0.6	66	0

6	Jun_2_2016	42.44	42.97	44	44.4	44.29	43.9	43.79(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-70	-12	81	10.16	57%	0.09	-48.9	2.25%	0	0.7	66	0
7	Jun_1_2016	42.4	42.99	43.86	44.42	44.47	44.32	43.91(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-20	-6	90	14.91	57%	0.05	-67.7	2.25%	0	0.7	64	0
8	May_31_2016	42.38	43.1	43.59	44.36	44.41	44.68	44.65(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	50	11	91	13.95	57%	0.05	-73.2	2.27%	0	1.1	69	0
9	May_27_2016	42.36	43.25	43.3	44.07	44.11	44.62	44.61(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	80	16	84	18.25	57%	0.05	-59.5	2.28%	0	0.7	69	0
10	May_26_2016	42.34	43.39	42.99	43.96	43.85	44.13	45.02(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	40	22	76	20.36	57%	0.07	-57	2.29%	0	0.7	60	0

11	May_25_2016	42.31	43.57	42.62	43.57	43.66	43.59	43.92(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10	11	55	15.66	59%	0.05	-54.1	2.28%	0	0.1	59	0
12	May_24_2016	42.29	43.86	42.4	43.23	43.38	43.57	43.58(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	40	11	28	15.07	59%	0.02	-51	2.34%	0	-0.1	43	0
13	May_23_2016	42.28	44.18	42.21	42.7	43.06	43.72	43.24(-1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	16	130	25	-10	25.51	59%	0.02	-50.3	2.34%	0	-0.3	34	0
14	May_20_2016	42.27	44.51	42.05	42.38	42.48	43.18	44.06(2.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	11	120	31	-51	45.04	64%	0.05	-50.3	2.44%	0	-0.1	30	0
15	May_19_2016	42.25	44.82	41.91	41.88	42.02	42.41	43.04(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	70	22	-97	34.33	64%	0.02	-52.9	2.45%	0	-0.5	27	0

16	May_18_2016	42.24	45.14	41.82	41.56	41.77	41.77	42.23(3.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-33	20	6	-150	28.09	64%	0	-54.9	2.44%	0	-0.8	19	0
17	May_17_2016	42.24	45.52	42.02	41.47	41.65	41.63	40.93(-1.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-53	10	-8	-189	14.22	67%	-0.02	-56.9	2.42%	0	-1.2	10	0
18	May_16_2016	42.25	45.95	42.54	41.63	41.79	41.77	41.66(0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0	-45	10	2	-185	14.75	67%	-0.02	-57.2	2.63%	0	-1.1	10	0
19	May_13_2016	42.26	46.41	43.17	41.66	41.7	41.68	41.52(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-57	-0	-10	-198	14.11	67%	-0.02	-57.4	2.64%	0	-1.3	12	0
20	May_12_2016	42.27	46.89	43.8	41.95	41.88	41.8	41.46(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-53	-20	-4	-198	18.25	67%	-0.02	-57.1	2.66%	0	-1.5	11	0

21	May_11_2016	42.28	47.35	44.59	42.12	42.08	41.72	41.79(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-66	-60	-20	-202	25.81	69%	0	-60.3	2.66%	0	-1.6	20	0
22	May_10_2016	42.28	47.82	45.42	42.67	42.59	41.96	41.74(-0.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-75	-110	-36	-192	20.35	69%	-0.02	-63.9	2.71%	0	-1.9	19	0
23	May_9_2016	42.29	48.24	46.32	43.61	43.55	42.45	41.78(-2.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-78	-180	-48	-168	23.88	69%	-0.02	-65.2	2.75%	0	-2.2	23	0
24	May_6_2016	42.3	48.68	47.19	44.93	44.71	43.22	42.99(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-74	-250	-54	-134	28.43	64%	0.02	-61.9	2.95%	0	-2.2	22	0
25	May_5_2016	42.29	49.06	47.99	45.96	46.1	44.65	42.31(-4.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-73	-210	-59	-114	56.27	58%		-54.1	2.97%	0	-3	18	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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