Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 13, 2016 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(Tesla Motors, Inc.)
TSLA latest price $44.3860 (1.64%) ($43.4040 - $44.5160) on Wed. Mar. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.46% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $44.3860(1.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSLA advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSLA advances 6.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSLA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(51%)    ARKK(49%)    VUG(47%)    IWF(44%)    LIT(44%)
Factors Impacting TSLA price   TSLA will decline at least -1.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-6%)    IPO(-5%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.73% (StdDev 3.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.72(3.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.72(6.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.13(13.43%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   54.5%
Market Cap   $42.078b

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of fully electric vehicles, energy generation and storage systems. It also provides vehicle service centers, supercharger station, and self-driving capability. The company operates through Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture and sale of electric vehicles. The Energy Generation and Storage segment includes the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of stationary energy storage products and solar energy systems, and sale of electricity generated by its solar energy systems to customers. It develops energy storage products for use in homes, commercial facilities and utility sites. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, CA.

$. TSLA price fluctuates within 8.38% (three month std-dev: 3.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.84%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.16%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 3.97%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.31%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 5.28%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.13%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2016	37.39	39.13	41.72	42.72	42.85	43.57	44.39(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	130	21	118	17.58	51%	0.43	97.4	3.46%	0	1.6	79	INF
2	Mar_15_2016	37.23	38.59	41.06	42.2	42.22	42.96	43.67(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	48	120	25	117	15.9	51%	0.43	96.4	3.5%	0	1.5	82	INF
3	Mar_14_2016	37.07	37.97	40.42	41.57	41.75	42.13	43.03(3.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	41	80	19	108	20.33	51%	0.38	98.5	3.54%	0	1.6	82	INF
4	Mar_11_2016	36.93	37.34	39.94	41.17	41.26	41.48	41.5(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	33	40	7	109	16.72	48%	0.33	87.7	3.54%	0	1.2	79	INF
5	Mar_10_2016	36.81	36.78	39.6	40.91	41.01	41.36	41.04(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	70	13	127	25.96	48%	0.27	75.1	3.58%	0	1.2	83	INF

6	Mar_9_2016	36.71	36.18	39.24	40.54	40.65	41.03	41.74(3.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	53	70	23	142	16.04	48%	0.38	60.3	3.61%	0	1.5	86	INF
7	Mar_8_2016	36.57	35.57	38.65	39.72	39.9	40.65	40.52(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	150	22	133	20.89	48%	0.27	45.3	3.63%	0	1.3	81	INF
8	Mar_7_2016	36.47	35.03	38.15	39.07	38.98	40.27	41.06(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	56	220	28	141	26.69	48%	0.36	28.2	3.67%	0	1.6	88	INF
9	Mar_4_2016	36.34	34.57	37.59	38.54	38.34	39.16	40.21(2.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	60	130	29	154	32.45	48%	0.3	18.5	3.71%	0	1.6	89	INF
10	Mar_3_2016	36.23	34.28	36.91	38.11	37.96	37.69	39.15(3.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	44	-60	8	153	24.15	48%	0.25	12.2	3.74%	0	1.5	88	INF

11	Mar_2_2016	36.14	34.03	36.33	37.78	37.84	37.53	37.67(1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	40	-50	-3	168	24.31	45%	0.11	5.8	3.73%	0	1.2	89	INF
12	Mar_1_2016	36.1	33.93	35.95	37.4	37.69	38.23	37.27(-2.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	56	120	12	187	33.56	45%	0.11	-0.9	3.78%	0	1.1	81	INF
13	Feb_29_2016	36.06	33.99	35.35	37.04	36.94	38.15	38.39(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	69	220	27	195	22.49	45%	0.19	-4	3.81%	0	1.4	86	INF
14	Feb_26_2016	35.99	33.93	34.55	36.47	36.17	37.15	38.07(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	73	160	38	177	30.33	45%	0.19	-12.2	3.87%	0	1.3	66	INF
15	Feb_25_2016	35.92	33.88	33.75	35.52	35.43	35.72	37.49(4.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	50	25	124	28.75	45%	0.17	-23.3	3.92%	0	1.1	54	INF

16	Feb_24_2016	35.86	33.85	32.87	34.69	34.56	35.2	35.8(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	120	9	72	26.98	41%	0	-33.4	3.88%	0	0.6	52	INF
17	Feb_23_2016	35.86	33.96	32.25	34.28	34.28	35.14	35.44(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	180	34	41	29.92	41%	-0.06	-38.4	3.94%	0	0.4	45	INF
18	Feb_22_2016	35.88	34.12	31.65	33.4	33.59	33.92	35.55(6.7%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	16	90	29	-25	25.3	41%	-0.03	-45.4	4.02%	0	0.4	39	INF
19	Feb_19_2016	35.89	34.32	31.29	32.33	32.77	33.43	33.32(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	180	18	-84	14.8	34%	-0.31	-50.8	3.83%	0	-0.3	36	INF
20	Feb_18_2016	36	34.64	31.4	31.69	32.1	33.27	33.35(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	290	36	-103	19.44	34%	-0.3	-53.3	3.91%	0	-0.3	37	INF

21	Feb_17_2016	36.11	34.94	31.48	30.76	31.3	32.12	33.74(8.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-8	240	34	-135	29.13	34%	-0.28	0	3.99%	0	-0.3	39	INF
22	Feb_16_2016	36.21	35.28	31.69	29.94	30.52	30.94	31.03(2.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-36	150	16	-191	27.97	22%	-0.63	0	3.54%	0	-1	27	INF
23	Feb_12_2016	36.44	35.77	32.46	29.66	30.02	30.49	30.21(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-54	150	-3	-206	36.18	22%	-0.82	0	3.52%	0	-1.3	23	INF
24	Feb_11_2016	36.74	36.33	33.23	30.12	30.04	30.09	30.09(4.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-63	0	-16	-205	71.26	22%	-0.89	0	3.58%	0	-1.5	21	INF
25	Feb_10_2016	37.07	36.85	34.02	31.11	30.69	29.56	28.73(-3.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-82	-300	-39	-210	52.03	14%		0	3.39%	0	-2.1	17	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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