Trading Signals: TRVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TRVN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: TRVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 30, 2014 - Fri. Feb. 17, 2017)

(Trevena, Inc.)
TRVN latest price $7.0000 (-6.67%) ($6.8200 - $7.7200) on Thu. May. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.91% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $7.0000(-6.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TRVN declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TRVN declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TRVN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(73%)    IWO(20%)    ARKK(19%)    IWC(19%)    XAR(19%)
Factors Impacting TRVN price   TRVN will decline at least -2.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
USO(-11%)    BNDX(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    VIXM(-9%)    VCIT(-7%)

Relative Volatility

Market Trend Strength   -2.455% (StdDev 4.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -7.7%

Resistance Level   $8.01
5 Day Moving Average   $7.65(-8.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $7.64(-8.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $8.01(-12.61%)
To recent high   -27.9%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $890m

Trevena, Inc. engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines for patients affected by central nervous system disorders. Its product candidates include Oliceridine injection, TRV250, TRV734, and TRV045. The company was founded by Maxine Gowen, Robert Joseph Lefkowitz, Scott DeWire, Howard A. Rockman, Jonathan Violin, and Erin Whalen on November 9, 2007 and is headquartered in Chesterbrook, PA.

$. TRVN price fluctuates within 7.24% (three month std-dev: 4.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 9.2%(13%) Average negative next day return: -5.86%(88%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 13.98%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -10.62%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 3.42%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -15.08%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2016	8.27	8.01	7.64	7.65	7.73	7.51	7(-6.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	-170	-10	-37	0.74	40%	-0.36	-57.7	4.91%	0	-1.7	28	INF
2	May_11_2016	8.3	8.12	7.74	7.65	7.8	7.89	7.5(-5.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	100	-0	-29	0.44	42%	-0.36	-52.8	4.85%	0	-1.1	35	INF
3	May_10_2016	8.33	8.21	7.74	7.76	7.72	7.96	7.97(-0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	200	5	-34	0.4	45%	-0.24	-50.9	4.8%	0	-0.4	42	INF
4	May_9_2016	8.35	8.26	7.78	7.72	7.6	7.72	8.03(3.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	60	7	-50	0.65	45%	-0.24	-48.5	4.8%	0	-0.4	31	INF
5	May_6_2016	8.37	8.3	7.8	7.64	7.58	7.48	7.75(2.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-120	-1	-72	0.42	45%	-0.24	-50.2	4.75%	0	-0.9	23	INF

6	May_5_2016	8.39	8.36	7.86	7.65	7.59	7.49	7.53(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-120	-8	-84	0.65	45%	-0.47	-47.5	4.77%	0	-1.4	19	INF
7	May_4_2016	8.43	8.43	7.93	7.74	7.72	7.67	7.5(-3.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-25	-50	-4	-88	0.65	47%	-0.35	-40.7	4.78%	0	-1.6	17	INF
8	May_3_2016	8.46	8.52	8.01	7.8	7.8	7.68	7.8(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	-110	-4	-96	0.6	47%	-0.35	-34.2	4.79%	0	-1.3	18	INF
9	May_2_2016	8.49	8.56	8.13	7.86	7.83	7.76	7.63(-2.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-31	-70	-9	-97	1.04	47%	-0.35	-31.3	4.79%	0	-1.8	20	INF
10	Apr_29_2016	8.52	8.62	8.27	7.99	7.97	7.92	7.79(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-50	-6	-83	0.38	51%	-0.35	-16.9	4.76%	0	-1.8	31	INF

11	Apr_28_2016	8.55	8.66	8.4	8.1	8.06	7.9	7.96(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-150	-5	-71	0.39	49%	-0.35	-0.8	4.87%	0	-1.6	32	INF
12	Apr_27_2016	8.58	8.68	8.52	8.16	8.14	8.02	7.83(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-22	-110	-7	-66	0.45	47%	-0.46	13.3	4.91%	0	-2	27	INF
13	Apr_26_2016	8.62	8.71	8.67	8.25	8.23	8.21	8.07(-2.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-20	-10	-58	0.7	47%	-0.46	24.1	4.94%	0	-1.6	28	INF
14	Apr_25_2016	8.66	8.73	8.78	8.44	8.36	8.26	8.31(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-110	-9	-39	0.33	47%	-0.46	41.1	4.94%	0	-1	48	INF
15	Apr_22_2016	8.7	8.7	8.84	8.6	8.56	8.24	8.33(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-280	-10	-25	0.3	47%	-0.34	56.3	4.94%	0	-0.8	46	INF

16	Apr_21_2016	8.73	8.66	8.9	8.75	8.77	8.46	8.27(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-13	-240	-14	-11	0.59	47%	-0.46	58	4.95%	0	-0.8	50	INF
17	Apr_20_2016	8.77	8.62	8.98	8.93	9	8.87	8.27(-8.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-6	-80	-12	12	0.86	47%	-0.45	61	4.96%	0	-0.6	55	INF
18	Apr_19_2016	8.81	8.61	9.07	9.14	9.15	9.09	9(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-40	-2	46	0.54	48%	-0.34	76	4.84%	0	0.7	71	INF
19	Apr_18_2016	8.84	8.55	9.04	9.17	9.19	9.13	9.15(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	15	-40	2	54	0.48	48%	-0.45	74.9	4.88%	0	1	67	INF
20	Apr_15_2016	8.88	8.46	8.99	9.11	9.16	9.2	9.08(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	50	2	65	0.57	47%	0	64.6	4.92%	0	0.9	77	INF

21	Apr_14_2016	8.88	8.37	8.94	9.07	9.1	9.25	9.13(-2.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	130	2	78	0.44	49%	-0.45	59.7	4.95%	0	1.1	79	INF
22	Apr_13_2016	8.92	8.28	8.86	9.05	9.04	9.13	9.34(2.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	26	70	4	91	0.28	47%	-0.34	55.4	5.03%	0	1.5	84	INF
23	Apr_12_2016	8.95	8.18	8.74	9	8.99	8.95	9.13(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-30	4	92	0.23	47%	-0.44	47.1	5.12%	0	1.4	66	INF
24	Apr_11_2016	8.99	8.11	8.67	8.9	8.97	8.96	8.87(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	20	2	95	0.43	45%	-0.33	33.8	5.12%	0	1.2	67	INF
25	Apr_8_2016	9.02	8.05	8.54	8.86	8.9	9.02	8.89(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	28	110	4	99	0.32	45%		24.1	5.23%	0	1.4	72	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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