Trading Signals: TRV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 29, 2014

Trading Signals: TRV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Travelers)
TRV latest price $97.0010 (0.23%) ($96.5992 - $97.5815) on Mon. Dec. 29, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $97.0010(0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TRV advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TRV advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TRV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(72%)    VYM(71%)    IVE(66%)    XLI(63%)    VT(61%)
Factors Impacting TRV price   TRV will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-23%)    GDXJ(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $96.8(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $95.84(1.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $95.3(1.78%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.1%
Market Cap   $24.561b

The Travelers Cos., Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of commercial and personal property and casualty insurance products and services. It operates through the following business segments: Business Insurance; Bond and Specialty Insurance; and Personal Insurance. The Business Insurance segment offers a broad array of property and casualty insurance, and insurance related services to its customers. The Bond and Specialty Insurance segment includes surety, fidelity, management liability, professional liability, and other property and casualty coverage and related risk management services. The Personal Insurance segment consists of products of automobile and homeowners insurance are complemented by a broad suite of related coverages. The company was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. TRV price fluctuates within 1.21% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_29_2014	88.54	95.3	95.84	96.8			97(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	5	78	0.83	74%	0.18	67.8	0.88%	0	1.5	54	0
2	Dec_26_2014	88.38	95.15	95.51	96.58			96.77(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	3	61	0.78	74%	0.28	69	0.89%	0	1.5	60	0
3	Dec_24_2014	88.13	95.02	95.3	96.44			96.79(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	10	58	0.54	72%	0.19	76.1	0.9%	0	1.7	61	0
4	Dec_23_2014	87.96	94.84	95.07	96.03			97(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	-10000	16	43	1.29	69%	0.18	68.5	0.91%	0	2.1	61	0
5	Dec_22_2014	87.8	94.67	94.87	95.32			96.42(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	-10000	13	21	1.12	69%	0.18	61.5	0.92%	0	1.9	63	0

6	Dec_19_2014	87.64	94.52	94.79	94.74			95.91(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	11	-10000	11	9	3.9	69%	0.18	53.9	0.92%	0	1.7	60	0
7	Dec_18_2014	87.48	94.39	94.68	94.27			96.09(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	3	-10000	6	-7	2.23	70%	0.17	41.9	0.92%	0	2.1	62	0
8	Dec_17_2014	87.33	94.23	94.53	94.02			94.7(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	1	-15	2.39	69%	0.15	34.6	0.92%	0	0.6	55	0
9	Dec_16_2014	87.2	94.14	94.55	93.99			93.49(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-8	-10	2.2	68%	0.13	32.6	0.91%	0	-0.8	55	0
10	Dec_15_2014	87.09	94.12	94.64	94.34			93.5(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-8	-10000	-12	6	1.97	69%	0.13	40.7	0.91%	0	-0.7	52	0

11	Dec_12_2014	86.98	94.07	94.73	94.84			93.56(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	4	-10000	-6	32	2.25	69%	0.12	53.5	0.92%	0	-0.5	52	0
12	Dec_11_2014	86.88	94.06	94.81	94.84			94.84(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	0	52	2.47	72%	0.15	68	0.9%	0	0.8	66	0
13	Dec_10_2014	86.75	93.97	94.75	95.11			94.56(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-10000	-2	60	2.42	72%	0.15	75	0.9%	0	0.6	67	0
14	Dec_9_2014	86.62	93.88	94.64	95.18			95.25(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	5	71	1.98	72%	0.12	84.3	0.89%	0	1.4	77	0
15	Dec_8_2014	86.52	93.76	94.48	94.97			95.99(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	25	-10000	9	72	2.03	72%	0.12	95.9	0.89%	0	2.4	88	0

16	Dec_5_2014	86.42	93.58	94.24	94.61			94.92(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	19	-10000	3	65	1.73	71%	0.12	107.1	0.89%	0	1.7	87	0
17	Dec_4_2014	86.32	93.43	94.08	94.48			94.82(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	3	62	3.23	71%	0.1	95.4	0.89%	0	1.7	69	0
18	Dec_3_2014	86.23	93.27	93.9	94.35			94.91(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	8	60	2.39	71%	0.1	101.1	0.89%	0	2	71	0
19	Dec_2_2014	86.14	93.08	93.68	94.03			94.19(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	3	46	2.1	71%	0.1	96.7	0.88%	0	1.3	68	0
20	Dec_1_2014	86.05	92.89	93.54	93.92			94.23(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	3	41	1.59	71%	0.1	83.3	0.89%	0	1.3	67	0

21	Nov_28_2014	85.96	92.73	93.36	93.81			94.24(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	4	38	0.83	71%	0.13	91	0.89%	0	1.5	73	0
22	Nov_26_2014	85.85	92.66	93.24	93.63			94.17(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	6	41	1.65	71%	0.12	102.5	0.88%	0	1.3	75	0
23	Nov_25_2014	85.75	92.44	93.11	93.38			93.32(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	3	39	2.25	70%	0.09	106.3	0.88%	0	0.7	74	0
24	Nov_24_2014	85.67	92.28	93.07	93.28			93.64(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	5	48	1.46	70%	0.09	111.9	0.88%	0	1	81	0
25	Nov_21_2014	85.59	92.06	92.99	93.09			93.66(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	20	-10000	6	60	1.77	71%		111	0.88%	0	1.1	86	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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