Trading Signals: TNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: TNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bull 3x ETF)
TNA latest price $26.3800 (3.05%) ($25.5200 - $26.3800) on Thu. Mar. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.29% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $26.3800(3.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TNA advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TNA advances 10.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(91%)    IWO(89%)    VT(89%)    IWN(88%)    IWC(87%)
Factors Impacting TNA price   TNA will decline at least -2.145% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-15%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.145% (StdDev 4.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.75(6.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.67(11.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.02(19.8%)
To recent high   -27.2%
To recent low   43.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. TNA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. TNA price fluctuates within 9.85% (three month std-dev: 4.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160403

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_3_2016	29.41	22.02	23.67	24.75			26.38(3.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	46	-10000	12	146	11.97	38%	-0.2	31.7	4.29%	0	2	88	0
2	Mar_2_2016	29.47	21.78	23.17	24.11			25.6(3.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	45	-10000	12	142	11.96	38%	-0.27	27.4	4.31%	0	2	81	0
3	Mar_1_2016	29.55	21.57	22.77	23.51			24.83(6.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	45	-10000	12	142	16.95	38%	-0.37	19.2	4.3%	0	1.9	80	0
4	Feb_29_2016	29.66	21.57	22.37	22.93			23.32(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10000	3	134	13.35	36%	-0.4	16.2	4.18%	0	1.2	73	0
5	Feb_26_2016	29.78	21.47	22	22.78			23.61(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	-10000	7	129	15.53	36%	-0.4	16.1	4.18%	0	1.3	65	0

6	Feb_25_2016	29.9	21.35	21.5	22.43			23.19(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	8	93	14.06	36%	-0.37	11.4	4.2%	0	1.2	52	0
7	Feb_24_2016	30.01	21.27	21.09	22.08			22.59(2.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	3	60	18.38	36%	-0.33	5.9	4.2%	0	0.9	52	0
8	Feb_23_2016	30.11	21.25	20.73	21.93			21.94(-2.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	5	38	15.47	36%	-0.36	7.2	4.19%	0	0.5	49	0
9	Feb_22_2016	30.22	21.22	20.47	21.72			22.58(3.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	14	8	13.35	36%	-0.26	1.2	4.19%	0	0.9	44	0
10	Feb_19_2016	30.3	21.21	20.47	21.1			21.83(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-10000	16	-36	12.68	36%	-0.26	-11.7	4.17%	0	0.4	40	0

11	Feb_18_2016	30.38	21.21	20.23	20.42			21.47(-1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	12	-61	14.1	38%	-0.3	-27.4	4.16%	0	0.2	50	0
12	Feb_17_2016	30.47	21.18	20.25	19.93			21.82(4.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-9	-10000	14	-76	16.68	38%	-0.2	-45.8	4.22%	0	0.4	51	0
13	Feb_16_2016	30.53	21.15	20.23	19.37			20.88(7.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-20	-10000	8	-104	18.49	36%	-0.29	-65.7	4.17%	0	-0.2	43	0
14	Feb_12_2016	30.62	21.2	20.45	19.07			19.48(5.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	-10000	-5	-112	21.77	32%	-0.46	-78.5	4.04%	0	-1.2	44	0
15	Feb_11_2016	30.76	21.39	20.85	19.26			18.43(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-10000	-19	-108	32.89	29%	-0.49	-84.1	4%	0	-2	33	0

16	Feb_10_2016	30.91	21.59	21.2	20.03			19.02(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-10000	-14	-77	25.34	29%	-0.48	-100.3	3.99%	0	-2	44	0
17	Feb_9_2016	31.06	21.87	21.48	20.62			19.05(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-24	-10000	-14	-55	26.67	29%	-0.51	-104	4%	0	-2.1	43	0
18	Feb_8_2016	31.22	22.15	21.86	21.2			19.39(-5.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-20	-10000	-18	-27	26.9	29%	-0.51	-114.9	4.01%	0	-2.2	46	0
19	Feb_5_2016	31.38	22.42	22.09	22			20.43(-8.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-11	-10000	-15	0	23.85	30%	-0.54	-128.6	3.99%	0	-1.7	46	0
20	Feb_4_2016	31.55	22.7	22.34	22.66			22.24(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	-10000	3	31	21.73	32%	-0.44	-123.4	3.88%	0	-0.3	47	0

21	Feb_3_2016	31.69	22.98	22.26	22.55			21.99(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	2	20	19.88	32%	-0.44	-105.4	3.88%	0	-0.5	50	0
22	Feb_2_2016	31.83	23.34	22.22	22.48			21.93(-6.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-10000	-3	-4	20.93	35%	-0.38	-89.9	3.89%	0	-0.6	42	0
23	Feb_1_2016	31.95	23.7	22.15	22.61			23.43(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	-10000	10	-14	18.6	36%	-0.37	-84.3	3.91%	0	-0.1	46	0
24	Jan_29_2016	32.07	24.08	22	22.19			23.73(9.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	4	-49	17.76	36%	-0.31	-88.7	3.91%	0	-0.1	46	0
25	Jan_28_2016	32.17	24.5	21.91	22.01			21.65(-0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-18	-10000	2	-79	18.84	36%		-75.3	3.7%	0	-0.9	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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