Trading Signals: TNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: TNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bull 3x ETF)
TNA latest price $36.4700 (6.08%) ($34.4200 - $36.7700) on Mon. Nov. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $36.4700(6.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TNA advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TNA advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(91%)    IWO(89%)    VT(89%)    IWN(88%)    VYM(85%)
Factors Impacting TNA price   TNA will decline at least -2% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2% (StdDev 4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.94(4.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.59(5.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.33(6.23%)
To recent high   -13.8%
To recent low   29.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. TNA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. TNA price fluctuates within 3.09% (three month std-dev: 4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_2_2015	38.46	34.33	34.59	34.94			36.47(6.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	11	-10000	6	24	9.92	51%	-0.23	111.3	4%	0	2	61	0
2	Oct_30_2015	38.55	34.14	34.39	34.5			34.38(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10000	-1	11	8.82	49%	-0.34	105.2	3.92%	0	0.2	49	0
3	Oct_29_2015	38.68	33.97	34.41	34.6			34.78(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	2	14	10.4	49%	-0.28	81.9	3.93%	0	0.5	50	0
4	Oct_28_2015	38.79	33.72	34.39	34.43			35.93(8.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	-10000	9	12	17.3	49%	-0.23	60.2	3.91%	0	1.3	54	0
5	Oct_27_2015	38.88	33.4	34.05	33.86			33.15(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-10000	-5	-14	9.41	45%	-0.28	37.2	3.78%	0	-0.1	49	0

6	Oct_26_2015	38.99	33.19	34.09	34.16			34.27(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-10000	-2	0	6.99	45%	-0.31	27.6	3.77%	0	0.5	61	0
7	Oct_23_2015	39.11	32.93	34.14	34.27			34.89(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-10000	1	13	10.37	42%	-0.26	16.8	3.8%	0	0.9	60	0
8	Oct_22_2015	39.21	32.75	34.12	34.2			33.92(2.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-2	29	11.17	42%	-0.31	8.9	3.8%	0	0.5	66	0
9	Oct_21_2015	39.33	32.69	34.21	34.35			33.08(-4.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	16	-10000	2	59	11.47	42%	-0.28	2.9	3.79%	0	0.2	68	0
10	Oct_20_2015	39.44	32.68	34.3	34.23			34.66(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	4	78	7.61	43%	-0.25	-5.3	3.75%	0	0.9	74	0

11	Oct_19_2015	39.54	32.59	34.07	33.97			34.79(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	23	-10000	-0	90	7.62	43%	-0.23	-12.7	3.76%	0	1	77	0
12	Oct_16_2015	39.63	32.57	33.87	33.99			34.56(-0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	27	-10000	-1	111	7.99	43%	-0.28	-11.2	3.76%	0	0.9	73	0
13	Oct_15_2015	39.74	32.56	33.5	34.06			34.67(6.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	-0	114	9.59	43%	-0.25	-8.9	3.77%	0	0.9	60	0
14	Oct_14_2015	39.84	32.62	32.99	34.09			32.47(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	23	-10000	-4	103	10.19	40%	-0.28	-3.9	3.66%	0	-0.1	50	0
15	Oct_13_2015	39.95	32.79	32.74	34.36			33.38(-4.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	28	-10000	4	101	8.53	42%	-0.17	3.8	3.66%	0	0.2	51	0

16	Oct_12_2015	40.02	32.86	32.26	34.12			34.85(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	7	73	4.41	43%	-0.22	1.8	3.66%	0	0.8	54	0
17	Oct_9_2015	40.11	32.81	31.66	33.71			34.93(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	14	36	8.64	45%	-0.27	-0.3	3.7%	0	0.9	48	0
18	Oct_8_2015	40.22	32.77	31.27	32.84			34.8(2.87%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	13	-10000	19	-4	9.93	44%	-0.25	-8.2	3.7%	0	0.9	47	0
19	Oct_7_2015	40.32	32.72	31.01	31.75			33.83(5.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	-10000	15	-53	9.57	44%	-0.3	-20.1	3.71%	0	0.5	40	0
20	Oct_6_2015	40.44	32.7	30.86	30.89			32.17(-1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	14	-93	8.47	41%	-0.32	-26.9	3.65%	0	-0.2	36	0

21	Oct_5_2015	40.57	32.7	30.93	30.1			32.8(7.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-20	-10000	15	-123	10.51	41%	-0.27	-35.3	3.65%	0	-0	41	0
22	Oct_2_2015	40.68	32.82	31.08	29.31			30.62(4.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-41	-10000	-3	-153	16.52	37%	-0.34	-48.6	3.55%	0	-0.9	38	0
23	Oct_1_2015	40.82	32.96	31.48	29.48			29.35(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	-10000	-13	-155	12.16	35%	-0.32	-50.1	3.5%	0	-1.5	31	0
24	Sep_30_2015	40.95	33.19	32.18	30.17			29.5(4.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10000	-13	-127	13.06	35%	-0.34	-43.7	3.51%	0	-1.7	34	0
25	Sep_29_2015	41.09	33.34	32.84	30.85			28.25(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-39	-10000	-18	-103	13.82	31%		-35	3.46%	0	-2.5	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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