Trading Signals: TNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: TNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bull 3x ETF)
TNA latest price $39.8600 (1.84%) ($38.4100 - $40.0900) on Tue. Feb. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.5% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $39.8600(1.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TNA advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TNA advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(91%)    VT(88%)    VYM(85%)    XAR(85%)    XLI(84%)
Factors Impacting TNA price   TNA will decline at least -1.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.75% (StdDev 3.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.6(0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.71(2.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.28(4.13%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   16.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TNA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TNA price fluctuates within 3.47% (three month std-dev: 3.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150310

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_10_2015	38.29	38.28	38.71	39.6			39.86(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	2	27	14.17	60%	0.08	36	3.5%	0	1.2	62	0
2	Feb_9_2015	38.26	38.18	38.62	39.46			39.14(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	6	35	13.37	60%	0.05	33.6	3.53%	0	0.8	58	0
3	Feb_6_2015	38.24	38.13	38.66	39.06			40.08(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	-10000	11	37	13.49	60%	0.1	20.1	3.54%	0	1.6	59	0
4	Feb_5_2015	38.2	38.07	38.5	38.29			40.22(3.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	10	-10000	4	28	12.61	60%	0.1	-0.9	3.58%	0	1.8	65	0
5	Feb_4_2015	38.16	37.93	38.33	38			38.72(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-10000	4	26	16.23	59%	0.03	-23.2	3.58%	0	0.7	54	0

6	Feb_3_2015	38.15	37.81	38.12	38			39.15(5.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	3	-10000	0	11	19.66	59%	0.08	-52	3.62%	0	1.2	54	0
7	Feb_2_2015	38.12	37.75	37.89	37.7			37.14(2.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-10000	-8	5	22.3	56%	-0.08	-66.3	3.57%	0	-0.5	49	0
8	Jan_30_2015	38.15	37.88	37.93	38.22			36.24(-6.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-2	-10000	-7	14	22.92	56%	-0.1	-53.8	3.59%	0	-1.4	45	0
9	Jan_29_2015	38.19	38.08	37.9	38.22			38.74(4.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	0	15	19.04	61%	0.03	-43.9	3.49%	0	0.6	47	0
10	Jan_28_2015	38.18	38.19	37.78	38.7			37.22(-4.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	6	-10000	2	16	22.02	59%	-0.05	-36.7	3.48%	0	-0.8	51	0

11	Jan_27_2015	38.2	38.41	37.86	38.55			39.17(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	7	22	20.85	62%	0.05	-28	3.42%	0	0.5	62	0
12	Jan_26_2015	38.18	38.5	37.71	38.1			39.74(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	8	9	11.55	62%	0.13	-25.9	3.45%	0	0.8	54	0
13	Jan_23_2015	38.13	38.53	37.54	37.61			38.65(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	-10000	10	-8	12.62	62%	0.03	-24.3	3.48%	0	0.1	46	0
14	Jan_22_2015	38.12	38.6	37.58	36.99			38.7(6.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-5	-10000	4	-30	19.76	62%	0.05	-18.7	3.52%	0	0.1	44	0
15	Jan_21_2015	38.1	38.66	37.58	36.76			36.49(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-5	-56	17.46	59%	-0.13	-8.1	3.43%	0	-1.2	35	0

16	Jan_20_2015	38.15	38.82	37.45	37.06			36.9(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	-3	-71	17.78	59%	-0.1	5.9	3.48%	0	-1	34	0
17	Jan_16_2015	38.19	38.94	37.58	37.27			37.31(4.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-10000	-3	-78	17.68	59%	-0.08	15.1	3.52%	0	-0.9	37	0
18	Jan_15_2015	38.22	38.96	37.81	37.47			35.55(-5.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-10000	-12	-82	22.82	56%	-0.21	21.1	3.47%	0	-2	34	0
19	Jan_14_2015	38.3	38.94	38.3	38.24			37.57(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	0	-61	19.04	61%	-0.08	23.3	3.38%	0	-0.9	40	0
20	Jan_13_2015	38.33	38.81	38.65	38.22			37.99(0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-10000	6	-55	21.7	61%	-0.03	12.3	3.43%	0	-0.4	43	0

21	Jan_12_2015	38.34	38.71	39.02	37.86			37.92(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10000	-1	-56	13.3	61%	-0.03	-0.5	3.49%	0	-0.4	46	0
22	Jan_9_2015	38.35	38.67	39.36	37.93			38.33(-2.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-10000	-4	-47	15.21	61%	0	-1.7	3.55%	0	-0.2	49	0
23	Jan_8_2015	38.35	38.6	39.59	38.22			39.38(5.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-10	-10000	-3	-29	12.13	61%	0.08	-1.5	3.57%	0	0.3	60	0
24	Jan_7_2015	38.32	38.6	39.68	38.44			37.5(3.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-11	-5	14.75	57%	-0.08	4.7	3.51%	0	-0.5	67	0
25	Jan_6_2015	38.35	38.59	39.96	39.18			36.19(-5.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-4	-10000	-16	34	28.09	54%		16.4	3.52%	0	-1	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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