Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TLT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 9, 2023

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. May. 1, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $86.6200 (2.09%) ($86.6200 - $86.6200) on Mon. Oct. 9, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $86.6200(2.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(97%)    BND(96%)    VCIT(93%)    TIP(90%)    PCY(84%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
EDOC(-29%)    UUP(-22%)    VIXM(-18%)    VXX(-17%)    URA(-10%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 1.8 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $80.34(-7.25%)
Resistance Level   $89.6
5 Day Moving Average   $85.74(1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $86.94(-0.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.6(-3.33%)
To recent high   -15.8%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 3.56% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 39 Average positive next day return: 1.25%(46%) Average negative next day return: -1.7%(54%) Sample size 39 Average positive next three day return: 1.81%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -2.58%(46%) Sample size 39 Average positive next weekly return: 3.33%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.29%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20231109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2023	97.19	89.6	86.94	85.74	85.9	85.73	86.62(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	-10	28	-164	20.1	33%	-0.15	-64	1.07%	1.8	-0.9	28	-0.1
2	Oct_6_2023	97.34	89.95	87.18	85.81	85.51	85.34	84.85(-1.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-110	-20	-68	-235	55.6	28%	-0.18	-64.9	1.03%	-1.1	-1.6	18	-0.7
3	Oct_5_2023	97.52	90.44	87.83	86.57	86.05	86.07	85.84(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-61	-20	-15	-199	28.89	28%	-0.17	-65.5	1.03%	0.4	-1.5	23	-0.7
4	Oct_4_2023	97.69	90.86	88.31	87.13	86.76	85.69	86.3(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-84	-100	-43	-208	47.45	28%	-0.17	-67.6	1.04%	-0	-1.6	22	-1
5	Oct_3_2023	97.86	91.24	88.97	87.55	87.34	86.03	85.08(-2.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-157	-110	-129	-240	62.52	25%	-0.19	-72.4	1.02%	-1.5	-2.2	14	-2.1

6	Oct_2_2023	98.05	91.69	89.76	88.3	88.17	87.83	86.98(-1.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-99	-30	-65	-202	38.78	26%	-0.18	-78.6	1%	-1.4	-2	16	-1.1
7	Sep_29_2023	98.23	92.1	90.41	88.74	88.63	88.66	88.68(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-49	-0	-9	-170	39.65	29%	-0.17	-81.7	0.99%	-0	-1.5	24	-1.3
8	Sep_28_2023	98.4	92.49	90.84	89.29	88.76	88.52	88.65(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-68	-40	-34	-170	54.03	29%	-0.16	-71.2	1%	-0.1	-1.7	22	-0.9
9	Sep_27_2023	98.56	92.87	91.34	89.7	89.45	88.6	88.4(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-85	-70	-57	-168	37.33	29%	-0.16	-67.4	1.01%	-1.7	-2	24	-1.6
10	Sep_26_2023	98.72	93.28	91.92	90.63	90.03	88.99	88.81(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-125	-100	-114	-158	34.84	29%	-0.15	-54.6	1.01%	-1.2	-2.2	27	-3

11	Sep_25_2023	98.87	93.62	92.48	91.44	91.09	90.3	89.19(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-91	-70	-83	-115	44.78	29%	-0.16	-43.9	1.01%	-1.7	-2.5	30	-1.5
12	Sep_22_2023	99.03	93.93	92.96	92.3	92	91.06	91.42(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-70	-80	-64	-87	24.45	30%	-0.15	-33.5	0.98%	-0.4	-1.7	31	-1
13	Sep_21_2023	99.18	94.12	93.26	92.62	92.52	91.87	90.7(-2.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-88	-50	-85	-98	57.36	30%	-0.16	-25.4	0.98%	-1.5	-2.6	21	-0.9
14	Sep_20_2023	99.34	94.37	93.62	93.2	93.09	92.94	93.05(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10	-22	-69	22.18	33%	-0.13	-9.4	0.93%	0.1	-1.2	30	-0
15	Sep_19_2023	99.47	94.37	93.7	93.42	93.23	93.17	92.84(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10	-21	-76	24.68	33%	-0.1	-9.6	0.94%	-2.2	-1.4	29	0.9

16	Sep_18_2023	99.57	94.4	93.78	93.69	93.57	93.25	93.51(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-30	-9	-73	14.44	33%	-0.14	-13.4	0.94%	0.6	-0.8	40	1
17	Sep_15_2023	99.71	94.42	93.91	93.74	93.74	93.3	92.99(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-55	-30	-44	-89	25.64	36%	-0.12	-18.6	0.94%	-1.3	-1.3	38	1
18	Sep_14_2023	99.83	94.46	94.26	94.02	93.92	93.89	93.62(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-10	-24	-60	22.8	36%	-0.13	-20.9	0.97%	-1.2	-0.8	42	1.5
19	Sep_13_2023	99.96	94.48	94.5	94.1	94.12	94.18	94.16(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	10	15	-39	20.24	36%	-0.13	-33.3	0.97%	1.5	-0.3	41	1.3
20	Sep_12_2023	100.09	94.5	94.7	94.01	94.08	93.96	94.2(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-10	1	-30	13.99	36%	-0.12	-44.2	0.98%	0.6	-0.3	57	1

21	Sep_11_2023	100.21	94.55	94.81	93.88	93.97	94.06	93.72(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	10	-11	-24	13.78	36%	-0.11	-50.9	0.98%	-0.9	-0.8	59	1.3
22	Sep_8_2023	100.32	94.63	94.97	94.11	93.92	94.21	94.4(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	20	3	-3	14.99	39%	-0.11	-50	0.97%	1	-0.2	54	1.3
23	Sep_7_2023	100.43	94.69	95.03	94.56	94.03	93.88	94.02(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	-30	-17	15	15.48	37%	-0.11	-35.3	0.98%	1.5	-0.6	55	1.2
24	Sep_6_2023	100.54	94.84	95.19	94.99	94.69	93.62	93.74(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-38	-90	-58	23	20.45	37%	-0.11	-22.7	1%	-0.6	-0.9	51	1.4
25	Sep_5_2023	100.65	94.98	95.17	95.5	95.3	94.19	93.52(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-76	-90	-106	16	29.16	37%		-15.9	1%	-1.2	-1.2	47	1.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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