Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TLT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 14, 2020

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Apr. 26, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $144.5450 (0.42%) ($144.5450 - $144.5450) on Fri. Feb. 14, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.77% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $144.5450(0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(67%)    VCIT(60%)    BND(54%)    LQD(42%)    BNDX(41%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-97%)    XLF(-28%)    XOP(-26%)    VYM(-25%)    SDY(-25%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.385% (StdDev 0.77%)
Hourly BBV 0.9 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $144.17(0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $143.92(0.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $143.18(0.95%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.42% (three month std-dev: 0.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 0.84%(54%) Average negative next day return: -0.92%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 0.85%(62%) Average negative next three day return: -2.02%(38%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 1.82%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.22%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200314

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_14_2020	139.96	143.18	143.92	144.17	144.05	144.3	144.55(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	10	48	12	7.14	62%	0.01	64.1	0.77%	0.9	0.7	51	0.9
2	Feb_13_2020	139.94	142.93	144.03	144.14	144.11	143.54	143.95(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-13	-30	-18	4	7.85	62%	0.02	64.1	0.78%	0.3	0.5	58	0.6
3	Feb_12_2020	139.91	142.72	144.09	143.91	144.25	143.8	143.42(-0.48%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-28	-10	-39	6	5.46	62%	-0.01	64.8	0.79%	-1.2	0.3	60	1
4	Feb_11_2020	139.92	142.51	144.21	143.63	144.08	144.6	144.11(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	30	17	43	7.78	62%	0.02	60.9	0.78%	-1	0.7	65	0.1
5	Feb_10_2020	139.89	142.21	144.12	143.52	143.53	144.7	144.82(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	91	60	92	88	6.7	62%	0.02	56.1	0.78%	0.8	1	69	0.2

6	Feb_7_2020	139.86	141.9	144.05	143.67	143.13	143.47	144.41(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	69	10	56	109	11.2	58%	0.03	56.3	0.78%	1.3	1	72	-0.1
7	Feb_6_2020	139.82	141.55	143.83	143.96	143.4	142.35	142.81(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-25	-60	-61	84	5.27	56%	0.03	58.1	0.81%	0.2	0.5	63	0.2
8	Feb_5_2020	139.78	141.26	143.68	144.32	144.07	142.84	142.02(-1.07%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-79	-60	-130	76	10.78	54%	0.02	61.4	0.81%	-1.3	0.3	60	0.1
9	Feb_4_2020	139.75	141.06	143.54	144.82	144.8	144.37	143.56(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-21	-20	-69	125	11.34	53%	0.04	66.3	0.81%	-1.3	0.9	68	-0.7
10	Feb_3_2020	139.7	140.79	143.16	144.74	144.97	145.41	145.55(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	69	30	34	174	15.31	56%	0.06	68.6	0.81%	0.6	1.6	78	-1.4

11	Jan_31_2020	139.61	140.45	142.43	144.47	144.42	145.27	145.87(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	99	40	70	184	10.44	58%	0.05	75.1	0.81%	1.3	2	76	-2.4
12	Jan_30_2020	139.54	139.99	141.76	143.71	144.08	144.56	144.6(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	117	30	95	182	14.68	59%	0.03	74.6	0.82%	0.7	1.9	77	-0.4
13	Jan_29_2020	139.5	139.54	141.24	142.98	143.35	143.64	144.55(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	77	20	50	156	9.56	59%	0.03	70.6	0.84%	1.8	2.2	78	-0.7
14	Jan_28_2020	139.46	139.13	140.64	142.06	142.54	143.55	143.12(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	93	60	74	149	10.61	57%	0	64.3	0.83%	-0	1.9	70	-0.7
15	Jan_27_2020	139.46	138.83	140.13	141.33	141.72	143.02	144.23(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	155	70	153	160	9.56	57%	-0.01	61.5	0.83%	1.5	2.7	70	-1.9

16	Jan_24_2020	139.47	138.45	139.51	140.1	140.56	141.52	142.07(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	103	60	103	104	8.4	55%	-0.02	59.5	0.81%	1.2	2.4	60	0
17	Jan_23_2020	139.5	138.18	139.02	139.52	139.7	140.53	140.91(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	83	50	83	81	9.74	53%	-0.05	57	0.81%	1.1	2.1	65	1.2
18	Jan_22_2020	139.57	137.95	138.61	139.27	139.13	139.6	139.97(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	62	20	59	72	5.26	53%	-0.05	51.8	0.8%	1	1.8	68	1.1
19	Jan_21_2020	139.64	137.77	138.37	139.02	139.03	138.79	139.47(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10	28	56	6.78	53%	-0.06	39.7	0.81%	0.3	1.6	59	1.4
20	Jan_17_2020	139.73	137.62	138.24	138.73	138.8	138.56	138.06(-0.82%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-23	-10	-40	27	7.44	51%	-0.06	28.9	0.8%	0.2	0.4	53	1.9

21	Jan_16_2020	139.82	137.55	138.33	138.8	138.71	139.24	139.2(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	20	30	69	6.7	53%	-0.06	16.7	0.79%	0.4	1.5	58	2.2
22	Jan_15_2020	139.91	137.46	138.12	138.41	138.52	138.99	139.64(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	86	30	87	81	6.29	50%	-0.06	2.7	0.79%	1.6	2.1	61	2
23	Jan_14_2020	139.99	137.46	137.72	137.84	137.82	138.2	138.74(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	20	30	38	13.92	50%	-0.05	-18.8	0.8%	1.6	1.6	60	2.3
24	Jan_13_2020	140.06	137.35	137.52	137.62	137.43	138.02	138(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	30	37	35	5.97	50%	-0.06	-25	0.8%	0.5	0.8	57	2.5
25	Jan_10_2020	140.14	137.32	137.45	137.69	137.45	137.4	138.43(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	-10	25	37	7.59	45%		-28.8	0.81%	1.3	1.2	59	1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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