Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 27, 2015

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $131.0600 (1.24%) ($129.9800 - $131.1300) on Fri. Mar. 27, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $131.0600(1.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(70%)    BND(63%)    LQD(51%)    BNDX(46%)    BWX(40%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-98%)    XLF(-35%)    IVE(-29%)    XOP(-28%)    VYM(-28%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $131.2(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $130.71(0.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $128.55(1.95%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.97% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150427

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_27_2015	127.38	128.55	130.71	131.2			131.06(1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	25	-10000	-1	101	7.91	53%	0.11	24.4	1.07%	0	1	73	0
2	Mar_26_2015	127.24	128.45	130.31	131.29			129.45(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	26	-10000	-4	117	9.54	52%	0.08	31.8	1.07%	0	0.4	74	0
3	Mar_25_2015	127.14	128.39	130.12	131.29			131.5(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	34	-10000	0	134	5.64	54%	0.1	39.4	1.05%	0	1.3	66	0
4	Mar_24_2015	127.01	128.3	129.7	131.56			132.62(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	-10000	11	146	6.71	54%	0.11	47.1	1.05%	0	1.8	69	0
5	Mar_23_2015	126.87	128.12	129.06	130.83			131.35(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-10000	10	131	5.56	51%	0.1	49.4	1.04%	0	1.5	67	0

6	Mar_20_2015	126.74	127.93	128.41	130.15			131.51(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10000	14	105	5.95	51%	0.09	42.9	1.07%	0	1.7	65	0
7	Mar_19_2015	126.62	127.67	127.61	129.19			130.82(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	11	58	9.54	53%	0.09	25.5	1.07%	0	1.6	51	0
8	Mar_18_2015	126.5	127.43	127.13	128.45			131.49(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	17	-10000	12	33	13.98	50%	0.1	7	1.08%	0	2.2	57	0
9	Mar_17_2015	126.37	127.18	126.58	127.59			129(0.83%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	5	-10000	8	-5	6.31	47%	0.07	-14.5	1.08%	0	1.2	44	0
10	Mar_16_2015	126.28	127.18	126.29	127.05			127.94(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	-10000	10	-30	6.37	49%	0.07	-37.4	1.08%	0	0.6	43	0

11	Mar_13_2015	126.19	127.04	126.16	126.39			126.72(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-10000	9	-53	7.25	49%	0.06	-56.5	1.08%	0	-0.2	46	0
12	Mar_12_2015	126.12	127.17	126.4	125.75			127.11(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-13	-10000	3	-59	10.3	50%	0.06	-74.8	1.09%	0	-0	52	0
13	Mar_11_2015	126.05	127.3	126.5	125.58			127.2(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-12	-10000	2	-55	6.66	50%	0.06	-86.2	1.1%	0	-0.1	54	0
14	Mar_10_2015	125.98	127.41	126.76	125.43			126.28(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-12	-10000	-0	-49	9.28	51%	0.04	-97.9	1.1%	0	-0.6	49	0
15	Mar_9_2015	125.93	127.63	127.08	125.46			124.64(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-6	-39	8.89	50%	0.03	-107.9	1.09%	0	-1.5	47	0

16	Mar_6_2015	125.89	127.94	127.44	125.9			123.5(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-21	-10000	-17	-34	20.02	51%	0.02	-119.9	1.09%	0	-2.3	37	0
17	Mar_5_2015	125.87	128.43	127.8	127.11			126.29(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-10000	-6	-13	6.04	54%	0.02	-108.5	1.06%	0	-1.1	39	0
18	Mar_4_2015	125.84	128.84	127.82	127.54			126.45(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-11	-19	6.48	55%	0.05	-91.2	1.06%	0	-1	39	0
19	Mar_3_2015	125.78	129.23	127.91	128.3			126.41(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-9	-10	8.6	55%	0.04	-76.1	1.06%	0	-1.1	40	0
20	Mar_2_2015	125.73	129.76	127.92	128.95			126.87(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5	-10000	-3	-10	11.32	53%	0.06	-54.5	1.06%	0	-1	37	0

21	Feb_27_2015	125.65	130.3	128.06	129.17			129.53(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	-10000	9	-12	9.23	56%	0.09	-42.4	1.03%	0	-0.2	43	0
22	Feb_26_2015	125.54	130.6	128.03	128.58			128.45(-1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-6	-10000	7	-43	11.02	56%	0.07	-41.5	1.03%	0	-0.6	32	0
23	Feb_25_2015	125.45	130.99	128.16	128.12			130.23(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	10	-75	8.02	58%	0.09	-39.2	1.02%	0	-0.2	31	0
24	Feb_24_2015	125.34	131.2	128.06	127.48			129.67(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-20	-10000	11	-112	11.96	58%	0.1	-44.1	1.02%	0	-0.4	30	0
25	Feb_23_2015	125.21	131.43	128.13	126.79			127.99(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-42	-10000	-1	-164	7.5	57%		-47.5	1.01%	0	-0.9	18	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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