Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 29, 2014

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $125.3400 (0.75%) ($124.8100 - $125.6600) on Mon. Dec. 29, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $125.3400(0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(70%)    BND(63%)    LQD(52%)    BNDX(46%)    BWX(40%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-98%)    XLF(-35%)    XOP(-29%)    IVE(-29%)    VYM(-28%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $124.66(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $125.3(0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $124.08(1.02%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.66% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150129

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_29_2014	119.18	124.08	125.3	124.66			125.34(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	1	-10000	-2	8	4.07	62%	0.08	41.6	0.75%	0	0.6	61	0
2	Dec_26_2014	119.08	123.93	125.38	124.76			124.41(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10000	1	44	2.92	60%	0.11	50.6	0.75%	0	0.2	63	0
3	Dec_24_2014	118.95	123.8	125.42	124.72			123.95(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-11	54	4.87	62%	0.08	55.3	0.76%	0	0.1	59	0
4	Dec_23_2014	118.85	123.67	125.47	125.22			123.54(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-10000	-17	90	7.41	62%	0.08	64.2	0.76%	0	-0.1	61	0
5	Dec_22_2014	118.76	123.52	125.48	125.22			126.04(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	39	-10000	0	154	4.12	67%	0.1	73.7	0.72%	0	1.1	72	0

6	Dec_19_2014	118.64	123.23	125.16	126.03			125.87(1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	39	-10000	-2	163	7.89	69%	0.1	75	0.72%	0	1.1	65	0
7	Dec_18_2014	118.52	122.91	124.71	126.12			124.2(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	40	-10000	-2	165	12.76	67%	0.08	76.2	0.71%	0	0.5	56	0
8	Dec_17_2014	118.42	122.65	124.5	126.2			126.45(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	56	-10000	11	190	11.56	72%	0.08	74	0.67%	0	1.5	68	0
9	Dec_16_2014	118.32	122.29	123.95	125.73			127.6(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	60	-10000	21	178	7.43	76%	0.1	74	0.66%	0	2.2	73	0
10	Dec_15_2014	118.2	121.86	123.21	124.85			126.04(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	-10000	17	147	9.39	74%	0.09	73.1	0.65%	0	2	73	0

11	Dec_12_2014	118.09	121.52	122.73	124.16			126.3(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	53	-10000	26	133	9.32	70%	0.1	70.6	0.65%	0	2.5	75	0
12	Dec_11_2014	117.97	121.13	122.31	123.11			124.61(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	-10000	14	108	7.86	68%	0.08	67.2	0.65%	0	2.1	74	0
13	Dec_10_2014	117.87	120.82	121.98	122.55			124.1(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	40	-10000	17	107	6.44	68%	0.07	61.9	0.65%	0	2.2	74	0
14	Dec_9_2014	117.79	120.55	121.67	121.89			123.2(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	-10000	15	92	6.64	67%	0.08	53.5	0.65%	0	1.9	66	0
15	Dec_8_2014	117.7	120.31	121.37	121.31			122.57(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	5	72	6.02	67%	0.07	44.3	0.65%	0	1.8	66	0

16	Dec_5_2014	117.62	120.16	121.12	121.1			121.09(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	-10000	-7	65	8.03	65%	0.05	46.4	0.64%	0	0.8	59	0
17	Dec_4_2014	117.56	120.03	120.96	121.38			121.8(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	1	87	4.25	61%	0.07	47.5	0.63%	0	1.5	66	0
18	Dec_3_2014	117.48	119.89	120.67	121.33			120.79(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	20	-10000	-2	85	4.87	59%	0.07	47.9	0.64%	0	0.8	64	0
19	Dec_2_2014	117.4	119.82	120.55	121.41			120.32(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	25	-10000	1	95	5.76	53%	0.07	51.6	0.65%	0	0.5	61	0
20	Dec_1_2014	117.32	119.75	120.45	121.38			121.5(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	7	99	7.73	56%	0.07	48.4	0.68%	0	1.6	70	0

21	Nov_28_2014	117.24	119.63	120.25	121.1			122.49(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	34	-10000	15	92	4.56	58%	0.12	42.5	0.67%	0	2.8	66	0
22	Nov_26_2014	117.1	119.46	119.88	120.48			121.53(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	-10000	14	71	4.34	59%	0.08	33.8	0.67%	0	2.7	69	0
23	Nov_25_2014	117.01	119.35	119.58	119.93			121.2(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	17	-10000	8	43	6.77	59%	0.08	9.6	0.67%	0	3	61	0
24	Nov_24_2014	116.92	119.24	119.32	119.59			120.2(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	-10000	5	24	4.03	57%	0.03	-20	0.67%	0	2	55	0
25	Nov_21_2014	116.88	119.22	119.16	119.39			120.1(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	6	-10000	3	13	3.64	57%		-47.4	0.67%	0	2	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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