Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 30, 2013

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $102.5100 (0.69%) ($102.0800 - $102.5800) on Mon. Dec. 30, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $102.5100(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(71%)    LQD(53%)    BNDX(46%)    SHY(34%)    GLD(26%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-28%)    OIH(-26%)    SPY(-25%)    EWP(-25%)    EWI(-25%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $102.98
5 Day Moving Average   $102.58(-0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $102.85(-0.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $102.98(-0.46%)
To recent high   -5.4%
To recent low   0.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.56% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_30_2013	104.65	102.98	102.85	102.58			102.51(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-10	-32	4.49	37%	-0.05	-73.2	0.7%	0	-0.8	47	0
2	Dec_27_2013	104.7	103.08	102.92	102.93			101.81(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-7	-10000	-5	-12	4.76	37%	-0.05	-41.3	0.7%	0	-2	45	0
3	Dec_26_2013	104.75	103.21	103.03	103.1			102.1(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-4	-10000	-4	-2	4.65	37%	-0.06	-24.6	0.7%	0	-1.9	50	0
4	Dec_24_2013	104.81	103.33	103.14	103.24			102.83(-0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-3	7	4.9	42%	-0.03	-15.9	0.69%	0	-0.8	52	0
5	Dec_23_2013	104.84	103.4	103.24	103.33			103.66(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	5	17	6.38	43%	-0.03	-20	0.7%	0	0.4	49	0

6	Dec_20_2013	104.87	103.41	103.19	103.16			104.25(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	7	-10000	6	8	12.43	43%	-0.01	-31.8	0.7%	0	1.2	55	0
7	Dec_19_2013	104.88	103.34	103.05	102.95			102.67(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-10000	-0	-15	6.71	38%	-0.05	-53.1	0.68%	0	-1	38	0
8	Dec_18_2013	104.93	103.35	103.05	102.96			102.77(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-2	-32	12.97	42%	-0.05	-61.9	0.68%	0	-0.9	38	0
9	Dec_17_2013	104.98	103.44	103.03	103.03			103.29(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	-10000	-3	-42	6.02	42%	-0.04	-50	0.7%	0	-0.2	39	0
10	Dec_16_2013	105.02	103.53	103.07	103.15			102.83(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-2	-41	6.38	42%	-0.05	-26	0.7%	0	-0.9	40	0

11	Dec_13_2013	105.07	103.63	103.12	103.22			103.21(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-9	-10000	2	-41	6.47	42%	-0.05	-16.5	0.71%	0	-0.5	45	0
12	Dec_12_2013	105.12	103.69	103.23	103.16			102.71(-0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-7	-10000	2	-34	6.21	42%	-0.05	-25	0.71%	0	-1.2	50	0
13	Dec_11_2013	105.17	103.75	103.39	103.1			103.1(-0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	-10000	2	-26	8.19	42%	-0.06	-35.1	0.7%	0	-0.8	54	0
14	Dec_10_2013	105.23	103.78	103.53	103.03			103.9(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-7	-10000	1	-29	7.04	44%	-0.05	-47.4	0.71%	0	0.2	45	0
15	Dec_9_2013	105.28	103.74	103.56	102.99			103.16(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	-1	-41	5.68	42%	-0.06	-66.2	0.71%	0	-0.7	36	0

16	Dec_6_2013	105.34	103.76	103.63	103.02			102.92(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-8	-49	7.35	42%	-0.05	-81.8	0.71%	0	-1.1	40	0
17	Dec_5_2013	105.39	103.9	103.65	103.33			102.43(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-10000	-11	-48	7.45	39%	-0.06	-72.4	0.71%	0	-1.6	39	0
18	Dec_4_2013	105.45	104.04	103.71	103.73			102.72(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17	-10000	-10	-38	8.5	39%	-0.06	-75	0.73%	0	-1.5	45	0
19	Dec_3_2013	105.51	104.15	103.9	104.1			103.71(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	-3	-12	5.08	37%	-0.05	-82.5	0.72%	0	-0.5	53	0
20	Dec_2_2013	105.56	104.28	104.05	104.2			103.33(-1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-10000	-3	9	7.53	37%	-0.04	-78.9	0.74%	0	-1	54	0

21	Nov_29_2013	105.6	104.41	104.05	104.32			104.45(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	8	29	5.08	40%	-0.05	-81.3	0.73%	0	0	57	0
22	Nov_27_2013	105.65	104.56	104.19	104.02			104.42(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	9	6	6.06	43%	-0.03	-68.5	0.74%	0	-0.1	41	0
23	Nov_26_2013	105.68	104.69	104.14	103.69			104.6(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-5	-10000	0	-20	6.66	43%	-0.02	-70.1	0.76%	0	-0.1	47	0
24	Nov_25_2013	105.7	104.85	104.03	103.68			104.21(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-10000	-6	-33	3.76	43%	-0.02	-65.2	0.76%	0	-0.4	46	0
25	Nov_22_2013	105.72	105.02	103.92	103.91			103.91(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-10000	-4	-45	7.95	49%		-54.2	0.77%	0	-0.6	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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