Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 8, 2010

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $104.2200 (-0.44%) ($104.2200 - $105.4600) on Fri. Oct. 8, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $104.2200(-0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(71%)    LQD(55%)    SHY(35%)    GLD(21%)    PCY(16%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWI(-34%)    SPY(-33%)    EWP(-33%)    XOP(-32%)    EWG(-32%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $104.72(-0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $105.04(-0.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104.13(0.09%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.32% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_8_2010	101.34	104.13	105.04	104.72			104.22(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-1	20	6.13	61%	0.06	17.4	1.11%	0	0.1	61	0
2	Oct_7_2010	101.28	104.04	104.99	104.8			104.68(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10000	-3	30	5.78	59%	0.09	10.4	1.11%	0	0.5	65	0
3	Oct_6_2010	101.19	103.95	105.02	104.96			105.56(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	-0	54	6.48	59%	0.1	3.7	1.12%	0	1.2	71	0
4	Oct_5_2010	101.09	103.9	104.92	104.97			104.25(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-10000	-6	65	8.49	58%	0.09	-8.1	1.11%	0	0.2	60	0
5	Oct_4_2010	101	103.96	104.88	105.32			104.88(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10000	-1	77	4.42	58%	0.11	-6.5	1.12%	0	0.6	54	0

6	Oct_1_2010	100.89	103.96	104.65	105.4			104.61(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	23	-10000	4	81	9.37	58%	0.11	-10.2	1.12%	0	0.5	57	0
7	Sep_30_2010	100.78	103.89	104.38	105.18			105.51(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	2	73	10.62	58%	0.13	-26.1	1.12%	0	1.1	63	0
8	Sep_29_2010	100.65	103.9	103.97	105.06			105.58(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	3	64	5.51	59%	0.13	-32.6	1.12%	0	1.2	60	0
9	Sep_28_2010	100.52	104.01	103.64	104.87			106.02(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	8	49	8.26	59%	0.12	-28.6	1.13%	0	1.1	52	0
10	Sep_27_2010	100.4	104.05	103.38	104.4			105.3(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	10	28	7.06	59%	0.1	-30.9	1.13%	0	0.7	46	0

11	Sep_24_2010	100.3	104.04	103.12	103.79			103.5(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-10000	6	6	8.94	57%	0.07	-42.1	1.11%	0	-0.3	50	0
12	Sep_23_2010	100.23	104.27	103	103.43			104.91(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	-10000	13	-14	7.41	59%	0.11	-38.2	1.1%	0	0.3	49	0
13	Sep_22_2010	100.12	104.37	102.77	102.7			104.61(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	8	-53	8.23	61%	0.12	-40.4	1.1%	0	0.1	44	0
14	Sep_21_2010	100	104.51	102.75	102.23			103.68(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-22	-10000	-0	-88	12.67	61%	0.12	-37.4	1.11%	0	-0.4	34	0
15	Sep_20_2010	99.88	104.63	102.91	102.25			102.26(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-10000	-2	-99	5.28	59%	0.11	-35.2	1.09%	0	-1	35	0

16	Sep_17_2010	99.77	104.83	103.05	102.37			101.67(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-2	-106	9.2	59%	0.1	-27.6	1.09%	0	-1.4	41	0
17	Sep_16_2010	99.67	105.06	103.37	102.5			101.26(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-10000	-5	-120	17.12	59%	0.11	-16.8	1.1%	0	-1.8	33	0
18	Sep_15_2010	99.56	105.25	103.84	102.8			102.27(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-9	-123	7.93	59%	0.11	-6.6	1.09%	0	-1.5	38	0
19	Sep_14_2010	99.45	105.38	104.44	103.32			103.81(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	-10000	-7	-108	5.98	62%	0.14	11.6	1.07%	0	-0.9	40	0
20	Sep_13_2010	99.31	105.44	104.78	103.7			102.83(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-10000	-3	-91	7.06	62%	0.13	30.8	1.07%	0	-1.5	44	0

21	Sep_10_2010	99.18	105.45	105.05	103.85			102.32(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-10000	-9	-93	6.91	60%	0.12	37.9	1.08%	0	-1.7	42	0
22	Sep_9_2010	99.06	105.42	105.66	104.36			102.79(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-10000	-11	-69	8.59	60%	0.12	48.6	1.1%	0	-1.3	43	0
23	Sep_8_2010	98.94	105.38	106.15	105			104.86(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	-13	-41	6.7	63%	0.16	60.9	1.07%	0	-0.2	53	0
24	Sep_7_2010	98.78	105.17	106.44	105.74			105.7(2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-5	-10000	-6	-0	6.02	63%	0.25	63.9	1.07%	0	0.2	56	0
25	Sep_3_2010	98.53	104.89	106.49	106.08			103.58(-1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-10000	-6	16	9.21	64%		60.6	1.08%	0	-0.5	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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