Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 11, 2010

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $89.9200 (0.37%) ($89.3700 - $90.1400) on Thu. Mar. 11, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.77% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $89.9200(0.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(71%)    LQD(55%)    SHY(36%)    GLD(21%)    PCY(14%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWI(-35%)    SPY(-34%)    EWP(-34%)    EWG(-34%)    XOP(-33%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.385% (StdDev 0.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $90.29
5 Day Moving Average   $89.88(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.57(-0.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $90.29(-0.41%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.89% (three month std-dev: 0.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100411

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_11_2010	92.11	90.29	90.57	89.88			89.92(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	-9	-24	2.62	45%	-0.07	-47.2	0.77%	0	-0.5	56	0
2	Mar_10_2010	92.17	90.32	90.7	90.19			89.59(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-10000	-8	8	3.22	42%	-0.09	-38.2	0.77%	0	-0.9	58	0
3	Mar_9_2010	92.25	90.39	90.82	90.47			89.82(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10000	-8	33	2.57	42%	-0.06	-30.3	0.78%	0	-0.7	56	0
4	Mar_8_2010	92.31	90.5	90.9	90.75			89.8(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	5	-10000	-9	47	2.85	42%	-0.06	-14.6	0.78%	0	-0.8	47	0
5	Mar_5_2010	92.37	90.61	90.86	91.06			90.27(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-8	56	3.82	42%	-0.05	-5.9	0.77%	0	-0.4	51	0

6	Mar_4_2010	92.42	90.68	90.8	91.34			91.47(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	2	73	2.37	43%	-0.03	3.8	0.76%	0	0.8	62	0
7	Mar_3_2010	92.45	90.62	90.56	91.28			90.99(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-10000	2	61	2.16	41%	-0.06	-3.9	0.77%	0	0.4	55	0
8	Mar_2_2010	92.51	90.64	90.4	91.22			91.22(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	4	45	2.26	41%	-0.05	-6.7	0.78%	0	0.6	48	0
9	Mar_1_2010	92.56	90.63	90.3	91.07			91.34(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	13	29	2.42	39%	-0.05	-12.5	0.78%	0	0.8	43	0
10	Feb_26_2010	92.61	90.66	90.17	90.62			91.67(0.52%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	7	-10000	12	-7	4.35	39%	-0.08	-23.6	0.79%	0	1	45	0

11	Feb_25_2010	92.68	90.64	89.97	90.18			91.2(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	-10000	13	-43	3.71	39%	-0.09	-39.4	0.79%	0	0.6	44	0
12	Feb_24_2010	92.76	90.65	89.87	89.73			90.69(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-11	-10000	8	-67	4.42	39%	-0.09	-52.3	0.79%	0	0	52	0
13	Feb_23_2010	92.84	90.7	89.89	89.46			90.47(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-20	-10000	1	-84	5.48	39%	-0.1	-56.3	0.8%	0	-0.2	44	0
14	Feb_22_2010	92.93	90.75	90.03	89.44			89.08(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-10000	-6	-86	3.38	35%	-0.11	-53.9	0.77%	0	-1.6	39	0
15	Feb_19_2010	93.03	90.9	90.31	89.66			89.45(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10000	-2	-78	3.5	35%	-0.12	-44	0.77%	0	-1.5	34	0

16	Feb_18_2010	93.14	91.04	90.54	89.73			88.97(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-10000	-8	-77	5.12	35%	-0.11	-31.4	0.76%	0	-2.2	38	0
17	Feb_17_2010	93.24	91.18	90.7	90			89.33(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-10000	-11	-76	4.37	35%	-0.11	-19.6	0.76%	0	-2.2	39	0
18	Feb_16_2010	93.34	91.27	90.92	90.37			90.36(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-10000	-10	-61	2.44	40%	-0.14	3.8	0.76%	0	-1.2	43	0
19	Feb_12_2010	93.47	91.31	91	90.72			90.19(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-10	-48	2.83	40%	-0.07	29.9	0.77%	0	-1.6	42	0
20	Feb_11_2010	93.54	91.34	91.21	91.08			89.82(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-16	-10000	-11	-30	5.09	40%	-0.07	54.8	0.77%	0	-2.3	37	0

21	Feb_10_2010	93.61	91.33	91.4	91.47			90.31(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-3	-10000	-0	-12	5.07	40%	-0.06	65.4	0.77%	0	-1.4	38	0
22	Feb_9_2010	93.67	91.34	91.53	91.48			91.18(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	-1	-15	4.79	41%	-0.05	66.7	0.76%	0	-0.2	47	0
23	Feb_8_2010	93.72	91.24	91.58	91.52			92.1(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	-10000	6	-3	3.39	43%	-0.04	50.5	0.75%	0	0.9	60	0
24	Feb_5_2010	93.76	91.1	91.52	91.33			91.98(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-5	-10000	-2	-12	6.88	43%	-0.04	39.4	0.75%	0	0.9	57	0
25	Feb_4_2010	93.8	90.97	91.51	91.4			91.78(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2	-10000	1	4	6.1	43%		35.4	0.75%	0	0.8	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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