Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 14, 2007

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $90.6100 (-0.46%) ($90.5000 - $90.9200) on Fri. Dec. 14, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $90.6100(-0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(68%)    LQD(44%)    SHY(41%)    GLD(16%)    PCY(8%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-35%)    EWI(-35%)    XOP(-34%)    IWM(-34%)    EWP(-34%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $93.18
5 Day Moving Average   $91.57(-1.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $92.47(-2.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $93.18(-2.76%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.47% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_14_2007	89.74	93.18	92.47	91.57			90.61(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-10000	-7	-142	1.35	51%	0.04	-7.5	0.73%	0	-1.9	27	0
2	Dec_13_2007	89.7	93.28	92.85	91.8			91.03(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-10000	-10	-129	1.22	49%	0.06	3	0.73%	0	-1.8	41	0
3	Dec_12_2007	89.65	93.33	93.24	92.15			92.03(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-10000	-10	-103	2.23	51%	0.07	13.7	0.73%	0	-1.1	45	0
4	Dec_11_2007	89.59	93.31	93.45	92.47			92.99(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-29	-10000	-11	-84	2.89	53%	0.08	23.5	0.71%	0	-0.3	52	0
5	Dec_10_2007	89.52	93.25	93.61	92.82			91.2(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-33	-10000	-23	-63	2.24	51%	0.06	32.4	0.67%	0	-1.6	43	0

6	Dec_7_2007	89.47	93.28	94.06	93.53			91.75(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-11	-10000	-16	4	2.17	54%	0.08	49.3	0.67%	0	-1.2	50	0
7	Dec_6_2007	89.4	93.24	94.29	94.05			92.79(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-13	46	2.27	57%	0.08	56.7	0.68%	0	-0.3	56	0
8	Dec_5_2007	89.33	93.16	94.38	94.46			93.61(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	21	-10000	-3	92	1.87	60%	0.1	64	0.67%	0	0.3	66	0
9	Dec_4_2007	89.24	93.01	94.34	94.55			94.74(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	1	116	1.72	63%	0.11	61.4	0.66%	0	1.1	74	0
10	Dec_3_2007	89.14	92.83	94.17	94.53			94.75(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	28	-10000	-5	127	1.27	63%	0.12	62.9	0.66%	0	1.2	70	0

11	Nov_30_2007	89.03	92.64	93.95	94.7			94.38(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	41	-10000	4	153	1.95	64%	0.11	69.5	0.66%	0	1.1	71	0
12	Nov_29_2007	88.93	92.45	93.75	94.57			94.84(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	49	-10000	9	167	1.6	64%	0.12	68.3	0.66%	0	1.6	77	0
13	Nov_28_2007	88.82	92.21	93.41	94.29			94.03(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	46	-10000	7	164	2.09	63%	0.1	62.2	0.65%	0	1.2	73	0
14	Nov_27_2007	88.73	92.04	93.15	94.07			94.67(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	-10000	11	164	3.1	65%	0.12	61.3	0.65%	0	1.8	80	0
15	Nov_26_2007	88.62	91.84	92.85	93.74			95.58(1.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	58	-10000	22	164	4.43	68%	0.14	61.9	0.63%	0	2.8	82	0

16	Nov_23_2007	88.5	91.57	92.4	93.1			93.73(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	43	-10000	11	138	0.44	65%	0.11	63.5	0.59%	0	2.1	76	0
17	Nov_21_2007	88.4	91.41	92.09	92.81			93.45(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	42	-10000	15	122	1.3	65%	0.1	72.3	0.59%	0	2.2	76	0
18	Nov_20_2007	88.31	91.28	91.81	92.41			92.91(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	-10000	12	105	1.37	65%	0.08	82	0.59%	0	2	79	0
19	Nov_19_2007	88.24	91.15	91.57	92.09			93.01(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	29	-10000	10	84	1.35	65%	0.09	97.5	0.59%	0	2.6	67	0
20	Nov_16_2007	88.16	91.01	91.36	91.82			92.41(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	-10000	8	70	1.33	65%	0.09	129.2	0.59%	0	2.4	63	0

21	Nov_15_2007	88.08	90.91	91.21	91.6			92.28(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-10000	12	64	1.31	65%	0.09	135.3	0.6%	0	2.2	65	0
22	Nov_14_2007	88	90.76	91.05	91.26			91.42(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	5	42	0.69	64%	0.09	115.8	0.59%	0	1	57	0
23	Nov_13_2007	87.92	90.62	90.91	91.12			91.32(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	5	23	1.12	64%	0.08	87	0.59%	0	0.8	52	0
24	Nov_12_2007	87.85	90.45	90.86	90.97			91.66(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	5	19	0.46	64%	0.09	69.5	0.59%	0	1.1	62	0
25	Nov_9_2007	87.77	90.26	90.77	90.83			91.33(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	2	14	0.89	64%		58.9	0.59%	0	0.9	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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