Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 25, 2005

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $90.5400 (-0.94%) ($90.5100 - $91.4000) on Tue. Jan. 25, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.61% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $90.5400(-0.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   TLT advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(69%)    LQD(45%)    SHY(43%)    GLD(15%)    REMX(-1%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-34%)    EWI(-34%)    IWM(-33%)    EWP(-33%)    EWG(-32%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.305% (StdDev 0.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $90.92(-0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.43(0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.41(1.26%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.32% (three month std-dev: 0.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_25_2005	88.55	89.41	90.43	90.92			90.54(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	36	-10000	1	141	1.94	42%	0.02	50.8	0.61%	0	1	84	0
2	Jan_24_2005	88.53	89.28	90.26	90.9			91.4(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	-10000	9	149	0.56	45%	0.06	47.4	0.6%	0	1.8	77	0
3	Jan_21_2005	88.48	89.13	89.97	90.66			91.01(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	-10000	6	135	0.61	45%	0.06	44.7	0.6%	0	1.7	76	0
4	Jan_20_2005	88.43	89.01	89.71	90.49			90.91(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	42	-10000	12	131	1.06	47%	0.03	38.9	0.6%	0	1.9	77	0
5	Jan_19_2005	88.4	88.91	89.45	90.17			90.73(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	38	-10000	11	118	0.66	47%	0.03	32.7	0.6%	0	2	79	0

6	Jan_18_2005	88.37	88.81	89.15	89.87			90.47(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	35	-10000	13	102	1.25	47%	0.06	25.8	0.6%	0	2.1	77	0
7	Jan_14_2005	88.32	88.71	88.97	89.51			90.17(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	32	-10000	12	90	1.04	47%	0.05	14.5	0.6%	0	2.2	74	0
8	Jan_13_2005	88.28	88.64	88.79	89.18			90.18(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	29	-10000	14	72	1.88	47%	0.03	3.1	0.6%	0	2.7	63	0
9	Jan_12_2005	88.25	88.64	88.6	88.82			89.32(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	8	42	0.72	44%	0.05	-6.2	0.59%	0	1.2	52	0
10	Jan_11_2005	88.21	88.62	88.44	88.61			89.2(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10000	11	16	0.85	44%	0.03	-4.5	0.59%	0	1	48	0

11	Jan_10_2005	88.18	88.62	88.3	88.33			88.68(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-5	-10000	-0	-18	0.38	42%	0.02	-7.7	0.59%	0	0.1	46	0
12	Jan_7_2005	88.16	88.61	88.22	88.33			88.54(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	-10000	0	-26	0.74	46%	0.02	3.1	0.61%	0	-0.1	47	0
13	Jan_6_2005	88.14	88.62	88.21	88.33			88.34(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10000	0	-29	1.06	46%	0.02	23.1	0.61%	0	-0.5	43	0
14	Jan_5_2005	88.12	88.66	88.26	88.34			88.28(0.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	-10000	4	-42	1.09	46%	0.01	43.3	0.61%	0	-0.6	31	0
15	Jan_4_2005	88.11	88.66	88.34	88.23			87.81(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-10000	-0	-52	1.94	46%	0.02	44.9	0.61%	0	-1.4	37	0

16	Jan_3_2005	88.09	88.65	88.34	88.24			88.74(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	6	-55	1.17	49%	0.02	48.6	0.59%	0	0.1	47	0
17	Dec_31_2004	88.07	88.59	88.45	88.07			88.55(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-17	-10000	-0	-68	1.06	46%	0.02	32.9	0.6%	0	-0.1	47	0
18	Dec_30_2004	88.05	88.48	88.47	88.08			88.33(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-20	-10000	-4	-68	0.63	46%	0.03	11.3	0.61%	0	-0.2	48	0
19	Dec_29_2004	88.02	88.4	88.65	88.19			87.74(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-10000	-11	-56	0.57	42%	0.02	2.7	0.6%	0	-0.7	38	0
20	Dec_28_2004	88	88.37	88.82	88.48			87.83(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-8	-22	1.25	42%	0.01	2.6	0.62%	0	-0.5	53	0

21	Dec_27_2004	87.99	88.36	88.95	88.69			87.9(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-10000	-6	5	1.32	42%	0.06	4.3	0.62%	0	-0.4	54	0
22	Dec_23_2004	87.94	88.36	89.06	88.86			88.59(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-2	32	0.74	44%	0.05	6	0.61%	0	0.2	61	0
23	Dec_22_2004	87.9	88.38	89.07	88.92			88.88(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-10000	-10	58	0.51	47%	0.05	7.7	0.61%	0	0.5	71	0
24	Dec_21_2004	87.86	88.37	89.11	89.18			89.18(0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	26	-10000	-1	106	0.25	47%	0.06	18.8	0.62%	0	0.8	70	0
25	Dec_20_2004	87.81	88.35	88.98	89.22			88.91(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	30	-10000	-1	121	0.23	49%		24.6	0.62%	0	0.6	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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