Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 6, 2003

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $83.5500 (-0.94%) ($83.5000 - $83.9200) on Thu. Nov. 6, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $83.5500(-0.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(47%)    SHY(44%)    REMX(-1%)    XLU(-11%)    EWJ(-22%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-33%)    IWM(-32%)    EWP(-32%)    EWI(-32%)    EWG(-31%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $84.36
5 Day Moving Average   $84.49(-1.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.73(-1.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.36(-0.96%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   2.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.82% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2003	85.76	84.36	84.73	84.49			83.55(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-2	-10000	-5	8	0.86	57%	-0.13	-11	0.84%	0	-1.2	53	0
2	Nov_5_2003	85.87	84.39	84.82	84.66			84.34(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-3	27	0.28	56%	-0.13	-25.3	0.87%	0	-0.1	61	0
3	Nov_4_2003	85.98	84.41	84.89	84.75			84.92(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	9	-10000	-3	44	0.25	56%	-0.14	-39.5	0.88%	0	0.8	62	0
4	Nov_3_2003	86.1	84.39	84.82	84.87			84.44(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-3	53	0.96	56%	-0.15	-55.3	0.89%	0	0.1	56	0
5	Oct_31_2003	86.23	84.39	84.77	85			85.19(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	-0	60	0.89	53%	-0.13	-56.8	0.88%	0	1	56	0

6	Oct_30_2003	86.34	84.44	84.61	85.02			84.4(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	13	-10000	0	53	0.94	53%	-0.14	-56	0.9%	0	-0	49	0
7	Oct_29_2003	86.46	84.56	84.48	85.01			84.78(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-1	46	0.93	50%	-0.13	-45.5	0.9%	0	0.2	55	0
8	Oct_28_2003	86.57	84.68	84.33	85.04			85.55(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	7	40	2.2	49%	-0.1	-33.5	0.91%	0	0.6	54	0
9	Oct_27_2003	86.66	84.79	84.13	84.76			85.1(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	7	21	0.35	49%	-0.1	-29.7	0.93%	0	0.2	51	0
10	Oct_24_2003	86.75	84.86	84.03	84.5			85.27(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	9	1	1.41	48%	-0.1	-27.1	0.93%	0	0.3	44	0

11	Oct_23_2003	86.84	84.96	83.94	84.15			84.33(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	7	-20	1.06	46%	-0.12	-27.6	0.92%	0	-0.4	41	0
12	Oct_22_2003	86.94	85.07	83.91	83.87			84.95(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	9	-54	0.8	46%	-0.1	-29.7	0.92%	0	-0.1	34	0
13	Oct_21_2003	87.03	85.13	83.86	83.52			84.13(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	-10000	2	-93	0.43	40%	-0.1	-34.1	0.91%	0	-0.6	26	0
14	Oct_20_2003	87.12	85.21	83.9	83.43			83.82(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	-10000	-2	-120	0.28	40%	-0.13	-33.3	0.95%	0	-0.9	21	0
15	Oct_17_2003	87.23	85.28	84.07	83.51			83.54(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-36	-10000	-5	-128	0.35	40%	-0.13	-31.3	0.95%	0	-1.2	33	0

16	Oct_16_2003	87.34	85.39	84.24	83.71			82.9(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-39	-10000	-6	-138	0.56	40%	-0.14	-26	0.94%	0	-1.7	26	0
17	Oct_15_2003	87.46	85.54	84.65	83.94			83.23(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-7	-129	0.47	37%	-0.13	-19.5	0.94%	0	-1.8	34	0
18	Oct_14_2003	87.57	85.66	85.07	84.22			83.64(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-10000	-5	-106	0.34	36%	-0.05	-11.7	0.98%	0	-1.6	38	0
19	Oct_13_2003	87.61	85.72	85.51	84.43			84.22(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10000	-7	-83	0.12	36%	-0.14	-5	0.99%	0	-1.3	45	0
20	Oct_10_2003	87.73	85.75	85.77	84.72			84.55(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-3	-60	0.26	36%	-0.13	7.4	0.99%	0	-1	50	0

21	Oct_9_2003	87.84	85.77	86.07	84.86			84.05(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-15	-48	1.39	36%	-0.13	12.9	0.99%	0	-1.4	45	0
22	Oct_8_2003	87.95	85.79	86.35	85.48			84.65(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-10000	-13	-17	0.81	36%	-0.11	34.3	0.98%	0	-1	48	0
23	Oct_7_2003	88.05	85.8	86.54	86.05			84.67(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-11	-10000	-17	9	0.59	36%	-0.1	55.3	0.98%	0	-0.9	48	0
24	Oct_6_2003	88.14	85.78	86.65	86.76			85.66(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	9	-10000	-5	50	0.51	37%	-0.09	73.7	0.98%	0	-0.1	59	0
25	Oct_3_2003	88.22	85.67	86.61	86.99			85.29(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	8	-10000	-10	61	1.45	36%		76.3	0.98%	0	-0.3	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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