Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 9, 2012

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $117.9200 (0.46%) ($117.9100 - $118.2900) on Mon. Apr. 9, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.33% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $117.9200(0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(71%)    LQD(55%)    SHY(40%)    PCY(34%)    GLD(32%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-3%)    SPY(-2%)    XLP(-1%)    EWP(-1%)    XLK(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.165% (StdDev 0.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $117.47(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.63(0.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $117.67(0.21%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 0.37% (three month std-dev: 0.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120509

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_9_2012	117.64	117.67		117.47			117.92(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	3	-2	3.11	47%	0.03	-45.9	0.33%	0	0.6	57	0
2	Apr_5_2012	117.61	117.69	117.63	117.41			117.38(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-8	-7	0.88	44%	0.01	-42.9	0.32%	0	-0.6	48	0
3	Apr_4_2012	117.6	117.74	117.65	117.55			117.07(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-5	-10000	-8	4	0.62	44%	0	-35.7	0.32%	0	-1.3	45	0
4	Apr_3_2012	117.6	117.81	117.69	117.7			117.05(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-3	-10000	-10	19	1.19	44%	0	-29.3	0.32%	0	-1.6	48	0
5	Apr_2_2012	117.6	117.81	117.72	117.89			117.92(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	4	25	1.03	48%	0.01	-31.6	0.31%	0	0.1	42	0

6	Mar_30_2012	117.59	117.87	117.72	117.82			117.65(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-10000	-3	-7	1	48%	0	-48.7	0.31%	0	-0.5	36	0
7	Mar_29_2012	117.59	117.9	117.65	117.87			118.04(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	5	-13	0.59	51%	0.01	-50	0.31%	0	0.3	41	0
8	Mar_28_2012	117.58	117.92	117.59	117.77			117.84(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	-10000	5	-37	0.53	51%	0	-59.5	0.31%	0	-0.2	42	0
9	Mar_27_2012	117.58	117.96	117.55	117.68			117.99(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-10000	9	-60	1.09	51%	0	-59.6	0.31%	0	0.1	43	0
10	Mar_26_2012	117.58	118.01	117.58	117.52			117.57(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	-10000	3	-74	1.14	48%	0.01	-55.8	0.31%	0	-0.7	42	0

11	Mar_23_2012	117.57	118.09	117.69	117.46			117.91(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-15	-10000	3	-68	0.93	48%	0.01	-50.9	0.31%	0	-0.3	51	0
12	Mar_22_2012	117.56	118.14	117.75	117.46			117.53(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	0	-74	0.85	46%	0	-49.1	0.31%	0	-0.9	40	0
13	Mar_21_2012	117.56	118.21	117.83	117.4			117.4(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-18	-10000	1	-73	0.64	43%	0	-50	0.31%	0	-1.3	38	0
14	Mar_20_2012	117.56	118.29	117.93	117.39			117.18(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-14	-85	1.09	43%	0	-51.9	0.31%	0	-1.8	32	0
15	Mar_19_2012	117.56	118.35	118.04	117.65			117.29(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-10000	-16	-80	0.81	46%	0.02	-47.9	0.31%	0	-1.9	28	0

16	Mar_16_2012	117.54	118.41	118.11	117.95			117.6(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-10000	-11	-72	0.82	46%	0.03	-36.4	0.31%	0	-1.6	30	0
17	Mar_15_2012	117.51	118.46	118.19	118.15			117.53(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-9	-62	0.83	46%	0.02	-22	0.31%	0	-1.9	33	0
18	Mar_14_2012	117.49	118.53	118.28	118.32			117.37(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-23	-10000	-12	-57	1.38	46%	0.01	-8.1	0.31%	0	-2.6	31	0
19	Mar_13_2012	117.48	118.61	118.42	118.54			118.47(-0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	-10000	3	-40	0.86	52%	0.03	10.3	0.29%	0	-0.4	42	0
20	Mar_12_2012	117.44	118.62	118.49	118.48			118.76(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	10	-29	0.45	56%	0.04	3.4	0.29%	0	0.4	58	0

21	Mar_9_2012	117.39	118.6	118.52	118.3			118.61(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	2	-36	0.51	52%	0.03	-6.9	0.29%	0	0	55	0
22	Mar_8_2012	117.35	118.6	118.55	118.26			118.4(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	1	-36	0.74	52%	0.03	-28.1	0.3%	0	-0.4	48	0
23	Mar_7_2012	117.31	118.6	118.61	118.25			118.45(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-12	-10000	-3	-37	2.02	52%	0.03	-37.5	0.3%	0	-0.3	44	0
24	Mar_6_2012	117.27	118.57	118.66	118.3			118.19(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-11	-32	1.58	52%	0.03	-46.9	0.3%	0	-1	44	0
25	Mar_5_2012	117.23	118.6	118.67	118.5			117.85(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-17	-10000	-15	-22	1.09	52%		-32.3	0.3%	0	-2	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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