Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 10, 2008

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $111.5200 (0.75%) ($110.9100 - $111.8100) on Mon. Mar. 10, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.56% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $111.5200(0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIP advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(67%)    LQD(44%)    SHY(44%)    GLD(27%)    PCY(21%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-12%)    SPY(-11%)    XLK(-10%)    QQQ(-10%)    IWM(-10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.28% (StdDev 0.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $110.39(1.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.83(1.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $108.79(2.51%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 1.27% (three month std-dev: 0.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080410

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_10_2008	106.63	108.79	109.83	110.39			111.52(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	46	-10000	10	153	0.72	68%	0.08	38.6	0.56%	0	2	78	0
2	Mar_7_2008	106.54	108.63	109.4	110.09			110.69(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10000	1	135	0.61	65%	0.08	35.4	0.55%	0	1.7	69	0
3	Mar_6_2008	106.45	108.46	109.09	110.06			110.28(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-10000	5	144	0.44	65%	0.08	29.2	0.55%	0	1.6	70	0
4	Mar_5_2008	106.37	108.38	108.85	109.89			109.69(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	44	-10000	11	142	0.45	61%	0.08	26.3	0.55%	0	1.2	61	0
5	Mar_4_2008	106.28	108.33	108.62	109.55			109.76(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-10000	13	109	1.35	61%	0.09	17.9	0.57%	0	1.4	54	0

6	Mar_3_2008	106.18	108.26	108.33	109.16			110.01(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	-10000	19	75	1.38	61%	0.08	5.5	0.57%	0	1.8	54	0
7	Feb_29_2008	106.09	108.2	108.07	108.58			110.57(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	24	-10000	20	36	0.72	62%	0.09	-12.9	0.56%	0	2.6	58	0
8	Feb_28_2008	105.99	108.13	107.69	107.99			109.42(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	6	-10000	10	-6	0.53	58%	0.08	-28	0.55%	0	1.6	60	0
9	Feb_27_2008	105.91	108.09	107.5	107.7			107.99(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	5	-36	0.57	53%	0.08	-38.9	0.54%	0	-0.1	44	0
10	Feb_26_2008	105.83	108.14	107.55	107.55			107.81(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	6	-47	0.6	56%	0.06	-45.9	0.55%	0	-0.4	42	0

11	Feb_25_2008	105.77	108.2	107.64	107.37			107.1(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-3	-56	0.42	54%	0.06	-47.4	0.56%	0	-1.3	42	0
12	Feb_22_2008	105.71	108.31	107.64	107.46			107.64(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-10000	4	-54	0.88	54%	0.06	-41.9	0.56%	0	-0.8	41	0
13	Feb_21_2008	105.65	108.35	107.79	107.33			107.94(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-19	-10000	2	-81	0.55	56%	0.07	-43.8	0.56%	0	-0.5	39	0
14	Feb_20_2008	105.58	108.4	107.87	107.28			107.27(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-29	-10000	-9	-90	0.97	55%	0.05	-41.1	0.57%	0	-1.4	40	0
15	Feb_19_2008	105.53	108.51	108.03	107.57			106.91(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-10000	-13	-79	0.51	56%	0.09	-22.5	0.56%	0	-2.1	38	0

16	Feb_15_2008	105.44	108.6	108.2	107.97			107.53(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-10000	-7	-63	0.28	58%	0.06	-1.6	0.56%	0	-1.6	40	0
17	Feb_14_2008	105.38	108.65	108.35	108.18			106.99(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-16	-10000	-4	-52	0.41	58%	0.06	21.1	0.56%	0	-2.7	35	0
18	Feb_13_2008	105.32	108.69	108.62	108.29			107.71(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-15	-10000	-8	-37	0.61	57%	0.06	35.3	0.55%	0	-1.8	48	0
19	Feb_12_2008	105.26	108.73	108.76	108.52			108.7(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-8	-10000	-2	-24	0.38	60%	0.08	61.7	0.55%	0	-0.1	47	0
20	Feb_11_2008	105.18	108.69	108.79	108.57			108.9(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	-10000	3	-21	0.32	60%	0.07	65.4	0.56%	0	0.4	46	0

21	Feb_8_2008	105.11	108.61	108.8	108.48			108.62(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10000	-3	-24	0.31	61%	0.08	58.6	0.56%	0	0	52	0
22	Feb_7_2008	105.03	108.51	108.86	108.58			107.54(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-14	-10000	-13	-16	0.6	59%	0.05	47.2	0.55%	0	-1.2	46	0
23	Feb_6_2008	104.98	108.5	108.96	108.98			108.84(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-2	18	0.52	63%	0.07	60.5	0.53%	0	0.4	62	0
24	Feb_5_2008	104.91	108.41	108.98	109.03			108.97(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	-0	29	1.6	63%	0.06	65.4	0.53%	0	0.6	56	0
25	Feb_4_2008	104.85	108.32	109.01	109.04			108.45(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-10000	-4	45	0.54	63%		72.9	0.53%	0	0.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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