Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 9, 2005

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $102.7000 (-0.08%) ($102.4000 - $102.8300) on Tue. Aug. 9, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.34% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $102.7000(-0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   TIP declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(68%)    SHY(48%)    LQD(46%)    GLD(25%)    XLU(1%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-14%)    SPY(-12%)    XLK(-11%)    QQQ(-11%)    IWM(-11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.17% (StdDev 0.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $102.45(-0.24%)
Resistance Level   $103.67
5 Day Moving Average   $103(-0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $103.28(-0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.67(-0.94%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 0.61% (three month std-dev: 0.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050909

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_9_2005	105.64	103.67	103.28	103			102.7(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-10000	-2	-93	0.18	38%	-0.03	-86.9	0.34%	0	-1.5	31	0
2	Aug_8_2005	105.67	103.78	103.42	103.04			102.78(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-10000	-4	-92	0.11	38%	-0.02	-84.4	0.34%	0	-1.5	37	0
3	Aug_5_2005	105.69	103.91	103.53	103.1			102.8(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-10000	-12	-86	0.14	38%	-0.03	-85.9	0.34%	0	-1.7	44	0
4	Aug_4_2005	105.72	104.02	103.68	103.32			103.38(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-9	-62	0.13	41%	-0.01	-90.8	0.34%	0	-0.9	44	0
5	Aug_3_2005	105.73	104.12	103.73	103.49			103.36(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-8	-51	0.11	41%	-0.01	-89.7	0.34%	0	-1.1	42	0

6	Aug_2_2005	105.74	104.22	103.83	103.62			102.89(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22	-10000	-13	-49	0.43	38%	-0.02	-94.2	0.33%	0	-1.8	31	0
7	Aug_1_2005	105.76	104.35	103.95	103.85			103.08(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17	-10000	-9	-41	0.15	38%	-0.02	-107.9	0.34%	0	-1.9	30	0
8	Jul_29_2005	105.78	104.48	103.95	104.02			103.91(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-4	-52	0.11	42%	-0.01	-109.5	0.32%	0	-0.9	33	0
9	Jul_28_2005	105.79	104.64	104.02	104.08			104.22(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	4	-60	0.09	47%	-0.01	-79.5	0.32%	0	-0.5	39	0
10	Jul_27_2005	105.8	104.76	104.01	104.01			103.99(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-10000	-4	-90	0.08	47%	-0.02	-72.3	0.34%	0	-0.8	32	0

11	Jul_26_2005	105.82	104.9	104.08	104.01			104.03(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-10000	0	-95	0.18	47%	-0.02	-62.7	0.34%	0	-0.8	33	0
12	Jul_25_2005	105.84	105.06	104.17	104.08			103.93(-0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-22	-10000	4	-99	0.16	47%	-0.02	-54.5	0.34%	0	-1	35	0
13	Jul_22_2005	105.86	105.21	104.29	104.01			104.25(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-26	-10000	4	-115	0.22	51%	-0.01	-51.8	0.34%	0	-0.8	32	0
14	Jul_21_2005	105.87	105.34	104.37	103.95			103.84(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-41	-10000	-3	-155	0.16	45%	-0.01	-50	0.35%	0	-1.2	20	0
15	Jul_20_2005	105.88	105.48	104.53	104			104.33(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-47	-10000	-5	-172	0.16	47%	-0.01	-46.9	0.35%	0	-1	28	0

16	Jul_19_2005	105.89	105.58	104.64	104.09			104.03(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-57	-10000	-11	-193	0.16	50%	-0.01	-44.5	0.35%	0	-1.3	24	0
17	Jul_18_2005	105.9	105.7	104.76	104.29			103.59(-0.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-65	-10000	-18	-206	0.14	48%	-0.02	-41	0.36%	0	-1.9	17	0
18	Jul_15_2005	105.92	105.83	104.99	104.63			103.95(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-58	-10000	-11	-200	0.19	51%	-0.02	-37.2	0.35%	0	-1.9	24	0
19	Jul_14_2005	105.94	105.95	105.31	104.84			104.11(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-56	-10000	-16	-175	0.2	51%	-0.02	-39.3	0.36%	0	-2.1	27	0
20	Jul_13_2005	105.96	106.05	105.58	105.13			104.78(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-10000	-7	-152	0.17	55%	-0.01	-41.9	0.35%	0	-1.6	33	0

21	Jul_12_2005	105.97	106.1	105.8	105.26			105.04(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-3	-130	0.11	57%	-0.01	-49.3	0.35%	0	-1.5	40	0
22	Jul_11_2005	105.98	106.15	106.02	105.31			105.25(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-6	-111	0.14	57%	-0.01	-58.5	0.36%	0	-1.3	43	0
23	Jul_8_2005	105.99	106.2	106.2	105.42			105.04(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-10000	-23	-98	0.1	57%	-0.01	-63.9	0.36%	0	-1.8	41	0
24	Jul_7_2005	106	106.3	106.39	105.86			105.53(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-10000	-14	-48	0.08	58%	-0.01	-52.6	0.35%	0	-1.3	46	0
25	Jul_6_2005	106.01	106.37	106.51	106.11			105.46(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	-10000	-17	-15	0.09	58%		-48.2	0.36%	0	-1.5	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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