Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 16, 2004

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $100.9600 (-0.07%) ($100.6500 - $101.0100) on Wed. Jun. 16, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.43% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $100.9600(-0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   TIP declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(69%)    SHY(49%)    LQD(47%)    XLU(1%)    OIH(-2%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-12%)    XLK(-11%)    QQQ(-11%)    IWM(-11%)    EEM(-11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.215% (StdDev 0.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $101.57
5 Day Moving Average   $100.65(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $100.93(0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $101.57(-0.6%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   1.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 0.77% (three month std-dev: 0.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2004	103.46	101.57	100.93	100.65			100.96(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-30	-10000	1	-122	0.14	30%	-0.02	-9.1	0.43%	0	-0.8	37	0
2	Jun_15_2004	103.48	101.57	101.04	100.62			101.03(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-33	-10000	-2	-126	0.07	30%	-0.02	0	0.44%	0	-0.8	37	0
3	Jun_14_2004	103.5	101.61	101.2	100.66			100.17(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-10000	-9	-121	0.1	26%	-0.02	8	0.43%	0	-1.9	32	0
4	Jun_10_2004	103.52	101.61	101.46	100.86			100.61(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-7	-106	0.12	26%	-0.03	16.7	0.42%	0	-1.4	30	0
5	Jun_9_2004	103.55	101.61	101.65	101.01			100.5(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-10000	-11	-90	0.09	26%	-0.03	20.3	0.42%	0	-1.5	37	0

6	Jun_8_2004	103.58	101.64	101.83	101.24			100.79(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-10000	-13	-69	0.09	26%	-0.03	25	0.42%	0	-1.1	42	0
7	Jun_7_2004	103.61	101.61	101.98	101.52			101.24(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-10000	-14	-41	0.09	27%	-0.02	26.2	0.42%	0	-0.4	48	0
8	Jun_4_2004	103.63	101.55	102.06	101.82			101.15(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-10000	-15	-5	0.07	32%	-0.01	26.1	0.44%	0	-0.4	57	0
9	Jun_3_2004	103.64	101.52	102.19	102.16			101.39(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-10000	-10	45	0.11	32%	-0.02	33.7	0.44%	0	-0.1	61	0
10	Jun_2_2004	103.66	101.49	102.26	102.39			101.65(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	18	-10000	-5	85	0.06	32%	-0.01	36.5	0.44%	0	0.2	66	0

11	Jun_1_2004	103.67	101.45	102.29	102.49			102.17(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	-0	115	0.07	36%	0.01	33	0.44%	0	0.7	73	0
12	May_28_2004	103.66	101.38	102.24	102.5			102.75(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	8	144	0.19	37%	0.01	30.1	0.44%	0	1.5	84	0
13	May_27_2004	103.65	101.3	102.05	102.33			102.85(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	39	-10000	4	145	0.1	40%	0.01	25	0.44%	0	1.7	84	0
14	May_26_2004	103.64	101.2	101.83	102.25			102.53(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	5	142	0.09	40%	0	16	0.45%	0	1.6	72	0
15	May_25_2004	103.64	101.2	101.62	102.13			102.14(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	-10000	3	131	0.07	40%	0.01	6.3	0.45%	0	1.3	63	0

16	May_24_2004	103.63	101.13	101.43	102.06			102.25(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	6	122	0.06	40%	0.01	1.3	0.45%	0	1.4	64	0
17	May_21_2004	103.62	101.1	101.19	101.92			101.88(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-10000	9	104	0.1	40%	-0.02	-12	0.45%	0	1	60	0
18	May_20_2004	103.64	101.07	100.99	101.71			102.44(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	-10000	17	78	0.08	41%	0.01	-30.4	0.44%	0	1.7	60	0
19	May_19_2004	103.63	101.06	100.77	101.34			101.95(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	-10000	15	43	0.12	39%	0	-43.8	0.44%	0	1.1	60	0
20	May_18_2004	103.63	101.08	100.64	101.02			101.76(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	-10000	14	11	0.12	39%	0	-54.1	0.44%	0	0.8	50	0

21	May_17_2004	103.63	101.11	100.53	100.72			101.59(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	-10000	17	-30	0.14	38%	-0.01	-60.4	0.44%	0	0.5	39	0
22	May_14_2004	103.64	101.19	100.44	100.35			100.83(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	9	-76	0.09	34%	-0.03	-65.4	0.43%	0	-0.3	36	0
23	May_13_2004	103.67	101.31	100.47	100.16			100.58(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	-10000	2	-98	0.08	38%	-0.01	-70.9	0.43%	0	-0.7	41	0
24	May_12_2004	103.68	101.42	100.5	100.12			100.36(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	-10000	-4	-122	0.12	38%	-0.02	-75	0.44%	0	-0.9	31	0
25	May_11_2004	103.7	101.55	100.6	100.2			100.22(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-37	-10000	-5	-133	0.16	40%		-77.4	0.44%	0	-1.1	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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