Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 22, 2004

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $107.1000 (0.24%) ($106.9400 - $107.1100) on Mon. Mar. 22, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.36% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $107.1000(0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIP advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(69%)    SHY(49%)    LQD(47%)    XLU(2%)    OIH(-2%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.18% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-12%)    XLK(-11%)    QQQ(-11%)    IWM(-11%)    EEM(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.18% (StdDev 0.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $107.22(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $106.93(0.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $106.18(0.87%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 1.04% (three month std-dev: 0.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_22_2004	103.58	106.18	106.93	107.22			107.1(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	6	107	0.1	70%	0.05	77.9	0.36%	0	0.8	68	0
2	Mar_19_2004	103.53	106.03	106.9	107.11			106.84(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10000	6	114	0.08	70%	0.04	68.8	0.36%	0	0.7	62	0
3	Mar_18_2004	103.49	105.87	106.86	107			107.41(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	10	126	0.09	74%	0.06	64.1	0.36%	0	1.2	73	0
4	Mar_17_2004	103.43	105.69	106.66	106.81			107.59(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	38	-10000	9	124	0.09	74%	0.06	61.5	0.36%	0	1.5	78	0
5	Mar_16_2004	103.37	105.5	106.44	106.64			107.15(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	-10000	1	122	0.33	73%	0.06	60.9	0.36%	0	1.4	78	0

6	Mar_15_2004	103.31	105.33	106.27	106.63			106.55(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	35	-10000	-2	145	0.13	72%	0.05	64	0.35%	0	1	77	0
7	Mar_12_2004	103.26	105.22	106.19	106.67			106.3(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	45	-10000	-1	181	0.11	72%	0.04	70.6	0.35%	0	0.9	77	0
8	Mar_11_2004	103.22	105.08	106.09	106.68			106.47(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	63	-10000	12	216	0.15	73%	0.05	72.1	0.35%	0	1.2	81	0
9	Mar_10_2004	103.17	104.94	105.9	106.46			106.74(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	63	-10000	14	211	0.14	73%	0.06	70	0.35%	0	1.6	79	0
10	Mar_9_2004	103.11	104.77	105.67	106.19			107.08(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	64	-10000	18	201	0.18	72%	0.06	67	0.35%	0	2.1	84	0

11	Mar_8_2004	103.05	104.59	105.37	105.86			106.74(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	53	-10000	11	178	0.14	71%	0.06	68.4	0.35%	0	2.2	83	0
12	Mar_5_2004	102.99	104.42	105.08	105.66			106.38(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	49	-10000	13	158	0.14	71%	0.05	75.9	0.35%	0	2.3	71	0
13	Mar_4_2004	102.94	104.24	104.8	105.42			105.38(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	45	-10000	10	148	0.11	69%	0.05	77.6	0.33%	0	1.4	71	0
14	Mar_3_2004	102.89	104.14	104.64	105.25			105.35(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	11	131	0.17	69%	0.04	80.8	0.34%	0	1.6	66	0
15	Mar_2_2004	102.85	104.03	104.49	105.06			105.43(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	-10000	15	124	0.17	69%	0.04	82.6	0.34%	0	1.9	70	0

16	Mar_1_2004	102.81	103.91	104.32	104.79			105.77(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	42	-10000	21	105	0.21	69%	0.05	82.8	0.34%	0	2.8	70	0
17	Feb_27_2004	102.76	103.77	104.15	104.41			105.16(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	36	-10000	19	86	0.18	67%	0.05	84.6	0.33%	0	2.6	68	0
18	Feb_26_2004	102.71	103.63	103.98	104.09			104.56(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-10000	8	60	0.11	65%	0.03	61.2	0.33%	0	1.8	68	0
19	Feb_25_2004	102.68	103.52	103.9	103.95			104.37(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	7	54	0.16	65%	0.03	46	0.33%	0	1.6	61	0
20	Feb_24_2004	102.65	103.45	103.79	103.83			104.1(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	4	43	0.17	65%	0.03	42.6	0.33%	0	1.3	59	0

21	Feb_23_2004	102.62	103.37	103.75	103.77			103.88(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	-10000	-5	40	0.11	65%	0.02	30.6	0.34%	0	1	60	0
22	Feb_20_2004	102.6	103.32	103.7	103.85			103.55(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	16	-10000	1	60	0.12	65%	0.02	35.4	0.34%	0	0.5	59	0
23	Feb_19_2004	102.58	103.31	103.66	103.84			103.84(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	1	69	0.09	65%	0.03	41.7	0.34%	0	1.1	68	0
24	Feb_18_2004	102.55	103.29	103.61	103.83			103.8(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	5	85	0.13	65%	0.02	46.8	0.34%	0	1	67	0
25	Feb_17_2004	102.53	103.25	103.56	103.74			103.78(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	2	84	0.19	65%		47.8	0.34%	0	1.1	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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