Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 4, 2004

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $105.3800 (0.03%) ($105.0500 - $105.3800) on Thu. Mar. 4, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.33% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $105.3800(0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIP advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(69%)    SHY(49%)    LQD(47%)    XLU(2%)    OIH(-2%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-12%)    XLK(-11%)    QQQ(-11%)    IWM(-11%)    EEM(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.165% (StdDev 0.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $105.42(-0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $104.8(0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104.24(1.09%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 0.76% (three month std-dev: 0.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2004	102.94	104.24	104.8	105.42			105.38(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	45	-10000	10	148	0.11	69%	0.05	77.6	0.33%	0	1.4	71	0
2	Mar_3_2004	102.89	104.14	104.64	105.25			105.35(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	11	131	0.17	69%	0.04	80.8	0.34%	0	1.6	66	0
3	Mar_2_2004	102.85	104.03	104.49	105.06			105.43(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	-10000	15	124	0.17	69%	0.04	82.6	0.34%	0	1.9	70	0
4	Mar_1_2004	102.81	103.91	104.32	104.79			105.77(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	42	-10000	21	105	0.21	69%	0.05	82.8	0.34%	0	2.8	70	0
5	Feb_27_2004	102.76	103.77	104.15	104.41			105.16(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	36	-10000	19	86	0.18	67%	0.05	84.6	0.33%	0	2.6	68	0

6	Feb_26_2004	102.71	103.63	103.98	104.09			104.56(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-10000	8	60	0.11	65%	0.03	61.2	0.33%	0	1.8	68	0
7	Feb_25_2004	102.68	103.52	103.9	103.95			104.37(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	7	54	0.16	65%	0.03	46	0.33%	0	1.6	61	0
8	Feb_24_2004	102.65	103.45	103.79	103.83			104.1(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	4	43	0.17	65%	0.03	42.6	0.33%	0	1.3	59	0
9	Feb_23_2004	102.62	103.37	103.75	103.77			103.88(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	-10000	-5	40	0.11	65%	0.02	30.6	0.34%	0	1	60	0
10	Feb_20_2004	102.6	103.32	103.7	103.85			103.55(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	16	-10000	1	60	0.12	65%	0.02	35.4	0.34%	0	0.5	59	0

11	Feb_19_2004	102.58	103.31	103.66	103.84			103.84(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	1	69	0.09	65%	0.03	41.7	0.34%	0	1.1	68	0
12	Feb_18_2004	102.55	103.29	103.61	103.83			103.8(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	5	85	0.13	65%	0.02	46.8	0.34%	0	1	67	0
13	Feb_17_2004	102.53	103.25	103.56	103.74			103.78(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	2	84	0.19	65%	0.03	47.8	0.34%	0	1.1	60	0
14	Feb_13_2004	102.5	103.21	103.49	103.71			104.29(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	31	-10000	9	95	0.12	68%	0.04	55.6	0.34%	0	2.3	70	0
15	Feb_12_2004	102.46	103.14	103.36	103.54			103.49(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	6	87	0.19	66%	0.02	70.3	0.32%	0	0.9	57	0

16	Feb_11_2004	102.44	103.11	103.25	103.44			103.78(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	6	59	0.2	66%	0.03	73	0.32%	0	1.8	50	0
17	Feb_10_2004	102.41	103.06	103.12	103.35			103.36(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	-10000	1	34	0.19	64%	0.02	85.3	0.32%	0	0.9	48	0
18	Feb_9_2004	102.39	103.02	103.07	103.34			103.64(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	6	34	0.14	64%	0.03	94.4	0.32%	0	1.7	56	0
19	Feb_6_2004	102.36	102.96	102.96	103.24			103.43(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	5	13	0.16	64%	0.02	102.9	0.33%	0	1.3	53	0
20	Feb_5_2004	102.34	102.87	102.89	103.15			103.01(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10000	7	1	0.17	62%	0.02	78.6	0.33%	0	0.3	50	0

21	Feb_4_2004	102.32	102.83	102.89	103.03			103.32(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	9	-10000	11	3	0.13	62%	0.03	71.1	0.33%	0	1.1	55	0
22	Feb_3_2004	102.29	102.76	102.94	102.85			103.32(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	5	-9	0.11	62%	0.02	59.6	0.33%	0	1.2	55	0
23	Feb_2_2004	102.27	102.67	102.9	102.77			103.13(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	-10000	8	-8	0.16	62%	0.03	40.7	0.33%	0	0.8	60	0
24	Jan_30_2004	102.24	102.59	102.89	102.63			102.95(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	1	-14	0.11	62%	0.01	27.6	0.34%	0	0.6	57	0
25	Jan_29_2004	102.23	102.53	102.9	102.61			102.41(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-11	-10000	-14	-0	0.22	59%		28.8	0.33%	0	-0.2	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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