Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 15, 2004

Trading Signals: TIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 5, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares TIPS Bond ETF)
TIP latest price $103.0300 (0.13%) ($102.7400 - $103.0300) on Thu. Jan. 15, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.32% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $103.0300(0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TIP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TIP advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(69%)    SHY(50%)    LQD(48%)    XLU(2%)    OIH(-2%)
Factors Impacting TIP price   TIP will decline at least -0.16% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-12%)    XLK(-11%)    QQQ(-11%)    IWM(-11%)    EEM(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.16% (StdDev 0.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $102.73(0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $102.26(0.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $102.09(0.92%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TIP price fluctuates within 0.46% (three month std-dev: 0.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_15_2004	102.01	102.09	102.26	102.73			103.03(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	16	87	0.06	70%	0.04	47.8	0.32%	0	2	61	0
2	Jan_14_2004	101.97	102.02	102.12	102.46			102.9(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	-10000	10	62	0.09	70%	0.04	39	0.32%	0	2.1	66	0
3	Jan_13_2004	101.93	101.97	102	102.3			102.88(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	19	-10000	11	41	0.12	70%	0.03	33.3	0.33%	0	2.5	58	0
4	Jan_12_2004	101.9	101.92	101.89	102.12			102.38(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	13	22	0.13	67%	0.02	27.6	0.32%	0	1.5	52	0
5	Jan_9_2004	101.88	101.91	101.87	101.92			102.46(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	9	-10000	12	1	0.11	67%	0.03	0	0.33%	0	2	52	0

6	Jan_8_2004	101.85	101.87	101.82	101.72			101.69(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-1	-18	0.14	60%	-0.01	0	0.3%	0	-0.7	50	0
7	Jan_7_2004	101.86	101.86	101.81	101.73			102.08(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-1	-10000	6	-22	0.1	67%	0.01	0	0.29%	0	0.9	54	0
8	Jan_6_2004	101.85	101.85	101.79	101.65			102(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-7	-10000	1	-30	0.11	67%	0.01	0	0.3%	0	0.6	51	0
9	Jan_5_2004	101.84	101.84	101.8	101.64			101.35(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-13	-41	0.12	59%	-0.03	0	0.27%	0	-1.9	39	0
10	Jan_2_2004	101.87	101.84	101.89	101.82			101.49(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-7	-10000	-8	-3	0.11	59%	-0.02	0	0.27%	0	441.3	39	0

11	Dec_31_2003	101.89	101.84	101.89	101.93			101.71(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-1	3	-10000	3	1	0.07	59%	-0.01	0	0.28%	0	462.3	50	0
12	Dec_30_2003	101.9	101.84	101.92	101.89			101.68(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-4	-10000	-5	-2	0.1	59%	-0.01	0	0.29%	0	462.2	54	0
13	Dec_29_2003	101.91	101.84	101.95	101.96			101.95(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-2	-10000	-2	-1	0.13	59%	0	0	0.29%	0	463.4	53	0
14	Dec_26_2003	101.91	101.84	101.96	101.99			102.25(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-10000	1	0	0.03	66%	0.03	0	0.29%	0	444.6	55	0
15	Dec_24_2003	101.88	101.84	101.95	101.97			102.07(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	4	2	0.03	66%	0.01	0	0.29%	0	464	50	0

16	Dec_23_2003	101.87	101.84	101.92	101.91			101.5(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-4	-10000	-4	-2	0.11	56%	-0.03	0	0.26%	0	461.4	50	0
17	Dec_22_2003	101.9	101.84	101.93	101.96			102.01(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10000	3	1	0.29	76%	0.01	0	0.23%	0	510.1	50	0
18	Dec_19_2003	101.89	101.84	101.9	101.93			102.12(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	-10000	1	0	0.09	76%	0.02	0	0.23%	0	486.3	50	0
19	Dec_18_2003	101.87	101.84	101.87	101.93			102.17(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	0	-10000	0	0	0.11	76%	0.04	0	0.25%	0	510.9	50	0
20	Dec_17_2003	101.83	101.84	101.87	101.92			101.73(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0.14	65%	-0.02	0	0.21%	0	535.4	50	0

21	Dec_16_2003	101.85	101.84	101.87	101.93			101.76(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	4	-10000	4	2	0.14	65%	-0.01	0	0.23%	0	508.8	50	0
22	Dec_15_2003	101.86	101.84	101.87	101.88			101.87(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	2	-10000	2	1	0.15	65%	0	0	0.24%	0	485.1	50	0
23	Dec_12_2003	101.86	101.84	101.87	101.86			102.09(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	4	-10000	4	2	0.08	65%	0.05	0	0.24%	0	464	50	0
24	Dec_11_2003	101.81	101.84	101.87	101.81			102.17(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	1641	-10000	1931	772	0.08	65%	0.09	0	0.26%	0	464.4	50	0
25	Dec_10_2003	101.72	101.84	101.87	81.38			101.77(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	156.8	2579	-10000	3034	1214	0.1	44%		0	0.22%	0	782.8	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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