Trading Signals: TGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: TGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Target Corporation)
TGT latest price $76.3000 (1.84%) ($74.8700 - $76.3300) on Mon. Jul. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.56% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $76.3000(1.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TGT advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TGT advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XRT(53%)    XLY(50%)    VYM(46%)    XLP(46%)    VT(45%)
Factors Impacting TGT price   TGT will decline at least -0.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.78% (StdDev 1.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $74.8(2.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.17(2.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.35(5.46%)
To recent high   -8.4%
To recent low   14.3%
Market Cap   $38.169b

Target Corp. engages in owning and operating of general merchandise stores. It offers curated general merchandise and food assortments including perishables, dry grocery, dairy, and frozen items. The company was founded by George Draper Dayton in 1902 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.

$. TGT price fluctuates within 2.9% (three month std-dev: 1.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160825

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2016	75.68	72.35	74.17	74.8			76.3(1.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	33	-10000	8	107	4.21	30%	-0.07	73.1	1.56%	0	1.9	85	0
2	Jul_22_2016	75.73	71.99	73.78	74.33			74.92(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	32	-10000	7	108	2.51	25%	-0.07	76.3	1.54%	0	1.5	79	0
3	Jul_21_2016	75.78	71.73	73.43	73.95			74.34(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	3	106	3.28	25%	-0.09	81.7	1.53%	0	1.4	79	0
4	Jul_20_2016	75.85	71.45	73.03	73.78			74.48(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	-10000	5	105	2.8	24%	-0.08	84.7	1.53%	0	1.6	78	0
5	Jul_19_2016	75.91	71.14	72.63	73.52			73.95(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	1	101	4.26	24%	-0.07	86.9	1.54%	0	1.5	77	0

6	Jul_18_2016	75.96	70.84	72.22	73.44			73.96(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	-10000	5	104	3.85	24%	-0.05	90.3	1.54%	0	1.7	78	0
7	Jul_15_2016	76	70.52	71.83	73.15			73.04(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	6	103	5.21	24%	-0.08	87.4	1.54%	0	1.4	77	0
8	Jul_14_2016	76.06	70.22	71.51	72.81			73.49(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	12	97	4.8	24%	-0.05	78.6	1.54%	0	1.8	75	0
9	Jul_13_2016	76.1	69.9	71.15	72.13			73.17(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	10	82	3.61	24%	0	68.3	1.54%	0	1.9	78	0
10	Jul_12_2016	76.1	69.58	70.8	71.59			73.52(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	30	-10000	14	76	6.65	24%	0.01	58.6	1.55%	0	2.3	82	0

11	Jul_11_2016	76.09	69.24	70.37	70.84			72.54(1.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	22	-10000	9	59	5.26	24%	0	45.9	1.55%	0	2.2	81	0
12	Jul_8_2016	76.09	68.99	70.03	70.34			71.31(1.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	18	-10000	6	54	4.68	20%	-0.01	39.9	1.53%	0	1.7	80	0
13	Jul_7_2016	76.1	68.8	69.87	70.04			70.09(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	0	58	5.09	14%	-0.03	34.1	1.52%	0	1	79	0
14	Jul_6_2016	76.12	68.72	69.75	70.02			70.51(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	19	-10000	3	68	3.91	14%	-0.01	36.4	1.52%	0	1.5	79	0
15	Jul_5_2016	76.13	68.6	69.54	69.87			69.74(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	1	73	3.31	14%	-0.01	33.3	1.51%	0	1	79	0

16	Jul_1_2016	76.14	68.55	69.37	69.81			70.05(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	22	-10000	3	80	5.01	14%	0.03	32.9	1.5%	0	1.4	80	0
17	Jun_30_2016	76.12	68.47	69.13	69.67			69.82(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	0	74	6.5	14%	0.01	30.1	1.5%	0	1.3	65	0
18	Jun_29_2016	76.11	68.38	68.85	69.66			70(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	4	74	6.77	14%	0.01	27.3	1.5%	0	1.7	67	0
19	Jun_28_2016	76.1	68.29	68.58	69.44			69.74(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	6	62	7.33	14%	-0.01	20.9	1.5%	0	1.6	56	0
20	Jun_27_2016	76.11	68.23	68.29	69.15			69.45(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	6	45	5.58	14%	0	17.1	1.51%	0	1.5	57	0

21	Jun_24_2016	76.11	68.2	68.03	68.86			69.35(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	7	26	6.76	14%	0	9.2	1.52%	0	1.4	51	0
22	Jun_23_2016	76.11	68.16	67.86	68.49			69.78(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	11	-10000	11	12	7.51	14%	-0.04	7	1.52%	0	2.1	55	0
23	Jun_22_2016	76.14	68.12	67.63	67.93			68.86(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	-10000	6	-12	4.42	14%	-0.07	-5.6	1.51%	0	1	52	0
24	Jun_21_2016	76.19	68.11	67.58	67.61			68.3(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	-10000	6	-22	4.58	14%	-0.05	-48.6	1.5%	0	0.3	48	0
25	Jun_20_2016	76.23	68.09	67.56	67.3			67.99(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-6	-10000	4	-36	4.33	14%		-100.9	1.5%	0	-0.1	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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