Trading Signals: TGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: TGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Target Corporation)
TGT latest price $82.6000 (1%) ($82.0000 - $83.0600) on Fri. Apr. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $82.6000(1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TGT advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TGT declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XRT(53%)    XLY(50%)    VYM(46%)    XLP(46%)    VT(45%)
Factors Impacting TGT price   TGT will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.3(1.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.54(1.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.98(0.76%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   22.2%
Market Cap   $41.321b

Target Corp. engages in owning and operating of general merchandise stores. It offers curated general merchandise and food assortments including perishables, dry grocery, dairy, and frozen items. The company was founded by George Draper Dayton in 1902 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.

$. TGT price fluctuates within 1.04% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160515

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_15_2016	75.54	81.98		81.3			82.6(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-5	-10000	7	-39	3.55	68%	0.09	-26.9	1.32%	0	0.7	48	0
2	Apr_14_2016	75.47	81.99	81.54	80.95			81.78(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-12	-10000	1	-50	2.69	64%	0.12	-30.2	1.32%	0	-0.2	49	0
3	Apr_13_2016	75.38	82.02	81.58	80.91			81.56(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-14	-10000	-2	-48	2.5	60%	0.12	-25.5	1.34%	0	-0.5	51	0
4	Apr_12_2016	75.29	82.03	81.76	81.03			80.78(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-5	-37	3.34	60%	0.12	-16.2	1.38%	0	-1.5	46	0
5	Apr_11_2016	75.2	82.09	81.98	81.3			79.77(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-14	-10000	-9	-28	4.68	60%	0.13	-3	1.38%	0	-2.8	37	0

6	Apr_8_2016	75.1	82.21	82.3	81.8			80.88(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-8	-10000	-7	-12	3.96	55%	0.13	24	1.37%	0	-2.1	38	0
7	Apr_7_2016	75	82.21	82.44	82.18			81.57(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-2	-10000	-2	-3	4.14	55%	0.17	59.4	1.44%	0	-1.2	40	0
8	Apr_6_2016	74.87	82.25	82.45	82.32			82.17(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-5	-5	3.89	55%	0.13	65.3	1.43%	0	-0.1	49	0
9	Apr_5_2016	74.77	82.17	82.42	82.61			82.1(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-3	5	4.4	57%	0.13	64.7	1.44%	0	-0.1	55	0
10	Apr_4_2016	74.67	82.12	82.43	82.78			82.3(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-2	12	3.75	57%	0.15	80.6	1.45%	0	0.2	55	0

11	Apr_1_2016	74.56	82.06	82.47	82.88			82.76(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	2	20	4.29	57%	0.11	98.9	1.46%	0	0.9	57	0
12	Mar_31_2016	74.48	81.92	82.49	82.74			82.28(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	8	-10000	3	24	9.48	57%	0.11	86.5	1.47%	0	0.4	57	0
13	Mar_30_2016	74.4	81.86	82.5	82.58			83.6(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	11	-10000	6	26	3.21	59%	0.09	102.7	1.47%	0	1.9	70	0
14	Mar_29_2016	74.33	81.72	82.3	82.2			82.97(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-10000	2	20	3.58	61%	0.09	138.8	1.47%	0	1.5	72	0
15	Mar_28_2016	74.26	81.5	82.18	82.05			82.8(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	0	19	5.69	61%	0.01	134.1	1.49%	0	1.2	67	0

16	Mar_24_2016	74.25	81.29	82.08	82.03			82.04(0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-10000	-3	21	4.31	61%	0.07	133.8	1.49%	0	0.6	59	0
17	Mar_23_2016	74.2	81.13	82.04	82.23			81.5(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-3	35	4.79	61%	0.05	134.7	1.5%	0	0.2	67	0
18	Mar_22_2016	74.16	80.93	82.02	82.4			81.7(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	0	43	5.26	61%	0.05	112.2	1.5%	0	0.4	54	0
19	Mar_21_2016	74.12	80.57	81.92	82.39			82.2(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	1	42	4.66	61%	0.08	93.4	1.51%	0	0.6	58	0
20	Mar_18_2016	74.06	80.12	81.79	82.31			82.71(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	3	52	7.75	61%	0.08	85.1	1.5%	0	0.8	73	0

21	Mar_17_2016	74	79.62	81.63	82.14			83.02(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	5	61	5.69	59%	0.09	83.8	1.51%	0	1	75	0
22	Mar_16_2016	73.93	79.11	81.3	81.84			82.39(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	4	57	4.07	59%	0.11	82.9	1.54%	0	0.9	72	0
23	Mar_15_2016	73.85	78.61	81.16	81.6			81.65(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	4	71	3.21	59%	0.11	80.4	1.54%	0	0.8	76	0
24	Mar_14_2016	73.77	78.12	81.08	81.38			81.77(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	3	97	3.55	59%	0.12	81.6	1.54%	0	1	83	0
25	Mar_11_2016	73.68	77.55	80.77	81.19			81.87(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	-10000	2	121	4.1	59%		76	1.54%	0	1.1	86	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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