Trading Signals: TEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 11, 2015

Trading Signals: TEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(TE Connectivity Ltd.)
TEL latest price $62.7800 (-2%) ($62.7300 - $63.6200) on Tue. Aug. 11, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $62.7800(-2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TEL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TEL advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(79%)    XLI(77%)    XLB(76%)    VYM(75%)    SPY(74%)
Factors Impacting TEL price   TEL will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $62.59(0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.78(1.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.68(1.78%)
To recent high   -11.2%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $20.717b

TE Connectivity Ltd. engages in the design and manufacture of connectivity and sensors solutions. It operates through the following segments: Transportation, Industrial, and Communications Solutions. The Transportation Solutions segment offers products that are used in the automotive, commercial transportation, and sensors markets. The Industrial Solutions segment provides products that connect and distribute power, data, and signal. The Communications Solutions segment supplies electronic components for the data and devices and appliances markets. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Schaffhausen, Switzerland.

$. TEL price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2015	67.19		61.78	62.59			62.78(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	10	88	2.48	37%	-0.16	11	1.16%	0	1	55	0
2	Aug_10_2015	67.3	61.68	61.56	62.24			64.06(3.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	30	-10000	18	64	2.3	39%	-0.13	0.6	1.14%	0	2.3	56	0
3	Aug_7_2015	67.39	61.58	61.13	61.62			61.91(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	6	12	1.14	32%	-0.16	-23.8	1.05%	0	0.4	44	0
4	Aug_6_2015	67.5	61.6	60.96	61.42			61.63(-1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10000	5	-15	2.01	32%	-0.18	-39.1	1.06%	0	0	44	0
5	Aug_5_2015	67.62	61.61	60.9	61.24			62.59(2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	0	-10000	12	-36	2.43	32%	-0.13	-57.6	1.05%	0	1.1	45	0

6	Aug_4_2015	67.71	61.56	60.79	60.85			61.02(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	-10000	2	-75	2.55	30%	-0.18	-77	1%	0	-0.5	29	0
7	Aug_3_2015	67.83	61.67	60.9	60.78			60.96(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	-10000	7	-82	1.71	30%	-0.16	-76.7	1.03%	0	-0.7	26	0
8	Jul_31_2015	67.94	61.81	61.03	60.55			60.92(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	-10000	4	-98	2.32	35%	-0.16	-92.5	1.04%	0	-0.8	34	0
9	Jul_30_2015	68.05	61.97	61.15	60.43			60.7(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	-3	-106	4.17	33%	-0.15	-95.8	1.08%	0	-1.1	34	0
10	Jul_29_2015	68.15	62.15	61.35	60.52			60.63(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-10000	-6	-95	2.7	32%	-0.16	-102.5	1.1%	0	-1.2	42	0

11	Jul_28_2015	68.26	62.33	61.57	60.73			60.67(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	-10000	-10	-79	2.49	32%	-0.18	-115.8	1.1%	0	-1.3	42	0
12	Jul_27_2015	68.38	62.5	61.81	61.07			59.85(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-10000	-15	-70	2.39	29%	-0.18	-130.3	1.08%	0	-2.1	25	0
13	Jul_24_2015	68.5	62.81	62.09	61.58			60.29(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22	-10000	-11	-53	3.96	29%	-0.19	-123	1.08%	0	-1.9	25	0
14	Jul_23_2015	68.63	63.12	62.33	61.96			61.14(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-10	-51	3.52	29%	-0.17	-118.9	1.07%	0	-1.4	25	0
15	Jul_22_2015	68.75	63.45	62.41	62.29			61.7(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-7	-54	6.56	29%	-0.16	-97	1.09%	0	-1	27	0

16	Jul_21_2015	68.86	63.82	62.43	62.53			62.37(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-10000	-4	-62	1.82	29%	-0.16	-75.5	1.09%	0	-0.7	31	0
17	Jul_20_2015	68.97	64.15	62.52	62.67			62.38(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-1	-60	1.46	31%	-0.14	-63.4	1.09%	0	-0.8	35	0
18	Jul_17_2015	69.07	64.47	62.65	62.7			62.2(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-20	-10000	-1	-77	2.37	31%	-0.14	-59.1	1.1%	0	-0.9	23	0
19	Jul_16_2015	69.17	64.83	62.85	62.75			62.79(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-18	-10000	6	-90	1.47	31%	-0.14	-55.2	1.11%	0	-0.8	23	0
20	Jul_15_2015	69.27	65.13	62.99	62.53			62.89(-0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	-10000	6	-129	2.05	31%	-0.13	-56.1	1.11%	0	-0.8	19	0

21	Jul_14_2015	69.36	65.43	63.12	62.31			63.09(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-47	-10000	-2	-182	2.31	31%	-0.13	-56.4	1.12%	0	-0.8	16	0
22	Jul_13_2015	69.45	65.68	63.21	62.38			62.55(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-62	-10000	-7	-225	1.83	31%	-0.13	-57	1.11%	0	-1.1	14	0
23	Jul_10_2015	69.54	65.99	63.55	62.61			62.41(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-68	-10000	-11	-240	1.77	31%	-0.11	-56.2	1.11%	0	-1.3	17	0
24	Jul_9_2015	69.62	66.34	63.94	63			61.73(-0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-74	-10000	-15	-252	2.07	31%	-0.14	-52.3	1.1%	0	-1.7	11	0
25	Jul_8_2015	69.72	66.72	64.57	63.52			61.76(-2.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-71	-10000	-15	-238	2.8	31%		-52.1	1.1%	0	-2	18	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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