Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $55.7700 (1.31%) ($54.6300 - $56.1000) on Thu. Jun. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.58% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $55.7700(1.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(55%)    MCHI(50%)    FXI(47%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(37%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -0.79% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-4%)    BNDX(-4%)    VIXM(-3%)    UUP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.79% (StdDev 1.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.35(2.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.39(2.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.26(0.92%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   18.6%
Market Cap   $33.075b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 2.46% (three month std-dev: 1.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.33%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.5%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.68%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.09%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.18%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170722

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_22_2017	50.48	55.26	54.39	54.35	54.43	54.96	55.77(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	19	70	48	-67	4.11	55%	0.26	-19.9	1.58%	0	0.4	48	INF
2	Jun_21_2017	50.35	55.22	54.56	53.72	53.76	54.32	55.05(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	80	28	-89	2.88	51%	0.24	-32.5	1.57%	0	-0.1	44	INF
3	Jun_20_2017	50.23	55.2	54.76	53.47	53.29	53.9	54.07(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	70	15	-86	4.25	51%	0.22	-43.1	1.62%	0	-0.8	49	INF
4	Jun_19_2017	50.12	55.27	55.03	53.66	53.4	53.2	53.92(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	-40	5	-74	3.91	51%	0.22	-40.1	1.63%	0	-1	46	INF
5	Jun_16_2017	50.01	55.39	55.3	53.85	53.76	52.68	52.94(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-60	-150	-52	-84	4.85	49%	0.18	-34.6	1.62%	0	-1.9	41	INF

6	Jun_15_2017	49.92	55.53	55.64	54.43	54.3	53.61	52.64(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-79	-100	-81	-73	7.37	47%	0.2	-20.3	1.62%	0	-2.4	37	INF
7	Jun_14_2017	49.82	55.66	56.03	55.51	55.32	54.83	53.76(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-30	-70	-37	-9	4.31	49%	0.2	0	1.6%	0	-1.9	47	INF
8	Jun_13_2017	49.72	55.8	56.16	56.23	56.15	55	55.06(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-29	-150	-44	16	3.21	53%	0.24	27.6	1.57%	0	-0.8	55	INF
9	Jun_12_2017	49.6	55.82	56.19	56.59	56.65	55.81	54.86(-1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-43	-100	-64	21	5.16	53%	0.22	50.9	1.58%	0	-1.1	49	INF
10	Jun_9_2017	49.49	55.85	56.19	56.95	57.12	57.31	55.83(-3.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	10	30	-5	55	6.33	57%	0.26	77.4	1.58%	0	-0	49	INF

11	Jun_8_2017	49.36	55.77	56.26	57.01	57.03	57.49	58.02(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	47	60	36	80	4.77	62%	0.28	83.7	1.5%	0	2.3	65	INF
12	Jun_7_2017	49.22	55.66	55.94	56.63	56.59	56.94	57.38(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	40	32	64	3.1	62%	0.29	108.2	1.5%	0	2.1	65	INF
13	Jun_6_2017	49.08	55.55	55.67	56.09	56.22	56.58	56.85(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	50	29	31	3.6	62%	0.16	123.8	1.5%	0	1.9	51	INF
14	Jun_5_2017	49	55.36	55.5	55.75	55.74	56.24	56.65(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	60	25	17	3.08	62%	0.27	97.4	1.5%	0	1.5	57	INF
15	Jun_2_2017	48.87	55.17	55.43	55.49	55.42	55.86	56.15(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	50	25	12	3.26	62%	0.29	89.1	1.5%	0	1	54	INF

16	Jun_1_2017	48.73	54.98	55.36	55.4	55.3	55.24	56.14(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10	16	13	3.53	62%	0.25	82	1.5%	0	1	60	INF
17	May_31_2017	48.61	54.8	55.23	55.4	55.26	54.97	54.65(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-30	-12	-16	3.64	60%	0.23	81.3	1.51%	0	-0.1	44	INF
18	May_30_2017	48.5	54.7	55.23	55.16	55.25	55.35	55.17(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	20	-8	-7	2.59	60%	0.39	87.2	1.5%	0	0.4	50	INF
19	May_26_2017	48.31	54.55	55.4	55.2	55.24	55.56	55.32(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	40	8	16	1.78	58%	0.25	85.4	1.49%	0	0.5	61	INF
20	May_25_2017	48.19	54.33	55.41	55.37	55.3	55.15	55.71(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-20	7	40	2.61	58%	0.31	88.7	1.5%	0	0.8	63	INF

21	May_24_2017	48.04	54.07	55.26	55.32	55.36	54.93	54.94(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-50	-17	42	2.17	58%	0.31	88.2	1.5%	0	0.4	63	INF
22	May_23_2017	47.89	53.82	55.37	55.31	55.33	55.46	54.68(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	20	-21	67	3.58	58%	0.15	86.2	1.5%	0	0.4	62	INF
23	May_22_2017	47.82	53.56	55.45	55.66	55.39	55.8	55.37(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	40	21	120	3.94	58%	0.34	81	1.5%	0	0.7	64	INF
24	May_19_2017	47.66	53.19	55.23	55.62	55.38	55.2	56.15(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-40	14	123	3.56	60%	0.34	72.2	1.52%	0	1.1	69	INF
25	May_18_2017	47.5	52.75	54.9	55.46	55.26	54.97	55.47(1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	20	-50	-15	123	3.29	60%		66.1	1.52%	0	0.9	72	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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