Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 27, 2017

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $48.2800 (-0.54%) ($47.8000 - $48.5000) on Mon. Feb. 27, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   94
Latest Price   $48.2800(-0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM advances 5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(55%)    MCHI(50%)    FXI(47%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(37%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-4%)    BNDX(-4%)    VIXM(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.95(0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.72(3.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.05(7.17%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   20.8%
Market Cap   $28.633b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 4.42% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.55%(50%) Average negative next day return: -13.93%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.47%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -16.04%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 5.92%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -14.92%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170327

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_27_2017	43.6	45.05	46.72	47.95	48.26	48.25	48.28(-0.54%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	74	20	11	263	4.56	85%	0.09	61.1	1.2%	0	1.6	94	INF
2	Feb_24_2017	43.56	44.79	46.34	47.42	47.82	48.71	48.54(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	78	160	40	190	5.07	91%	0.11	58.1	1.71%	0	2	97	INF
3	Feb_23_2017	43.51	44.52	45.83	46.81	47.13	48.27	48.28(1.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	98	190	69	183	12.74	84%	0.12	54.4	1.72%	0	2.3	97	INF
4	Feb_22_2017	43.46	44.27	45.31	46.25	46.22	46.93	47.59(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	74	110	48	153	8.14	84%	0.09	52	1.74%	0	2.4	92	INF
5	Feb_21_2017	43.42	44.07	44.83	45.75	45.69	46	47.06(3.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	55	40	31	125	6.73	84%	0.07	49.8	1.74%	0	2.6	86	INF

6	Feb_17_2017	43.39	43.86	44.42	45.32	45.33	45.51	45.63(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	35	30	12	102	3.3	82%	0.05	49.1	1.69%	0	1.9	77	INF
7	Feb_16_2017	43.37	43.74	44.15	45.1	45.17	45.38	45.51(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	41	40	23	94	3.35	82%	0.05	47.4	1.69%	0	2.1	76	INF
8	Feb_15_2017	43.35	43.63	43.87	44.67	44.87	45.15	45.46(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	39	60	27	74	2.87	84%	0.02	35.3	1.69%	0	2.5	76	INF
9	Feb_14_2017	43.34	43.55	43.61	44.2	44.39	44.96	45.07(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	35	100	30	49	7.14	84%	0.05	22.8	1.74%	0	2.4	68	INF
10	Feb_13_2017	43.32	43.49	43.41	43.77	43.92	44.58	44.95(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	37	120	39	29	3.84	84%	0.02	12.1	1.75%	0	2.7	61	INF

11	Feb_10_2017	43.31	43.41	43.24	43.39	43.46	43.83	44.49(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	25	60	30	9	4.86	76%	0.02	2	1.74%	0	2.5	64	INF
12	Feb_9_2017	43.3	43.35	43.24	43.07	43.16	43.26	43.39(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	20	10	-12	3.25	67%	-0.02	-16	1.76%	0	0.1	50	INF
13	Feb_8_2017	43.31	43.37	43.11	42.95	43.03	43.09	43.11(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	20	3	-21	2.8	67%	0	6.8	1.8%	0	-0.7	42	INF
14	Feb_7_2017	43.31	43.4	43.15	42.93	42.96	43.06	42.91(-0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	20	1	-26	2.16	70%	-0.02	43.2	1.8%	0	-1.3	31	INF
15	Feb_6_2017	43.32	43.43	43.25	42.99	43	42.96	43.05(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-10	-0	-26	2.19	70%	-0.02	92.8	1.83%	0	-1.1	30	INF

16	Feb_3_2017	43.33	43.4	43.27	43.06	43.05	42.87	42.9(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-30	-9	-29	1.55	70%	-0.02	116	1.83%	0	-1.2	42	INF
17	Feb_2_2017	43.34	43.41	43.32	43.16	43.15	43.03	42.79(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-20	-12	-26	1.93	65%	0	150.5	1.83%	0	-1.5	44	INF
18	Feb_1_2017	43.34	43.35	43.4	43.28	43.32	43.24	43.01(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10	-5	-22	2.79	62%	0	122.5	1.85%	0	-0.6	38	INF
19	Jan_31_2017	43.34	43.24	43.5	43.4	43.42	43.27	43.21(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-20	-9	-17	3	60%	-0.02	93	1.87%	0	-0	45	INF
20	Jan_30_2017	43.35	43.1	43.59	43.54	43.54	43.41	43.4(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-5	-20	-5	-4	2.28	60%	-0.02	95.1	1.87%	0	0.3	53	INF

21	Jan_27_2017	43.36	42.94	43.59	43.54	43.64	43.57	43.4(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-0	-2	3	2.13	54%	0	71.7	1.88%	0	0.4	61	INF
22	Jan_26_2017	43.36	42.78	43.61	43.51	43.57	43.68	43.38(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	20	-1	7	3.59	51%	-0.02	59.5	1.91%	0	0.5	57	INF
23	Jan_25_2017	43.37	42.63	43.67	43.54	43.55	43.7	43.62(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	20	5	28	2.59	51%	0	52.9	1.94%	0	0.7	70	INF
24	Jan_24_2017	43.37	42.45	43.68	43.61	43.53	43.46	43.88(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-20	-1	50	2.77	52%	0	48.8	1.94%	0	0.9	76	INF
25	Jan_23_2017	43.37	42.27	43.61	43.67	43.63	43.39	43.29(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-40	-9	72	2.5	52%		46.3	1.94%	0	0.7	77	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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