Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $47.0600 (1.66%) ($46.7500 - $47.8200) on Tue. Oct. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $47.0600(1.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(55%)    MCHI(50%)    FXI(47%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(37%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-6%)    VIXM(-4%)    TLT(-3%)    BNDX(-3%)    UUP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $46(2.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.96(4.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.38(6.04%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.9%
Market Cap   $27.91b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 2.48% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.01%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.5%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.35%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_18_2016	43.09	44.38	44.96	46	46.6	46.8	47.06(1.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	87	70	49	199	3.76	77%	0.09	60.5	0.91%	0	2.4	93	INF
2	Oct_17_2016	43.05	44.2	44.62	45.34	46.3	46.67	46.29(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	65	120	39	144	1.76	74%	0.02	55.8	0.9%	0	2.3	92	INF
3	Oct_14_2016	43.04	44.06	44.35	44.84	46.32	46.41	46.57(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	71	110	57	111	2.21	74%	0.02	44.7	0.9%	0	3.2	0	INF
4	Oct_13_2016	43.03	43.91	44.05	44.28	46.23	45.94	46.31(5.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.8	15	90	5	44	4.2	74%	0.05	32.5	0.92%	0	4.4	0	INF
5	Oct_12_2016	43.01	43.76	44.05	44.28	46.36	46.24	43.77(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0	-26	160	-30	-12	3.08	43%	-0.05	13	0.6%	0	0.1	0	INF

6	Oct_11_2016	43.03	43.72	44.05	44.28	46.49	46.52	43.77(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	190	4	2	4.29	64%	0.02	-10.9	0.6%	0	0.2	0	INF
7	Oct_10_2016	43.02	43.69	44.05	44.28	46.47	46.48	43.77(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	190	5	2	3.68	64%	0.02	-25	0.69%	0	0.3	0	INF
8	Oct_7_2016	43.01	43.71	44.05	44.28	46.39	46.48	43.77(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	190	5	2	2.36	64%	0.02	-19.7	0.71%	0	0.2	0	INF
9	Oct_6_2016	43	43.73	44.05	44.28	46.26	46.46	43.77(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	200	15	8	6.68	64%	0	-17.4	0.71%	0	0.1	0	INF
10	Oct_5_2016	43	43.74	44.05	44.28	46.15	46.31	43.77(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	190	21	11	4.74	64%	0	-17.4	0.73%	0	0.1	56	INF

11	Oct_4_2016	43	43.75	44.05	44.28	46.05	46.07	43.77(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	13	160	10	22	3.63	64%	-0.02	-16.9	0.74%	0	0.1	93	INF
12	Oct_3_2016	43.01	43.76	44.05	44.28	45.95	45.98	43.77(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	150	2	30	3.49	64%	0.02	-16.9	0.75%	0	0	76	INF
13	Sep_30_2016	43	43.77	43.77	44.28	45.8	46.04	43.77(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	180	16	27	3.3	64%	0.02	-16.4	0.75%	0	0	39	INF
14	Sep_29_2016	42.99	43.78	43.77	44.28	45.61	45.92	43.77(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	29	170	30	25	3.76	64%	0	-16.4	0.78%	0	-0	43	INF
15	Sep_28_2016	42.99	43.79	43.76	44.28	45.45	45.55	43.77(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	130	22	18	3.08	79%	0	-16.4	0.79%	0	-0.1	46	INF

16	Sep_27_2016	42.99	43.8	43.67	44.28	45.3	45.29	43.77(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	100	3	-5	3.01	59%	0	-17.3	1.02%	0	-0.1	46	INF
17	Sep_26_2016	42.99	43.81	43.61	44.28	45.08	45.36	43.77(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	5	130	11	-12	3.05	59%	-0.02	-17.3	1.16%	0	-0.1	46	INF
18	Sep_23_2016	43	43.82	43.66	43.77	44.74	45.31	43.77(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	23	160	31	0	4.89	52%	0	-17.3	1.21%	0	-0.2	46	INF
19	Sep_22_2016	43	43.83	43.69	43.77	44.36	44.8	43.77(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	27	110	35	2	6.89	52%	0	-18.7	1.22%	0	-0.2	46	INF
20	Sep_21_2016	43	43.85	43.7	43.75	43.97	44.18	43.77(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	18	50	25	-3	5.96	52%	0	-19.2	1.23%	0	-0.2	46	INF

21	Sep_20_2016	43	43.86	43.72	43.56	43.7	43.91	43.77(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	8	40	17	-18	3.48	58%	-0.02	-34.6	1.24%	0	-0.3	46	INF
22	Sep_19_2016	43.01	43.87	43.74	43.42	43.47	43.75	43.77(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	50	8	-29	3.29	58%	0	-46.2	1.28%	0	-0.3	46	INF
23	Sep_16_2016	43.01	43.88	43.76	43.53	43.4	43.49	43.67(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-0	10	7	-22	3.92	48%	-0.02	-37.7	1.4%	0	-0.6	44	INF
24	Sep_15_2016	43.02	43.9	43.8	43.62	43.47	43.18	43.75(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-15	-60	-12	-24	5.41	48%	-0.02	-30.7	1.41%	0	-0.5	45	INF
25	Sep_14_2016	43.03	43.91	43.82	43.67	43.75	43.31	42.83(-0.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.5	-33	-60	-34	-31	4.27	44%		-26.7	1.42%	0	-3.3	18	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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