Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $40.1000 (1.16%) ($39.5600 - $40.5800) on Wed. Jun. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.11% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $40.1000(1.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM declines -5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(55%)    MCHI(50%)    FXI(47%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(37%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    VIXM(-5%)    UUP(-3%)    TLT(-3%)    BNDX(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.055% (StdDev 2.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $28.25(-29.55%)
Resistance Level   $41.94
5 Day Moving Average   $39.35(1.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.65(1.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.94(-4.39%)
To recent high   -17.7%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $23.782b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 6.15% (three month std-dev: 2.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 4.36%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.29%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 4.57%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 2.01%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.38%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160722

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_22_2016	42.8	41.94	39.65	39.35	39.36	39.82	40.1(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	80	17	-141	4.87	47%	0	-42.3	2.11%	0	-0.7	31	0
2	Jun_21_2016	42.8	42.2	39.81	39.18	39.41	39.26	39.64(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-38	-10	5	-168	4.47	51%	-0.07	-41.4	2.1%	0	-1	31	0
3	Jun_20_2016	42.83	42.36	40.24	39.28	39.48	38.9	39.13(2.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-60	-90	-20	-181	6	51%	-0.07	-44.9	2.15%	0	-1.3	26	0
4	Jun_17_2016	42.86	42.59	40.77	39.35	39.73	39.55	38.06(-4.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-64	-0	-23	-188	10.01	51%	-0.07	-45.9	2.15%	0	-1.8	19	0
5	Jun_16_2016	42.89	42.85	41.35	39.73	39.73	40.05	39.84(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-47	40	-3	-179	10.07	60%	-0.05	-47.8	2.08%	0	-1.4	31	0

6	Jun_15_2016	42.91	43.06	41.82	39.99	39.89	39.9	39.25(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-53	-10	-14	-171	6.76	60%	-0.09	-47	2.15%	0	-1.8	27	0
7	Jun_14_2016	42.95	43.32	42.34	40.54	40.32	39.72	40.11(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-67	-120	-33	-169	5.74	60%	-0.05	-44.5	2.14%	0	-1.7	28	0
8	Jun_13_2016	42.97	43.54	42.9	41.38	41.02	39.88	39.51(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-83	-220	-65	-138	5.41	60%	-0.09	-33.1	2.14%	0	-2.3	42	0
9	Jun_10_2016	43.01	43.74	43.55	42.41	42.28	40.92	39.93(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-67	-230	-60	-87	5.97	63%	-0.07	-24.9	2.19%	0	-2.6	41	0
10	Jun_9_2016	43.04	43.93	44.06	43.2	43.37	42.15	41.14(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-56	-190	-58	-50	5.37	67%	-0.02	-15.6	2.16%	0	-2.3	48	0

11	Jun_8_2016	43.05	44.06	44.46	43.9	44.03	43.64	42(-5.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-32	-50	-39	-11	13.15	67%	0	0	2.15%	0	-2	46	0
12	Jun_7_2016	43.05	44.18	44.83	44.37	44.51	44.6	44.3(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	20	-3	29	3.03	74%	0.02	14.4	2.05%	0	0.1	52	0
13	Jun_6_2016	43.04	44.13	44.69	44.66	44.58	44.42	44.7(1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-30	-10	28	2.69	74%	0.07	16.9	2.05%	0	0.6	52	0
14	Jun_3_2016	43.01	44.13	44.57	44.9	44.87	44.43	43.84(-1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-4	-70	-17	37	4.09	70%	0.02	28.9	2.06%	0	-0.3	55	0
15	Jun_2_2016	43	44.12	44.48	45.07	45.24	44.74	44.68(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-70	-15	42	4.1	65%	0.07	28.4	2.08%	0	0.6	58	0

16	Jun_1_2016	42.97	44.06	44.39	45.11	45.26	45.3	44.32(-3.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	20	-18	44	5.83	65%	-0.02	22.7	2.12%	0	0.3	55	0
17	May_31_2016	42.98	44.05	44.37	45.33	45.42	45.75	45.76(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	60	32	75	36.78	69%	0	23	2.07%	0	1.9	58	0
18	May_27_2016	42.98	43.97	44.21	44.71	45.01	45.21	45.9(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	32	50	24	55	5.45	69%	0.02	-3.7	2.12%	0	2.3	62	0
19	May_26_2016	42.97	43.85	43.91	44.2	44.31	45.09	44.68(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	130	22	28	3.7	68%	-0.07	-43.3	2.11%	0	1.1	50	0
20	May_25_2016	43	43.85	43.75	43.8	43.88	44.8	44.89(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	37	150	43	18	4.26	68%	-0.07	-69.3	2.12%	0	1.3	54	0

21	May_24_2016	43.03	43.86	43.6	43.58	43.28	43.53	45.42(6.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.3	16	20	21	0	6.06	68%	0	-91.9	2.11%	0	1.9	58	0
22	May_23_2016	43.03	43.84	43.43	43.31	43.2	42.95	42.64(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-50	-15	-25	4.24	62%	0	-106.6	1.95%	0	-1.4	43	0
23	May_20_2016	43.03	44	43.51	43.64	43.55	43.04	43.39(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-90	-12	-19	3.07	62%	-0.07	-91.2	1.96%	0	-0.6	43	0
24	May_19_2016	43.06	44.18	43.61	43.57	43.76	43.45	42.67(-2.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-40	-18	-19	3.46	62%	-0.12	-85	1.96%	0	-1.2	46	0
25	May_18_2016	43.11	44.4	43.74	43.65	43.77	44.07	43.77(-0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	60	2	-16	2.97	66%		-76.3	1.95%	0	-0.4	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.