Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $41.6900 (2.23%) ($40.2900 - $41.7500) on Fri. Feb. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.75% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $41.6900(2.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(56%)    MCHI(50%)    FXI(48%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(38%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    VIXM(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    BNDX(-3%)    UUP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.375% (StdDev 2.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.26(3.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.82(7.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.15(3.84%)
To recent high   -25.3%
To recent low   14.8%
Market Cap   $24.725b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 5.5% (three month std-dev: 2.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2016	44.51	40.15	38.82	40.26	40.79	41.23	41.69(2.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	21	120	29	-2	4	54%	0.25	-21.8	2.75%	0	0.7	45	INF
2	Feb_18_2016	44.4	40.19	38.71	39.19	39.83	41.31	40.78(-1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	22	310	37	-22	3.25	54%	0.2	-32.6	3.4%	0	0.3	49	INF
3	Feb_17_2016	44.31	40.25	38.58	38.41	38.6	40.34	41.39(2.63%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	30	330	54	-42	6.24	50%	0.25	-45.3	3.42%	0	0.5	48	INF
4	Feb_16_2016	44.2	40.27	38.43	37.45	37.54	38.34	40.33(8.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	8	160	37	-81	8.51	50%	0.48	-59.2	3.45%	0	0	42	INF
5	Feb_12_2016	43.99	40.32	38.53	36.8	36.88	36.86	37.13(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	0	-5	-125	3.38	42%	0.09	-73.1	3.24%	0	-1.4	30	INF

6	Feb_11_2016	43.95	40.64	39.07	37.2	36.93	36.74	36.33(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-60	-26	-126	5.15	42%	0.09	-74.4	3.22%	0	-1.9	26	INF
7	Feb_10_2016	43.91	40.94	39.54	38.15	37.79	36.9	36.88(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-44	-190	-21	-111	2.81	42%	0.09	-83	3.23%	0	-2	27	INF
8	Feb_9_2016	43.87	41.33	40.02	38.76	38.64	37.12	36.57(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-61	-280	-44	-110	5.37	39%	0.05	-86.8	3.22%	0	-2.4	29	INF
9	Feb_8_2016	43.85	41.7	40.66	39.51	39.45	38.69	37.07(-5.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-56	-140	-45	-89	5.94	39%	0.07	-95.3	3.28%	0	-2.8	33	INF
10	Feb_5_2016	43.82	42.11	41.27	40.49	40.31	40.16	39.13(-4.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-40	-17	-49	6.34	47%	0.11	-98.5	3.28%	0	-2.1	42	INF

11	Feb_4_2016	43.77	42.42	41.66	41.2	40.97	40.2	41.11(3.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-150	-7	-31	4.03	50%	0.11	-94.3	3.25%	0	-0.9	40	INF
12	Feb_3_2016	43.72	42.73	41.84	41.15	41.36	40.45	39.9(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-140	-29	-38	6.27	50%	0.14	-75.8	3.22%	0	-1.6	43	INF
13	Feb_2_2016	43.66	43.12	42.11	41.48	41.77	41.75	40.36(-3.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	20	-18	-35	5.51	50%	0.18	-66.4	3.22%	0	-1.4	35	INF
14	Feb_1_2016	43.58	43.36	42.29	41.98	42.04	42.27	41.97(-1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-2	40	4	-21	5.08	54%	0.18	-70.4	3.23%	0	-0.7	44	INF
15	Jan_29_2016	43.5	43.58	42.25	42.17	42.08	41.79	42.68(4.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-50	-3	-32	4.06	58%	0.21	-74.2	3.31%	0	-0.5	41	INF

16	Jan_28_2016	43.41	43.78	42.3	42.22	42.32	41.8	40.84(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-80	-20	-46	5.63	55%	0.18	-74.3	3.26%	0	-1.5	33	INF
17	Jan_27_2016	43.33	44.14	42.44	42.63	42.88	42.36	41.57(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-70	-11	-56	4.74	55%	0.23	-70.3	3.25%	0	-1.3	28	INF
18	Jan_26_2016	43.23	44.46	42.73	42.8	43	42.84	42.83(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-10	-3	-61	4.01	67%	-0.02	-67.4	3.24%	0	-0.8	31	INF
19	Jan_25_2016	43.24	44.74	42.8	42.64	42.69	43.39	42.92(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	120	7	-51	3.75	67%	0.28	-66	4.28%	0	-0.8	43	INF
20	Jan_22_2016	43.12	45.04	42.99	42.34	42.54	43.15	42.93(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	110	16	-56	4.26	67%	0.23	-70.9	4.29%	0	-0.9	40	INF

21	Jan_21_2016	43.02	45.32	43.2	42.43	42	41.99	42.92(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-30	3	-66	4.68	67%	0.26	-66.4	4.29%	0	-1	38	INF
22	Jan_20_2016	42.91	45.6	43.66	42.24	42.04	41.92	42.41(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-30	-9	-75	6.08	67%	0.26	-65.7	4.29%	0	-1.3	34	INF
23	Jan_19_2016	42.8	45.92	44.16	42.68	42.48	42.01	42.01(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-90	-9	-69	5.01	67%	0.4	-62.5	4.29%	0	-1.6	34	INF
24	Jan_15_2016	42.63	46.25	44.5	43	42.98	42.16	41.45(-4.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-130	-22	-80	5.47	67%	0.16	-65.7	4.26%	0	-2	30	INF
25	Jan_14_2016	42.56	46.68	45.01	43.72	43.6	42.96	43.34(3.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-110	-20	-76	3.99	71%		-67.3	4.23%	0	-1.6	32	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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