Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $36.9100 (0.76%) ($36.4900 - $37.3700) on Mon. Jul. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.02% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $36.9100(0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(47%)    VWO(43%)    EEM(39%)    VT(32%)    XLY(31%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    SHY(-8%)    TLT(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    BNDX(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.51% (StdDev 3.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.9(2.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.82(3.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.41(1.37%)
To recent high   -12.8%
To recent low   17.2%
Market Cap   $21.89b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 2.5% (three month std-dev: 3.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.66%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.58%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.41%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.22%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2015	32.2	36.41	35.82	35.9	35.91	36.71	36.91(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	11	160	19	-14	3.32	70%	0.44	-55.6	3.02%	0	0.5	49	0
2	Jul_10_2015	32.06	36.48	35.77	35.67	35.26	36.18	36.63(2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	15	150	25	-15	3.7	70%	0.44	-52.8	3.02%	0	0.1	55	0
3	Jul_9_2015	31.92	36.57	35.78	35.48	34.95	35.1	35.74(3.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10	14	-29	5.82	70%	0.38	-48.4	3.01%	0	-0.7	41	0
4	Jul_8_2015	31.8	36.69	35.84	35.43	34.86	34.34	34.67(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-150	-18	-50	8.66	71%	0.38	-46.8	2.99%	0	-1.7	34	0
5	Jul_7_2015	31.68	36.83	36.08	35.75	35.31	34.8	35.55(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-140	-13	-43	17.59	71%	0.13	-47.9	3.01%	0	-1.2	36	0

6	Jul_6_2015	31.64	36.92	36.21	35.7	35.75	35.38	35.77(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-70	-11	-50	5.25	71%	0.67	-67.4	3.01%	0	-1.1	36	0
7	Jul_2_2015	31.43	37.03	36.23	35.88	35.82	35.81	35.65(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10	-12	-59	3.32	71%	0.42	-74.3	3.03%	0	-1.4	32	0
8	Jul_1_2015	31.3	37.13	36.41	36.13	36.03	36.12	35.49(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	10	0	-54	3.69	71%	0.42	-84	3.03%	0	-1.8	31	0
9	Jun_30_2015	31.17	37.24	36.63	36.32	36.18	35.82	36.31(2.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-18	-80	-6	-54	3.64	71%	0.42	-98.7	2.99%	0	-1	40	0
10	Jun_29_2015	31.04	37.35	36.78	36.46	36.35	35.94	35.3(-3.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-90	-20	-54	3.28	71%	0.36	-84.8	2.97%	0	-1.8	40	0

11	Jun_26_2015	30.93	37.62	37.06	36.78	36.76	36.53	36.63(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-50	-2	-35	5.64	77%	0.39	-84.6	2.94%	0	-0.9	48	0
12	Jun_25_2015	30.81	37.78	37.25	36.62	36.83	36.77	36.92(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	10	-6	-38	4.82	77%	0.42	-69.8	2.95%	0	-0.7	43	0
13	Jun_24_2015	30.68	37.93	37.43	36.74	36.77	37	36.46(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	50	-3	-28	3.45	77%	0.39	-48.4	2.95%	0	-1.1	45	0
14	Jun_23_2015	30.56	38.14	37.6	36.99	36.86	36.88	36.98(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-4	-10	1	-17	5.31	77%	0.43	-26.9	2.94%	0	-0.8	48	0
15	Jun_22_2015	30.43	38.33	37.64	37.16	37.07	36.54	36.93(3.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-110	-12	-22	5.72	77%	0.43	-7.7	2.95%	0	-1	41	0

16	Jun_19_2015	30.3	38.59	37.68	37.39	37.33	36.84	35.82(-4.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-21	-100	-19	-28	11.92	84%	0.4	15	4.21%	0	-1.7	24	0
17	Jun_18_2015	30.18	38.63	37.92	37.96	37.71	37.59	37.51(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-40	-8	-18	12.17	91%	0.47	27.1	4.16%	0	-0.7	36	0
18	Jun_17_2015	30.04	38.57	37.93	38.21	37.94	37.82	37.7(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-40	-2	-20	4.8	91%	0.43	39.3	4.16%	0	-0.5	36	0
19	Jun_16_2015	29.91	38.52	37.91	38.29	37.94	37.84	37.85(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-60	-1	-29	5.74	91%	0.44	49.4	4.18%	0	-0.4	34	0
20	Jun_15_2015	29.78	38.44	37.98	38.19	38.09	38.06	38.06(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10	0	-39	5.22	91%	0.47	56.9	4.17%	0	-0.2	33	0

21	Jun_12_2015	29.64	38.35	38.22	38.01	37.87	38.35	38.7(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	80	5	-46	11.07	87%	0.47	62.7	4.19%	0	0.2	30	0
22	Jun_11_2015	29.5	38.21	38.32	37.88	37.76	38.13	38.75(1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	60	13	-34	6.05	87%	0.48	66.4	4.19%	0	0.3	62	0
23	Jun_10_2015	29.36	37.93	38.44	37.63	37.59	38.13	38.09(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-40	2	-31	3.08	83%	0.55	56.7	4.19%	0	0.1	61	0
24	Jun_9_2015	29.2	37.68	38.69	37.5	37.52	37.39	37.34(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-20	-9	-24	3.49	83%	0.27	51.8	4.22%	0	-0.1	58	0
25	Jun_8_2015	29.12	37.44	39.05	37.74	37.71	37.79	37.17(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	10	-8	-2	3.22	83%		49.3	4.23%	0	-0.1	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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