Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 29, 2015

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $35.3000 (-3.63%) ($35.1300 - $36.0200) on Mon. Jun. 29, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.97% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $35.3000(-3.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(47%)    VWO(43%)    EEM(39%)    VT(32%)    XLY(31%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    SHY(-8%)    TLT(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    BNDX(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.485% (StdDev 2.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $30.73(-12.95%)
Resistance Level   $37.35
5 Day Moving Average   $36.46(-3.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.78(-4.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.35(-5.49%)
To recent high   -16.6%
To recent low   20.4%
Market Cap   $20.935b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 3.03% (three month std-dev: 2.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.64%(45%) Average negative next day return: -1.12%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 2.63%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -2.69%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 3.16%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.22%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150729

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_29_2015	31.04	37.35	36.78	36.46	36.35	35.94	35.3(-3.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-90	-20	-54	3.28	71%	0.36	-84.8	2.97%	0	-1.8	40	INF
2	Jun_26_2015	30.93	37.62	37.06	36.78	36.76	36.53	36.63(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-50	-2	-35	5.64	77%	0.39	-84.6	2.94%	0	-0.9	48	INF
3	Jun_25_2015	30.81	37.78	37.25	36.62	36.83	36.77	36.92(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	10	-6	-38	4.82	77%	0.42	-69.8	2.95%	0	-0.7	43	INF
4	Jun_24_2015	30.68	37.93	37.43	36.74	36.77	37	36.46(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	50	-3	-28	3.45	77%	0.39	-48.4	2.95%	0	-1.1	45	INF
5	Jun_23_2015	30.56	38.14	37.6	36.99	36.86	36.88	36.98(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-4	-10	1	-17	5.31	77%	0.43	-26.9	2.94%	0	-0.8	48	INF

6	Jun_22_2015	30.43	38.33	37.64	37.16	37.07	36.54	36.93(3.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-110	-12	-22	5.72	77%	0.43	-7.7	2.95%	0	-1	41	INF
7	Jun_19_2015	30.3	38.59	37.68	37.39	37.33	36.84	35.82(-4.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-21	-100	-19	-28	11.92	84%	0.4	15	4.21%	0	-1.7	24	INF
8	Jun_18_2015	30.18	38.63	37.92	37.96	37.71	37.59	37.51(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-40	-8	-18	12.17	91%	0.47	27.1	4.16%	0	-0.7	36	INF
9	Jun_17_2015	30.04	38.57	37.93	38.21	37.94	37.82	37.7(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-40	-2	-20	4.8	91%	0.43	39.3	4.16%	0	-0.5	36	INF
10	Jun_16_2015	29.91	38.52	37.91	38.29	37.94	37.84	37.85(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-60	-1	-29	5.74	91%	0.44	49.4	4.18%	0	-0.4	34	INF

11	Jun_15_2015	29.78	38.44	37.98	38.19	38.09	38.06	38.06(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10	0	-39	5.22	91%	0.47	56.9	4.17%	0	-0.2	33	INF
12	Jun_12_2015	29.64	38.35	38.22	38.01	37.87	38.35	38.7(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	80	5	-46	11.07	87%	0.47	62.7	4.19%	0	0.2	30	INF
13	Jun_11_2015	29.5	38.21	38.32	37.88	37.76	38.13	38.75(1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	60	13	-34	6.05	87%	0.48	66.4	4.19%	0	0.3	62	INF
14	Jun_10_2015	29.36	37.93	38.44	37.63	37.59	38.13	38.09(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-40	2	-31	3.08	83%	0.55	56.7	4.19%	0	0.1	61	INF
15	Jun_9_2015	29.2	37.68	38.69	37.5	37.52	37.39	37.34(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-20	-9	-24	3.49	83%	0.27	51.8	4.22%	0	-0.1	58	INF

16	Jun_8_2015	29.12	37.44	39.05	37.74	37.71	37.79	37.17(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	10	-8	-2	3.22	83%	0.52	49.3	4.23%	0	-0.1	59	INF
17	Jun_5_2015	28.97	37.21	39.55	38.47	37.79	37.65	38.03(1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-80	-9	34	4.28	84%	0.52	53.3	4.22%	0	0.3	62	INF
18	Jun_4_2015	28.82	36.94	39.4	38.85	38.47	37.63	37.53(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-180	-15	42	5.67	84%	0.52	55.6	4.22%	0	0.2	62	INF
19	Jun_3_2015	28.67	36.67	39.31	39.36	39.13	37.94	37.44(-2.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-230	-27	61	8.7	84%	0.53	57.5	4.22%	0	0.2	70	INF
20	Jun_2_2015	28.52	36.39	39.24	40.03	39.59	39.31	38.52(-5.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-80	-23	94	18.68	84%	0.56	60	4.2%	0	0.6	75	INF

21	Jun_1_2015	28.36	36.08	39.02	40.52	40.35	40.33	40.81(2.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	34	-20	-1	137	5.48	90%	0.64	62.5	4.12%	0	1.3	85	INF
22	May_29_2015	28.18	35.62	38.55	40.82	40.74	39.87	39.94(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	43	-160	2	167	4.12	90%	0.61	66.3	4.15%	0	1.2	84	INF
23	May_28_2015	28.01	35.21	38.12	40.03	40.94	40.36	40.11(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	43	-30	2	165	6.13	90%	0.65	60	4.18%	0	1.4	82	INF
24	May_27_2015	27.83	34.79	37.4	39.2	40.01	41.6	40.76(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	56	340	21	162	4.82	90%	0.65	54.2	4.2%	0	1.8	86	INF
25	May_26_2015	27.65	34.35	36.59	38.3	38.73	41.51	40.99(-3.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	86	540	60	165	14.72	90%		50.5	4.2%	0	2.2	87	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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