Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $40.1100 (-1.59%) ($38.9000 - $40.4200) on Thu. May. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.18% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $40.1100(-1.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM advances 11.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(47%)    VWO(43%)    EEM(39%)    VT(32%)    XLY(31%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -2.09% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    SHY(-8%)    TLT(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    BNDX(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.09% (StdDev 4.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.03(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.12(5.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.21(13.92%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   82.9%
Market Cap   $23.788b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 9.91% (three month std-dev: 4.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.87%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.03%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 8.82%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150628

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_28_2015	28.01	35.21	38.12	40.03	40.94	40.36	40.11(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	43	-30	2	165	6.13	90%	0.65	60	4.18%	0	1.4	82	0
2	May_27_2015	27.83	34.79	37.4	39.2	40.01	41.6	40.76(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	56	340	21	162	4.82	90%	0.65	54.2	4.2%	0	1.8	86	0
3	May_26_2015	27.65	34.35	36.59	38.3	38.73	41.51	40.99(-3.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	86	540	60	165	14.72	90%	0.88	50.5	4.2%	0	2.2	87	0
4	May_22_2015	27.41	33.92	35.67	37.3	37.26	38.42	42.31(17.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	79	210	56	147	28.99	90%	0.59	51.4	4.09%	0	3.3	88	0
5	May_21_2015	27.25	33.4	34.58	36.03	36.07	35.95	35.99(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	27	-20	-1	111	4.32	87%	0.48	58.9	3.55%	0	1.5	80	0

6	May_20_2015	27.12	33.23	34.21	35.95	36.09	36.11	35.97(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	20	8	117	3.79	88%	0.52	65	3.58%	0	1.7	80	0
7	May_19_2015	26.98	33.07	33.78	35.29	36.23	36.18	36.24(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	70	21	104	3.13	88%	0.52	61.7	3.58%	0	2.1	80	0
8	May_18_2015	26.84	32.87	33.3	34.56	35.29	36.07	35.99(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	34	220	19	78	4.02	88%	0.52	56.3	3.6%	0	2.3	73	0
9	May_15_2015	26.7	32.65	32.88	33.73	34.32	36.28	35.98(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	51	450	47	62	7.43	88%	0.38	46.7	3.58%	0	2.9	65	0
10	May_14_2015	26.6	32.42	32.45	32.92	33.31	34.51	35.57(8.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.1	47	290	50	36	24.09	88%	0.49	35.8	3.6%	0	3.7	66	0

11	May_13_2015	26.47	32.21	32.04	32.26	32.26	32.36	32.68(0.37%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	6	20	9	-4	6.69	85%	0.42	25	3.48%	0	1	47	0
12	May_12_2015	26.36	32.17	31.97	32.05	32.13	32.11	32.56(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	0	5	-17	5.07	85%	0.38	14.1	3.48%	0	0.8	43	0
13	May_11_2015	26.26	32.14	31.94	31.84	31.98	32.11	31.88(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	50	0	-27	7.4	85%	0.38	14.5	3.48%	0	-0.5	43	0
14	May_8_2015	26.16	32.13	32.06	31.84	31.86	32.15	31.89(-1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	60	5	-18	2.63	79%	0.38	24.4	3.47%	0	-0.5	53	0
15	May_7_2015	26.06	32.11	32.14	31.88	31.84	31.81	32.28(1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10	6	-12	5.46	79%	0.46	42.3	3.49%	0	0.3	58	0

16	May_6_2015	25.94	32.09	32.19	31.8	31.74	31.56	31.66(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-50	-6	-15	3.99	74%	0.43	60.3	3.52%	0	-0.9	50	0
17	May_5_2015	25.83	32.1	32.33	31.87	31.83	31.87	31.5(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	10	-5	-7	12.77	74%	0.39	75	3.54%	0	-1	48	0
18	May_4_2015	25.73	32.07	32.44	32.06	31.96	31.92	32.08(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-2	-20	-3	3	4.84	74%	0.39	84	3.53%	0	0	53	0
19	May_1_2015	25.63	32	32.42	32.27	32.08	31.8	31.9(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-80	-9	8	4.33	74%	0.43	100	3.48%	0	-0.1	57	0
20	Apr_30_2015	25.52	31.9	32.41	32.44	32.48	31.99	31.84(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-100	-11	13	3.21	74%	0.43	88	3.51%	0	-0.1	57	0

21	Apr_29_2015	25.41	31.79	32.41	32.64	32.77	32.36	32.02(-1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-80	-14	18	4.38	74%	0.4	78.7	3.51%	0	0.2	53	0
22	Apr_28_2015	25.31	31.67	32.42	32.85	33	32.97	32.44(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	10	-4	29	4.11	74%	0.44	75.4	3.52%	0	0.7	59	0
23	Apr_27_2015	25.2	31.52	32.37	32.88	33.07	33.17	33.14(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	18	40	9	43	3.74	74%	0.44	72.7	3.51%	0	1.4	78	0
24	Apr_24_2015	25.09	31.35	32.2	32.6	32.86	33.02	32.78(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	60	8	40	3.16	74%	0.4	70	3.49%	0	1.2	77	0
25	Apr_23_2015	24.99	31.17	32.08	32.37	32.51	32.98	32.81(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	110	11	44	2.43	74%		87.1	3.51%	0	1.3	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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