Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $32.8100 (-0.79%) ($32.7700 - $33.3900) on Thu. Apr. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.51% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $32.8100(-0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(47%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(39%)    VT(32%)    XLY(31%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    SHY(-8%)    TLT(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    BNDX(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.755% (StdDev 3.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.37(1.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.08(2.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.17(5.26%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   49.6%
Market Cap   $19.459b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 3.95% (three month std-dev: 3.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.01%(64%) Average negative next day return: -2.62%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.43%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -1.87%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.27%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.21%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150523

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_23_2015	24.99	31.17	32.08	32.37	32.51	32.98	32.81(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	110	11	44	2.43	74%	0.36	87.1	3.51%	0	1.3	82	0
2	Apr_22_2015	24.9	31.02	31.98	32.17	32.11	32.7	33.07(1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	25	120	16	53	5.22	74%	0.36	113.5	3.51%	0	1.7	87	0
3	Apr_21_2015	24.81	30.84	31.84	31.93	31.86	32.04	32.58(2.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	23	30	11	58	5.33	76%	0.36	143.7	3.51%	0	1.5	86	0
4	Apr_20_2015	24.72	30.68	31.65	31.8	31.72	31.53	31.77(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	-50	-1	56	2.11	76%	0.16	181.7	3.55%	0	1	80	0
5	Apr_17_2015	24.68	30.53	31.53	31.75	31.66	31.67	31.6(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10	-4	59	3.72	76%	0.33	208.7	3.55%	0	1	76	0

6	Apr_16_2015	24.6	30.14	31.35	31.73	31.72	31.91	31.82(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	40	4	66	3.48	76%	0.2	123.8	3.57%	0	0.9	81	0
7	Apr_15_2015	24.55	29.73	31.12	31.75	31.62	31.65	31.88(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10	2	65	3.16	76%	0.12	101.5	3.57%	0	0.9	69	0
8	Apr_14_2015	24.52	29.3	30.88	31.73	31.61	31.52	31.94(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-30	4	66	3.84	76%	0.12	90.3	3.58%	0	1	73	0
9	Apr_13_2015	24.49	28.82	30.63	31.47	31.62	31.59	31.5(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	10	3	59	4.06	76%	0.08	76.7	3.58%	0	0.9	71	0
10	Apr_10_2015	24.47	28.36	30.44	31.28	31.48	31.7	31.52(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	70	11	62	5.25	76%	0.08	67.1	3.56%	0	0.9	75	0

11	Apr_9_2015	24.45	27.92	30.2	30.9	31.12	31.66	31.89(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	140	20	88	4.25	76%	0.12	61.5	3.58%	0	1.1	93	0
12	Apr_8_2015	24.42	27.47	29.98	30.4	30.53	31.25	31.81(3.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	180	23	112	7.7	76%	0.08	56.9	3.58%	0	1.2	92	0
13	Apr_7_2015	24.4	27	29.73	29.9	29.95	30.59	30.61(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	150	19	136	6.46	75%	0.04	52.9	3.55%	0	1	92	0
14	Apr_6_2015	24.39	26.63	29.61	29.67	29.52	29.81	30.58(3.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	52	50	12	173	6.07	75%	-0.16	53	3.56%	0	1.1	93	0
15	Apr_2_2015	24.43	26.28	29.42	29.48	29.35	29.32	29.62(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	56	-20	3	213	2.96	75%	0.08	55.2	3.52%	0	1	92	0

16	Apr_1_2015	24.41	25.95	28.83	29.4	29.33	29.22	29.39(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	52	-30	-5	221	4.6	75%	0.04	56.5	3.52%	0	1	85	0
17	Mar_31_2015	24.4	25.62	28.25	29.5	29.38	29.39	29.31(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	58	-10	-2	238	6.15	75%	0.04	58.8	3.55%	0	1.1	84	0
18	Mar_30_2015	24.39	25.28	27.64	29.5	29.46	29.43	29.45(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	65	-10	1	256	3.38	75%	0.08	60.3	3.55%	0	1.3	85	0
19	Mar_27_2015	24.37	24.92	26.92	29.52	29.47	29.37	29.61(1.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	67	-30	2	262	6.26	75%	0.12	62.2	3.52%	0	1.6	78	0
20	Mar_26_2015	24.34	24.56	26.16	29.36	29.37	29.48	29.23(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	85	30	26	263	8.13	75%	0.08	64	3.55%	0	1.7	74	0

21	Mar_25_2015	24.32	24.22	25.5	28.12	29.08	29.58	29.88(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	91	220	47	223	6.37	75%	0.04	54.7	3.53%	0	2.2	79	0
22	Mar_24_2015	24.31	23.85	24.75	26.77	27.45	29.25	29.45(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	83	540	53	171	6.65	75%	0	44.6	3.56%	0	2.5	78	0
23	Mar_23_2015	24.31	23.51	24.01	25.45	25.81	28.57	29.43(2.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	101	790	90	132	11.84	75%	0	33	3.56%	0	3.1	79	0
24	Mar_20_2015	24.31	23.17	23.34	23.95	24.19	25.64	28.79(24.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.6	83	450	85	75	44.43	75%	0.04	14.6	3.52%	0	4.2	78	0
25	Mar_19_2015	24.3	22.87	22.76	22.58	22.61	23.06	23.07(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	12	140	20	-12	8.16	52%		-41.1	1.61%	0	0.5	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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