Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $22.7400 (-6.42%) ($22.4300 - $24.2700) on Fri. Apr. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.74% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $22.7400(-6.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM declines -2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM declines -3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(45%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(38%)    VT(32%)    XLY(30%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-6%)    BNDX(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.87% (StdDev 3.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.4%

Resistance Level   $25.79
5 Day Moving Average   $24.86(-8.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.5(-10.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.79(-11.83%)
To recent high   -18.6%
To recent low   22.3%
Market Cap   $13.486b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 4.73% (three month std-dev: 3.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 5.25%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.92%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.7%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140525

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2014	23.75	25.79	25.5	24.86	24.92	23.92	22.74(-6.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-43	-270	-34	-69	8.44	56%	-0.04	11.6	3.74%	0	-2.5	43	0
2	Apr_24_2014	23.76	25.79	25.95	25.5	25.57	25.07	24.3(-3.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-26	-130	-21	-41	10.76	57%	0	23.6	3.67%	0	-1.4	42	0
3	Apr_23_2014	23.76	25.86	26.31	25.83	25.92	25.92	25.11(-3.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	10	-3	-13	5.04	55%	0.08	27	3.68%	0	-0.6	48	0
4	Apr_22_2014	23.74	25.81	26.58	25.89	25.94	26.06	26.11(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	40	-2	1	5.21	57%	0.08	21.2	3.69%	0	0.2	55	0
5	Apr_21_2014	23.72	25.71	26.5	26.1	25.91	25.93	26.05(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-20	-4	7	3.24	58%	0.13	21.7	3.7%	0	0.3	57	0

6	Apr_17_2014	23.69	25.65	26.42	26.27	26.21	25.82	25.93(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-110	-8	16	4.52	58%	0.08	25.1	3.72%	0	0.2	62	0
7	Apr_16_2014	23.67	25.59	26.47	26.49	26.46	25.9	25.93(2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-150	-21	36	4.24	58%	0.13	30.4	3.73%	0	0.3	65	0
8	Apr_15_2014	23.64	25.59	26.5	26.89	26.89	26.6	25.41(-6.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-80	-18	66	12.83	58%	0.13	37.3	3.73%	0	-0.1	61	0
9	Apr_14_2014	23.61	25.55	26.55	27.36	27.28	27.02	27.18(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-80	7	109	3.96	62%	0.17	50.9	3.62%	0	1.3	69	0
10	Apr_11_2014	23.57	25.43	26.36	26.94	27.23	27.18	26.91(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	20	6	104	9.09	62%	0.17	44.2	3.6%	0	1.2	69	0

11	Apr_10_2014	23.53	25.33	26.1	26.56	26.9	27.54	27.02(-3.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	200	9	90	6.81	60%	0.13	31.9	3.63%	0	1.4	62	0
12	Apr_9_2014	23.5	25.21	25.76	26.45	26.46	27.29	27.93(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	40	220	24	86	8.97	55%	0.13	22.1	3.64%	0	2.4	67	0
13	Apr_8_2014	23.47	25.08	25.35	26.08	26.21	26.27	27.74(10.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	29	30	18	62	13.19	54%	0.09	11.6	3.83%	0	2.8	64	0
14	Apr_7_2014	23.45	24.92	24.95	25.67	26.21	25.64	25.12(0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-50	-7	31	10.82	51%	-0.04	-11.3	3.64%	0	0.3	46	0
15	Apr_4_2014	23.46	24.9	24.84	25.69	25.97	26.14	25.01(-5.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	10	80	3	30	8.88	51%	-0.09	-20.2	3.65%	0	0.1	51	0

16	Apr_3_2014	23.48	24.9	24.81	25.52	25.77	26.3	26.44(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	170	25	32	11.13	50%	0.04	-26.6	3.61%	0	1.7	59	0
17	Apr_2_2014	23.47	24.96	24.62	24.94	25.18	25.79	26.09(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	19	200	22	9	4.84	50%	0.04	-49.9	3.75%	0	1.3	60	0
18	Apr_1_2014	23.46	24.97	24.49	24.49	24.6	25.25	25.7(1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	11	200	19	-12	6.53	50%	0	-60.1	3.74%	0	0.8	48	0
19	Mar_31_2014	23.46	25	24.45	24.15	24.25	24.57	25.21(4.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	7	100	16	-21	5.88	48%	0	-60.1	3.77%	0	0.2	53	0
20	Mar_28_2014	23.46	25.06	24.41	23.89	23.99	23.95	24.18(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	0	-2	-39	7.1	46%	-0.04	-56.3	3.73%	0	-0.8	45	0

21	Mar_27_2014	23.47	25.2	24.49	24	23.96	23.92	23.5(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-20	-10	-46	4.7	48%	-0.13	-39.9	3.74%	0	-1.5	31	0
22	Mar_26_2014	23.5	25.41	24.62	24.25	24.3	24.03	23.88(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-70	-6	-48	6.62	48%	-0.25	-24.7	3.78%	0	-1.4	29	0
23	Mar_25_2014	23.56	25.53	24.8	24.48	24.51	24	23.98(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-140	-17	-50	5.38	48%	-0.25	-13	3.78%	0	-1.5	34	0
24	Mar_24_2014	23.62	25.59	24.89	24.8	24.86	24.58	23.89(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-70	-12	-47	11.6	48%	-0.13	-7	3.81%	0	-1.7	33	0
25	Mar_21_2014	23.65	25.67	25	25	25.15	25.02	24.75(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-20	-2	-47	6.03	50%		8.7	3.79%	0	-1	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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