Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 1, 2014

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $25.7000 (1.94%) ($25.1100 - $26.2500) on Tue. Apr. 1, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.74% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $25.7000(1.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(45%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(38%)    VT(32%)    XLY(31%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-6%)    BNDX(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.87% (StdDev 3.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.49(4.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.49(4.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.97(2.92%)
To recent high   -7.8%
To recent low   38.2%
Market Cap   $15.242b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 3.68% (three month std-dev: 3.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.85%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.76%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.55%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -3.73%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 4.9%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.55%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_1_2014	23.46	24.97	24.49	24.49	24.6	25.25	25.7(1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	11	200	19	-12	6.53	50%	0	-60.1	3.74%	0	0.8	48	0
2	Mar_31_2014	23.46	25	24.45	24.15	24.25	24.57	25.21(4.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	7	100	16	-21	5.88	48%	0	-60.1	3.77%	0	0.2	53	0
3	Mar_28_2014	23.46	25.06	24.41	23.89	23.99	23.95	24.18(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	0	-2	-39	7.1	46%	-0.04	-56.3	3.73%	0	-0.8	45	0
4	Mar_27_2014	23.47	25.2	24.49	24	23.96	23.92	23.5(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-20	-10	-46	4.7	48%	-0.13	-39.9	3.74%	0	-1.5	31	0
5	Mar_26_2014	23.5	25.41	24.62	24.25	24.3	24.03	23.88(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-70	-6	-48	6.62	48%	-0.25	-24.7	3.78%	0	-1.4	29	0

6	Mar_25_2014	23.56	25.53	24.8	24.48	24.51	24	23.98(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-140	-17	-50	5.38	48%	-0.25	-13	3.78%	0	-1.5	34	0
7	Mar_24_2014	23.62	25.59	24.89	24.8	24.86	24.58	23.89(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-70	-12	-47	11.6	48%	-0.13	-7	3.81%	0	-1.7	33	0
8	Mar_21_2014	23.65	25.59	25	25	25.15	25.02	24.75(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-20	-2	-47	6.03	50%	-0.13	8.7	3.79%	0	-1	36	0
9	Mar_20_2014	23.68	25.67	25.15	25.05	25.15	25.14	24.74(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	10	-2	-49	6.66	50%	-0.13	18.3	3.82%	0	-1	34	0
10	Mar_19_2014	23.71	25.69	25.35	25.04	25.12	25.28	25.02(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	50	-0	-55	7.46	50%	-0.17	36.9	3.83%	0	-0.7	30	0

11	Mar_18_2014	23.75	25.69	25.49	25.17	25.11	25.11	25.59(2.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10	6	-47	3.96	50%	-0.08	59.2	3.82%	0	-0.1	48	0
12	Mar_17_2014	23.77	25.66	25.57	25.17	25.06	24.95	24.89(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-20	-2	-48	5.63	50%	-0.13	79.1	3.81%	0	-0.8	52	0
13	Mar_14_2014	23.8	25.58	25.75	25.01	25.09	25.12	25.03(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	20	-6	-43	5.45	50%	-0.13	81.9	3.78%	0	-0.5	53	0
14	Mar_13_2014	23.83	25.5	25.94	25.26	25.16	25.17	24.68(-3.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10	-10	-24	8.02	50%	-0.17	94.7	3.8%	0	-0.7	54	0
15	Mar_12_2014	23.87	25.34	26.26	25.7	25.45	25.05	25.67(3.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-4	-140	-8	8	4.72	52%	-0.13	88.3	3.78%	0	0.2	58	0

16	Mar_11_2014	23.9	25.11	26.31	25.86	25.87	25.16	24.79(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-10	-190	-20	19	5.66	50%	-0.17	83.1	3.77%	0	-0.2	57	0
17	Mar_10_2014	23.94	24.92	26.37	26.22	26.28	25.84	24.86(-5.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-110	-20	29	9.63	52%	-0.21	83.5	3.82%	0	-0	48	0
18	Mar_7_2014	23.99	24.69	26.42	26.58	26.68	26.59	26.3(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10	-5	61	3.97	54%	-0.12	79.8	3.78%	0	0.7	70	0
19	Mar_6_2014	24.02	24.36	26.27	26.72	26.69	26.72	26.87(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	0	-6	77	5.68	54%	-0.08	74.9	3.8%	0	1	72	0
20	Mar_5_2014	24.04	23.99	26.08	26.92	26.81	26.77	26.5(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	-20	1	115	5.51	54%	-0.08	74.3	3.8%	0	0.9	78	0

21	Mar_4_2014	24.06	23.65	25.87	26.84	27.03	26.67	26.57(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	-70	6	140	8.89	54%	-0.08	71.4	3.8%	0	1	79	0
22	Mar_3_2014	24.08	23.26	25.76	26.53	26.77	26.85	26.65(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	44	50	3	165	5.24	54%	-0.04	65.7	3.8%	0	1.2	80	0
23	Feb_28_2014	24.09	22.91	25.41	26.21	26.33	27.4	27(-3.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	66	300	24	191	8.36	54%	-0.04	63.6	3.73%	0	1.4	83	0
24	Feb_27_2014	24.1	22.54	25.01	25.74	25.75	26.69	27.88(6.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	81	260	38	209	13.99	54%	0.04	59.9	3.74%	0	1.9	88	0
25	Feb_26_2014	24.09	22.11	24.31	25.13	25.05	25.26	26.11(4.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	61	50	15	200	11.51	53%		54.9	3.65%	0	1.6	87	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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