Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 20, 2014

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $24.8500 (1.97%) ($24.5800 - $25.4900) on Thu. Feb. 20, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.67% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $24.8500(1.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 3.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM advances 12.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(45%)    VWO(41%)    EEM(38%)    XLY(30%)    QQQ(29%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-6%)    BNDX(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.835% (StdDev 3.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.14(2.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.31(11.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.99(18.39%)
To recent high   -5.4%
To recent low   33.7%
Market Cap   $14.738b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 9.62% (three month std-dev: 3.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 4.25%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.11%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 8.45%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.82%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 0.47%(17%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.79%(83%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_20_2014	24.22	20.99	22.31	24.14	24.25	24.95	24.85(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	76	220	30	215	7.46	51%	-0.21	50.2	3.67%	0	1.9	74	NAN
2	Feb_19_2014	24.27	20.8	21.75	23.34	23.37	24.63	24.37(-4.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	78	380	41	187	14.88	49%	-0.25	47.2	3.66%	0	2	74	NAN
3	Feb_18_2014	24.33	20.6	21.26	22.63	22.31	23.55	25.55(11.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	79	350	53	158	21	49%	-0.33	44.5	3.68%	0	3.1	74	NAN
4	Feb_14_2014	24.41	20.31	20.53	21.59	21.42	22.11	22.91(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	57	200	39	111	11.76	45%	-0.25	40.3	3.42%	0	2.3	73	NAN
5	Feb_13_2014	24.47	20.18	20.19	20.96	20.74	21.08	23(10.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	42	80	30	77	46.35	47%	-0.2	30.5	3.42%	0	2.9	65	NAN

6	Feb_12_2014	24.52	20.02	19.84	20.22	20.32	20.72	20.86(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	150	18	32	15.64	42%	-0.16	-0.8	3.19%	0	1.2	51	NAN
7	Feb_11_2014	24.56	19.98	19.7	19.92	19.98	20.41	20.81(2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	14	160	19	-1	11.56	42%	-0.2	-32.2	3.2%	0	1.2	45	NAN
8	Feb_10_2014	24.61	19.91	19.62	19.66	19.63	19.92	20.36(3.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	9	100	19	-22	6.14	42%	-0.2	-60.8	3.19%	0	0.7	46	NAN
9	Feb_7_2014	24.66	19.87	19.62	19.66	19.4	19.55	19.75(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	70	5	-58	5.57	40%	-0.24	-96.4	3.18%	0	-0.2	48	NAN
10	Feb_6_2014	24.72	19.89	19.47	19.31	19.26	19.33	19.34(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	20	-2	-67	4.62	36%	-0.24	-124.9	3.23%	0	-0.8	44	NAN

11	Feb_5_2014	24.78	20.03	19.58	19.4	19.31	19.25	19.32(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-40	-2	-56	5.15	36%	-0.2	-112.1	3.46%	0	-0.9	47	NAN
12	Feb_4_2014	24.83	20.2	19.79	19.45	19.47	19.2	19.54(5.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-90	-7	-46	7.51	39%	-0.2	-100.2	3.47%	0	-0.6	49	NAN
13	Feb_3_2014	24.88	20.33	19.92	19.57	19.61	19.37	18.59(-5.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-80	-9	-31	6.76	37%	-0.24	-107	3.49%	0	-1.6	47	NAN
14	Jan_31_2014	24.94	20.54	20.11	19.64	19.77	19.75	19.75(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	10	-1	-19	3.39	39%	-0.2	-111.4	3.43%	0	-0.7	54	NAN
15	Jan_30_2014	24.99	20.77	20.19	19.65	19.67	19.85	19.8(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	70	-4	-17	3.85	37%	-0.24	-91.7	3.43%	0	-0.7	48	NAN

16	Jan_29_2014	25.05	21	20.23	19.8	19.73	19.79	19.57(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	10	-9	-28	5.82	37%	-0.2	-90.1	3.46%	0	-1	37	NAN
17	Jan_28_2014	25.1	21.29	20.29	20.2	19.92	19.5	20.13(6.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-190	-11	-33	12.61	37%	-0.16	-71.2	3.48%	0	-0.7	35	NAN
18	Jan_27_2014	25.14	21.58	20.24	20.36	20.34	19.68	18.93(-4.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-230	-21	-51	15.19	34%	-0.16	-54.9	3.37%	0	-1.4	34	NAN
19	Jan_24_2014	25.18	21.89	20.32	20.63	20.75	20.34	19.8(-3.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-120	-16	-62	12.97	35%	-0.16	-45.5	3.33%	0	-1	34	NAN
20	Jan_23_2014	25.22	22.17	20.37	20.79	20.88	21	20.59(-4.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	50	-0	-83	16.54	36%	-0.12	-39.8	3.31%	0	-0.7	30	NAN

21	Jan_22_2014	25.25	22.4	20.52	20.7	20.92	21.15	21.53(2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	110	17	-101	8.54	38%	-0.08	-37.8	3.27%	0	-0.4	32	NAN
22	Jan_21_2014	25.27	22.53	20.63	20.41	20.62	20.77	20.96(3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	80	12	-136	9.37	38%	-0.08	-38.5	3.26%	0	-0.7	26	NAN
23	Jan_17_2014	25.29	22.68	20.74	20.13	20.37	20.69	20.29(-1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-37	150	11	-180	9.04	36%	-0.16	-40	3.22%	0	-1	20	NAN
24	Jan_16_2014	25.33	22.88	20.97	19.97	20.11	20.47	20.57(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-43	150	11	-203	9.09	36%	-0.12	-41.8	3.23%	0	-1	29	NAN
25	Jan_15_2014	25.36	23.06	21.35	19.9	19.91	20.05	20.17(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-63	50	-10	-220	11.95	36%		-45.4	3.22%	0	-1.3	26	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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