Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 16, 2014

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $20.5700 (1.98%) ($20.1200 - $20.9500) on Thu. Jan. 16, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.23% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $20.5700(1.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM declines -11.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(45%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(38%)    XLY(31%)    QQQ(29%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-6%)    BNDX(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.615% (StdDev 3.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $2.71(-86.83%)
Resistance Level   $22.88
5 Day Moving Average   $19.97(3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.97(-1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.88(-10.1%)
To recent high   -30.9%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $12.199b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 9.92% (three month std-dev: 3.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 14.17%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 41.92%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.68%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 64.38%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.78%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_16_2014	25.33	22.88	20.97	19.97	20.11	20.47	20.57(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-43	150	11	-203	9.09	36%	-0.12	-41.8	3.23%	0	-1	29	NAN
2	Jan_15_2014	25.36	23.06	21.35	19.9	19.91	20.05	20.17(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-63	50	-10	-220	11.95	36%	-0.12	-45.4	3.22%	0	-1.3	26	NAN
3	Jan_14_2014	25.39	23.26	21.8	20.32	20.06	19.76	20.05(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-71	-140	-24	-213	15.82	36%	-0.16	-42.1	3.22%	0	-1.5	26	NAN
4	Jan_13_2014	25.43	23.45	22.34	20.91	20.78	19.77	19.57(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-71	-360	-32	-186	16.49	36%	-0.16	-38	3.2%	0	-2	30	NAN
5	Jan_10_2014	25.47	23.65	23.01	21.44	21.56	20.37	19.48(-3.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-74	-370	-47	-155	28.76	36%	-0.12	-37.6	3.22%	0	-2.4	33	NAN

6	Jan_9_2014	25.5	23.88	23.6	22.1	22.25	21.8	20.25(-8.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-65	-120	-46	-123	44.46	37%	-0.12	-34.5	3.19%	0	-2.6	34	NAN
7	Jan_8_2014	25.53	24.11	24.15	22.99	22.93	22.75	22.25(-3.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-60	-19	-70	13.1	39%	-0.04	-19.2	3.02%	0	-1.6	43	NAN
8	Jan_7_2014	25.54	24.18	24.47	23.5	23.44	22.7	23.01(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-230	-27	-41	6.83	39%	0	-8.5	3.04%	0	-1.1	48	NAN
9	Jan_6_2014	25.54	24.22	24.62	24.02	24.02	23.11	22.21(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-41	-270	-47	-21	8.1	36%	-0.04	4.5	3.03%	0	-2	44	NAN
10	Jan_3_2014	25.55	24.32	24.82	24.83	24.86	24.18	22.77(-7.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-16	-190	-31	29	16.74	35%	0.04	30.1	3.02%	0	-1.7	53	NAN

11	Jan_2_2014	25.54	24.38	24.99	25.31	25.4	24.94	24.7(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	-120	-16	67	4.41	38%	0.2	50.7	2.89%	0	0.4	62	NAN
12	Dec_31_2013	25.49	24.33	24.93	25.47	25.55	25.53	24.81(-3.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	0	-9	74	7.54	38%	0.12	63.2	2.9%	0	0.6	52	NAN
13	Dec_30_2013	25.46	24.27	24.84	25.57	25.61	25.86	25.61(-2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	70	15	94	5.26	40%	0.2	70.9	2.89%	0	1.6	64	NAN
14	Dec_27_2013	25.41	24.18	24.65	25.31	25.35	25.56	26.27(4.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	38	60	22	87	4.69	40%	0.2	70.4	2.89%	0	2.6	65	NAN
15	Dec_26_2013	25.36	24.04	24.32	24.83	24.88	25.37	25.17(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	140	13	56	1.9	36%	0.32	63	2.84%	0	1.7	60	NAN

16	Dec_24_2013	25.28	23.95	24.14	24.63	24.54	25.14	25.48(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	30	160	24	47	2.74	43%	0.16	51.4	3.01%	0	2.6	63	NAN
17	Dec_23_2013	25.24	23.8	24.03	24.33	24.21	24.4	25.31(3.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	24	40	19	38	5.08	43%	0.16	14.7	3%	0	2.7	61	NAN
18	Dec_20_2013	25.2	23.68	23.83	24.02	23.96	23.94	24.34(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10	3	16	5.22	40%	0.08	-40	2.97%	0	1.5	57	NAN
19	Dec_19_2013	25.18	23.63	23.76	23.89	23.92	24.02	23.83(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	30	6	9	3.07	40%	0.24	-77.5	2.96%	0	0.5	50	NAN
20	Dec_18_2013	25.12	23.63	23.75	23.72	23.83	23.99	24.2(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	8	60	9	3	5.32	40%	0.24	-104.8	2.96%	0	1.3	55	NAN

21	Dec_17_2013	25.06	23.64	23.7	23.57	23.65	23.83	23.96(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-2	60	-1	-5	4.42	40%	0.24	-118.9	2.97%	0	0.7	57	NAN
22	Dec_16_2013	25	23.72	23.67	23.69	23.7	23.67	23.77(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10	5	12	4.6	40%	0.24	-77.4	2.97%	0	0.1	63	NAN
23	Dec_13_2013	24.94	23.86	23.66	23.61	23.8	23.46	23.67(2.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-80	-5	10	4.26	40%	0.24	-49.8	2.97%	0	-0.2	57	NAN
24	Dec_12_2013	24.88	23.97	23.68	23.62	23.76	23.74	23.02(-1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	10	-12	11	4.65	40%	0.24	-41.9	2.96%	0	-0.9	48	NAN
25	Dec_11_2013	24.82	24.11	23.75	23.77	23.84	24.14	23.41(-4.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	100	6	23	5.1	40%		-39.1	2.96%	0	-0.6	45	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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