Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Aug. 13, 2013

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $22.5600 (4.35%) ($21.4000 - $22.7800) on Tue. Aug. 13, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.38% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $22.5600(4.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM advances 9.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(44%)    VWO(41%)    EEM(38%)    XLY(31%)    QQQ(30%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)    BNDX(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.69% (StdDev 3.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.55(4.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.26(6.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.55(15.4%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   56.6%
Market Cap   $13.38b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 10.08% (three month std-dev: 3.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.87%(38%) Average negative next day return: -2.99%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.79%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -4.61%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.65%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.67%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130913

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_13_2013	15.08	19.55	21.26	21.55	21.56	21.74	22.56(4.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	54	60	15	169	5.28	83%	0.8	63.3	3.38%	0	1.5	84	NAN
2	Aug_12_2013	14.96	19.26	20.84	21.31	21.29	21.32	21.62(2.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	10	1	167	3.23	82%	0.74	65.2	3.36%	0	1.2	83	NAN
3	Aug_9_2013	14.85	19.03	20.46	21.24	21.26	21.37	21.14(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	42	40	-2	172	3.41	88%	0.75	68.8	3.37%	0	1.1	81	NAN
4	Aug_8_2013	14.74	18.81	20.16	21.35	21.32	21.27	21.23(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	34	-20	-1	140	5.88	88%	0.82	75	4.58%	0	1.3	80	NAN
5	Aug_7_2013	14.62	18.6	19.86	21.47	21.3	21.15	21.2(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	46	-70	8	158	3.63	88%	0.76	84.4	4.58%	0	1.5	75	NAN

6	Aug_6_2013	14.51	18.38	19.47	20.89	21.5	21.37	21.37(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	50	17	141	3.52	88%	0.83	78.2	4.58%	0	1.7	78	NAN
7	Aug_5_2013	14.39	18.1	19.06	20.27	20.78	21.45	21.28(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	300	20	122	5.54	88%	0.77	69.8	4.58%	0	2	80	NAN
8	Aug_2_2013	14.28	17.83	18.66	19.54	19.9	21.64	21.65(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	56	670	40	105	12.86	88%	0.85	61.2	4.57%	0	2.6	83	NAN
9	Aug_1_2013	14.16	17.54	18.21	18.81	19.01	20.11	21.86(19.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.5	55	440	46	83	34.01	88%	0.85	56.1	4.56%	0	3.6	85	NAN
10	Jul_31_2013	14.04	17.22	17.76	18.06	18.03	18.16	18.3(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	50	10	49	6.33	85%	0.65	63.4	3.97%	0	1.5	65	NAN

11	Jul_30_2013	13.95	17.12	17.67	17.85	17.9	17.91	18.25(3.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	10	6	42	5.34	85%	0.58	63.3	3.98%	0	1.6	67	NAN
12	Jul_29_2013	13.87	17.03	17.54	17.67	17.74	17.9	17.64(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	13	80	3	41	3	85%	0.58	70.6	3.96%	0	0.9	73	NAN
13	Jul_26_2013	13.79	16.97	17.47	17.6	17.62	17.89	18(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	110	8	48	3.03	85%	0.58	73.3	3.96%	0	1.6	74	NAN
14	Jul_25_2013	13.71	16.88	17.35	17.5	17.47	17.57	18.09(4.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	30	5	49	5.37	85%	0.59	75.2	3.96%	0	2	75	NAN
15	Jul_24_2013	13.63	16.77	17.25	17.44	17.44	17.36	17.29(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-30	-2	55	2.68	85%	0.52	67.3	3.93%	0	0.9	72	NAN

16	Jul_23_2013	13.56	16.69	17.22	17.46	17.55	17.37	17.31(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-60	1	64	2.25	85%	0.59	51.2	3.94%	0	1	63	NAN
17	Jul_22_2013	13.48	16.58	17.09	17.38	17.47	17.52	17.33(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	40	0	56	2.66	85%	0.6	25.8	3.94%	0	1.1	60	NAN
18	Jul_19_2013	13.4	16.5	16.97	17.31	17.38	17.72	17.46(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	150	9	54	3.29	85%	0.6	14.8	3.94%	0	1.4	64	NAN
19	Jul_18_2013	13.32	16.43	16.83	17.18	17.18	17.42	17.81(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	100	11	48	5.88	85%	0.6	5.7	3.92%	0	2.1	68	NAN
20	Jul_17_2013	13.24	16.39	16.64	17.04	16.98	17.04	17.38(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	10	4	39	2.71	85%	0.61	4.8	3.93%	0	1.6	70	NAN

21	Jul_16_2013	13.16	16.38	16.53	16.95	16.99	16.95	16.93(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10	7	43	2.74	85%	0.53	7.4	3.92%	0	0.9	70	NAN
22	Jul_15_2013	13.09	16.4	16.49	16.75	16.91	16.91	16.95(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	16	30	6	46	2.14	79%	0.61	1.8	3.93%	0	0.8	76	NAN
23	Jul_12_2013	13.01	16.4	16.42	16.57	16.68	17.03	16.82(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	170	8	43	1.98	79%	0.54	-5.8	3.99%	0	0.7	62	NAN
24	Jul_11_2013	12.94	16.39	16.37	16.42	16.48	16.91	17.14(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	190	17	41	3.39	79%	0.54	-9.6	3.98%	0	1.2	58	NAN
25	Jul_10_2013	12.87	16.36	16.24	16.18	16.19	16.34	16.93(6.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	10	70	8	14	9.92	80%		-12.2	3.98%	0	0.9	45	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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