Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 25, 2010

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $20.2500 (3.16%) ($19.6100 - $20.6400) on Thu. Mar. 25, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.69% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $20.2500(3.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(44%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(40%)    XLY(34%)    IWM(33%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.345% (StdDev 2.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.02(6.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.89(7.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.03(6.41%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   34.3%
Market Cap   $12.01b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 3% (three month std-dev: 2.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.85%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.18%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 4.11%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 6.26%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100425

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_25_2010	17.85	19.03	18.89	19.02	18.97	19.62	20.25(3.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	22	230	32	-7	7.89	52%	0.34	42.7	2.69%	0	2.1	58	NAN
2	Mar_24_2010	17.79	18.93	18.79	18.66	18.53	18.91	19.63(4.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	10	120	23	-29	5.44	50%	0.34	31.6	2.68%	0	1.3	58	NAN
3	Mar_23_2010	17.73	18.86	18.75	18.4	18.34	18.33	18.82(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10	6	-42	2.66	47%	0.34	23.1	2.63%	0	-0.1	59	NAN
4	Mar_22_2010	17.67	18.82	18.8	18.35	18.3	18.16	18.39(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-60	-11	-48	5.67	45%	0.28	23.1	2.63%	0	-0.7	46	NAN
5	Mar_19_2010	17.62	18.8	18.93	18.47	18.49	18.35	18(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-50	-15	-41	2.53	45%	0.23	32.2	2.64%	0	-1.3	36	NAN

6	Mar_18_2010	17.58	18.79	19.07	18.74	18.68	18.44	18.46(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-100	-14	-21	2.68	45%	0.23	50.1	2.64%	0	-0.5	45	NAN
7	Mar_17_2010	17.54	18.77	19.11	18.92	18.95	18.64	18.31(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-110	-17	-5	4.95	44%	0.23	65.5	2.64%	0	-0.7	52	NAN
8	Mar_16_2010	17.5	18.74	19.12	19.15	19.18	18.92	18.61(-1.95%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-8	-90	-14	10	3.24	47%	0.23	83.9	2.66%	0	-0.2	56	NAN
9	Mar_15_2010	17.46	18.69	19.16	19.3	19.32	19.26	18.98(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-20	-10	34	2.6	47%	0.23	103	2.71%	0	0.4	63	NAN
10	Mar_12_2010	17.42	18.59	19.22	19.3	19.48	19.43	19.32(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10	1	69	1.74	47%	0.23	109.3	2.68%	0	0.9	67	NAN

11	Mar_11_2010	17.38	18.48	19.2	19.44	19.5	19.38	19.4(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	-30	2	87	2.08	47%	0.29	114.6	2.7%	0	1.1	69	NAN
12	Mar_10_2010	17.33	18.33	19.1	19.33	19.46	19.52	19.43(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	40	10	90	2.87	47%	0.29	105.2	2.71%	0	1.2	65	NAN
13	Mar_9_2010	17.28	18.16	18.99	19.09	19.28	19.61	19.37(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	150	10	83	3.18	47%	0.29	84.1	2.71%	0	1.1	68	NAN
14	Mar_8_2010	17.23	17.96	18.84	19.01	19	19.4	19.7(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	150	11	84	3.32	47%	0.29	70.3	2.72%	0	1.5	72	NAN
15	Mar_5_2010	17.18	17.74	18.65	18.97	18.92	18.96	19.32(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	10	8	93	3.47	47%	0.23	65.7	2.7%	0	1.3	73	NAN

16	Mar_4_2010	17.14	17.53	18.48	18.93	18.98	18.59	18.84(3.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-140	-2	98	7.39	47%	0.18	57	2.7%	0	1	72	NAN
17	Mar_3_2010	17.11	17.39	18.39	18.84	19.01	18.89	18.21(-3.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	22	-20	-8	111	5.46	44%	0.18	54.8	2.67%	0	0.6	73	NAN
18	Mar_2_2010	17.08	17.3	18.33	18.85	18.86	19.38	18.96(-2.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	190	17	150	4.57	47%	0.23	57	2.62%	0	1.3	86	NAN
19	Mar_1_2010	17.04	17.16	18.18	18.63	18.56	19.14	19.54(2.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	70	210	35	173	4.86	51%	0.24	54.2	2.61%	0	1.9	95	NAN
20	Feb_26_2010	17	16.96	17.92	18.27	18.15	18.34	19.11(3.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	57	50	21	163	3.86	53%	0.24	49	2.65%	0	1.9	94	NAN

21	Feb_25_2010	16.96	16.82	17.69	17.98	17.93	17.99	18.38(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	20	5	165	3.78	51%	0.24	46.6	2.62%	0	1.5	94	NAN
22	Feb_24_2010	16.92	16.7	17.5	17.88	17.88	17.96	18.25(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	30	9	171	3.34	51%	0.18	40	2.62%	0	1.6	73	NAN
23	Feb_23_2010	16.89	16.6	17.25	17.74	17.79	17.88	17.86(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	40	5	152	4.34	51%	0.24	29.1	2.62%	0	1.4	61	NAN
24	Feb_22_2010	16.85	16.52	17.01	17.66	17.76	17.8	17.73(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	30	11	140	3.24	51%	0.24	18.1	2.62%	0	1.4	63	NAN
25	Feb_19_2010	16.81	16.42	16.77	17.51	17.57	17.7	17.66(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	60	9	127	1.89	47%		0	2.62%	0	1.6	67	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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