Trading Signals: TBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: TBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury)
TBT latest price $50.5500 (-0.75%) ($50.4000 - $50.9200) on Tue. Jul. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $50.5500(-0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TBT advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TBT declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TBT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(33%)    XLE(28%)    XOP(28%)    IVE(27%)    OIH(27%)
Factors Impacting TBT price   TBT will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-98%)    TIP(-68%)    BND(-64%)    LQD(-51%)    BNDX(-48%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.66(1.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.7(1.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.94(1.22%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   22.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TBT price fluctuates within 2.38% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2015	46.17	49.94	49.7	49.66			50.55(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	9	-24	1.77	60%	0.15	-16	2.24%	0	0.5	47	0
2	Jul_13_2015	46.1	49.89	49.57	49.15			50.93(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-7	-10000	7	-47	2.86	60%	0.13	-30.4	2.25%	0	0.9	50	0
3	Jul_10_2015	46.04	49.83	49.63	48.75			50.59(3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.6	-13	-10000	-1	-48	3.91	60%	0.11	-42.1	2.25%	0	0.7	56	0
4	Jul_9_2015	45.99	49.79	49.64	48.79			49.04(3.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	-8	-47	3.18	60%	0.09	-39.7	2.22%	0	-0.7	48	0
5	Jul_8_2015	45.95	49.93	49.78	49.22			47.18(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-16	-10000	-10	-32	3.53	57%	0.02	-21.7	2.19%	0	-2.3	44	0

6	Jul_7_2015	45.94	50.13	50.21	49.74			47.99(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-5	-10000	-5	-3	6.07	57%	0.07	-1.4	2.18%	0	-2	50	0
7	Jul_6_2015	45.91	50.26	50.51	50			48.96(-3.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-6	-10000	-11	9	4.26	57%	0.15	19.8	2.17%	0	-1.4	49	0
8	Jul_2_2015	45.84	50.32	50.53	50.6			50.78(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	-0	28	3.55	60%	0.17	57.4	2.12%	0	0.5	54	0
9	Jul_1_2015	45.76	50.24	50.46	50.61			51.18(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-10000	3	31	3.17	58%	0.18	70.7	2.12%	0	1	56	0
10	Jun_30_2015	45.68	50.19	50.3	50.47			49.79(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-10000	-6	12	3.96	57%	0.18	84	2.12%	0	-0.4	42	0

11	Jun_29_2015	45.6	50.15	50.22	50.78			49.3(-5.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-1	-10000	-5	11	5.44	57%	0.15	89.5	2.12%	0	-0.8	44	0
12	Jun_26_2015	45.53	50.07	50.27	51.07			51.95(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	12	25	3.28	60%	0.24	77.4	2.04%	0	1.4	56	0
13	Jun_25_2015	45.42	49.8	50.04	50.44			50.84(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10000	3	-2	2.54	59%	0.24	54.8	2.05%	0	0.7	53	0
14	Jun_24_2015	45.31	49.61	49.93	50.28			50.48(-1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	3	-3	2.74	59%	0.22	39	2.06%	0	0.6	57	0
15	Jun_23_2015	45.21	49.41	50.05	50.1			51.35(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	10	3	3.36	59%	0.31	24.1	2.06%	0	1.2	54	0

16	Jun_22_2015	45.07	49.18	49.99	49.6			50.75(4.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	-10000	5	-4	3.36	59%	0.27	9.3	2.06%	0	1	59	0
17	Jun_19_2015	44.95	49.06	49.94	49.37			48.77(-2.58%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-3	-10000	-4	1	4.43	57%	0.22	7.9	2.01%	0	-0.2	58	0
18	Jun_18_2015	44.85	49.04	50.09	49.57			50.06(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	1	30	3.94	56%	0.25	8.2	1.98%	0	0.7	67	0
19	Jun_17_2015	44.74	49.02	50	49.52			49.56(1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-10000	-9	37	5.09	56%	0.2	7.6	2.05%	0	0.4	65	0
20	Jun_16_2015	44.65	49.03	50.07	50			48.84(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-10000	-9	76	3.65	56%	0.18	19.3	2.05%	0	-0.1	64	0

21	Jun_15_2015	44.57	49.04	50.09	50.45			49.63(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	24	-10000	-3	106	3.12	56%	0.22	26.9	2.06%	0	0.4	66	0
22	Jun_12_2015	44.47	48.93	49.9	50.58			49.77(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	26	-10000	-2	109	3.11	56%	0.18	30.7	2.06%	0	0.5	56	0
23	Jun_11_2015	44.39	48.91	49.6	50.66			49.81(-4.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	29	-10000	3	106	6.65	56%	0.2	39.6	2.06%	0	0.6	56	0
24	Jun_10_2015	44.3	48.9	49.31	50.5			51.96(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	-10000	7	90	4.88	57%	0.27	40.8	2%	0	1.9	56	0
25	Jun_9_2015	44.18	48.73	48.75	50.16			51.06(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	9	61	4.46	57%		46.3	2.02%	0	1.7	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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