Trading Signals: TAK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: TAK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. May. 10, 2010 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited)
TAK latest price $23.8400 (1.45%) ($23.8000 - $24.0000) on Fri. Apr. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.57% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $23.8400(1.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TAK advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TAK declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TAK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWJ(48%)    VT(44%)    SPY(40%)    XLV(40%)    IWD(39%)
Factors Impacting TAK price   TAK will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-7%)    IPO(-3%)    SHY(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $18.34(-23.07%)
5 Day Moving Average   $23.1(3.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.17(2.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.55(1.23%)
To recent high   -6.1%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $74.529b

Takeda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, import and export sale, and marketing of pharmaceutical drugs. It operates through the following segments: Prescription Drug, Consumer Healthcare, and Other. The Prescription Drugs segment includes the manufacture and sale of pharmaceutical products. The Consumer Healthcare segment includes the manufacture and sale of OTC drugs and quasi-drugs. The Other segment includes manufacture and sale of reagents, clinical diagnostics, and chemical products. The company was founded by Takeda Chobei on June 12, 1781 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

$. TAK price fluctuates within 2.51% (three month std-dev: 1.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160508

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_8_2016	24.09		23.17	23.1			23.84(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	0	-10000	17	-51	0.01	45%	-0.04	-43.8	1.57%	0	0.5	50	0
2	Apr_7_2016	24.1	23.55	23.16	22.8			23.5(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-16	-10000	8	-86	0.01	45%	-0.08	-60	1.58%	0	-0.1	41	0
3	Apr_6_2016	24.12	23.57	23.19	22.66			23.18(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-28	-10000	-2	-104	0.06	45%	-0.08	-72.2	1.58%	0	-0.7	40	0
4	Apr_5_2016	24.14	23.62	23.26	22.7			22.49(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-10000	-13	-110	0.07	42%	-0.08	-71.7	1.52%	0	-1.9	28	0
5	Apr_4_2016	24.16	23.71	23.39	22.92			22.5(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-39	-10000	-18	-100	0.02	40%	-0.12	-65.5	1.52%	0	-2.2	27	0

6	Apr_1_2016	24.19	23.81	23.52	23.24			22.31(-2.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-34	-10000	-18	-80	0.02	40%	-0.08	-54.4	1.53%	0	-3.1	22	0
7	Mar_31_2016	24.21	23.92	23.71	23.56			22.82(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-21	-10000	-12	-49	0.01	42%	-0.12	-46.4	1.52%	0	-3.1	32	0
8	Mar_30_2016	24.24	24.01	23.83	23.77			23.39(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-13	-10000	-7	-29	0.02	45%	-0.08	-29.8	1.49%	0	-2.1	43	0
9	Mar_29_2016	24.26	24.06	23.89	23.9			23.58(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-6	-10000	-2	-18	0.02	48%	-0.04	-12.5	1.49%	0	-1.9	41	0
10	Mar_28_2016	24.27	24.06	23.95	23.93			24.1(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	5	-13	0.03	51%	-0.08	-14.6	1.5%	0	0.1	46	0

11	Mar_24_2016	24.29	24.08	23.97	23.85			23.91(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-8	-10000	-2	-25	0.02	49%	-0.04	-17.6	1.51%	0	-0.8	39	0
12	Mar_23_2016	24.3	24.09	23.97	23.89			23.89(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-10000	-1	-27	0.01	49%	-0.04	-7.7	1.52%	0	-0.9	38	0
13	Mar_22_2016	24.31	24.1	23.98	23.9			24.02(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-10000	1	-36	0.02	49%	0	2.1	1.53%	0	-0.3	37	0
14	Mar_21_2016	24.31	24.09	23.99	23.89			23.75(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-5	-41	0.02	49%	-0.04	0	1.52%	0	-1.5	42	0
15	Mar_18_2016	24.32	24.11	24.04	23.98			23.7(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-13	-10000	-7	-30	0.03	50%	-0.08	29.5	1.52%	0	-1.8	49	0

16	Mar_17_2016	24.34	24.12	24.12	24.1			24.11(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	-10000	1	-13	0.01	52%	0	58.6	1.52%	0	-0	49	0
17	Mar_16_2016	24.34	24.11	24.14	24.09			23.92(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-2	-10000	1	-10	0.02	54%	0	57	1.52%	0	-0.8	48	0
18	Mar_15_2016	24.34	24.1	24.21	24.08			23.99(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3	-10000	-2	-4	0.02	54%	0	42	1.54%	0	-0.5	50	0
19	Mar_14_2016	24.34	24.09	24.24	24.11			24.16(-0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	-10000	-1	5	0.01	54%	0	29.8	1.54%	0	0.3	59	0
20	Mar_11_2016	24.34	24.05	24.21	24.12			24.3(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-1	-10000	-2	3	0.01	54%	0.04	12.4	1.54%	0	0.8	52	0

21	Mar_10_2016	24.33	24	24.2	24.15			24.06(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	-10000	-4	11	0.01	54%	0	1.4	1.53%	0	0.2	56	0
22	Mar_9_2016	24.33	23.97	24.21	24.22			23.87(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-0	-10000	-7	20	0.01	54%	0	-16	1.53%	0	-0.3	52	0
23	Mar_8_2016	24.33	23.99	24.23	24.36			24.15(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-10000	-1	43	0.02	52%	0.04	-5.2	1.53%	0	0.4	61	0
24	Mar_7_2016	24.32	23.99	24.2	24.38			24.24(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	-10000	4	46	0.02	52%	0	3	1.55%	0	0.6	57	0
25	Mar_4_2016	24.32	24.01	24.19	24.31			24.41(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	3	54	0.01	52%		-3.1	1.54%	0	1	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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